Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase – Leopardstown

Leopardstown

12:00

Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase

Date 2023-12-29

Distance 2m5f70y

Class

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €11,800

Runners 16

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6	Sweet Will b Conor Clarke(4) · Emmet Mullins	Conor Clarke(4) · Emmet Mullins	161	ht	1P-PP2	114	124	71	27d	—	—	-2	24	5/2 29%
Lost form with Gavin Cromwell, interesting now after a reassuring display at Fairyhouse
15	Nephin Beg b Danny Gilligan(2) · Sean Thomas Doyle	Danny Gilligan(2) · Sean Thomas Doyle	149	—	F-0563	102	119	25	31d	—	—	+2	17.4	11/2 15%
Won a handicap hurdle off 99 last season, opening mark of 102 gives him a fighting chance
10	Broken Ice b Kieren Buckley · Gavin Cromwell	Kieren Buckley · Gavin Cromwell	157	—	407542	110	129	116	35d	—	—	+12	23.1	7/1 13%
Best form indicates a preference for better ground, 9l second on testing going on latest
12	Lake Chad gr Niall Moore(4) · Philip Fenton	Niall Moore(4) · Philip Fenton	155	—	624232	108	124	112	36d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+19	27.6	9/1 10%
1-15 record over fences is off-putting but consistent enough to be given a leading chance
3	Archies Charm b Tom Harney(4) · B R Hamilton	Tom Harney(4) · B R Hamilton	163	b	5-6345	116	126	110	29d	—	—	+10	18.9	9/1 10%
Needs to step up on recent form, 13l second in this race last year, tried with blinkers
7	Harvey's Quay b Aidan Kelly(2) · E J O'Grady	Aidan Kelly(2) · E J O'Grady	160	—	-94019	113	124	77	48d	—	—	+17	25	10/1 9%
Needs to rebound from disappointing Down Royal run, previously won over 3m at Listowel
14	Soloman Lane ch Liam McKenna(2) · Martin Hassett	Liam McKenna(2) · Martin Hassett	152	—	7P6-30	105	125	55	48d	—	—	+7	16.3	10/1 9%
3lb higher than when winning at Punchestown in January, good run on his penultimate start
2	Paidi's Passion b Carl Millar(4) · D M Christie	Carl Millar(4) · D M Christie	165	—	201115	118	121	65	49d	—	—	+27	33.9	12/1 8%
Won three in a row (two over hurdles) before being well beaten on her handicap chase debut
11	Galon De Vauzelle b P J O'Hanlon · P J Rothwell	P J O'Hanlon · P J Rothwell	156	b	-323PP	109	126	100	41d	—	—	+12	17.4	12/1 8%
Third in this last year, runner-up four times this year but pulled up on last two starts
9	Steppenwolf b Patrick M O'Brien(4) · Gavin Cromwell	Patrick M O'Brien(4) · Gavin Cromwell	158	—	7PF6U3	111	120	90	23d	—	—	+11	18.4	14/1 7%
Seldom at his best this year, trainer appears to have a stronger candidate in Broken Ice
1	Temptationinmilan b Richard Condon(2) · C Byrnes	Richard Condon(2) · C Byrnes	166	p	134-0P	119	127	-	13d	—	—	+15	18.2	25/1 4%
A long way below last season's good standard of form on his first two starts this term
5	Serenity Grove b Conor Brassil · Gearoid O'Loughlin	Conor Brassil · Gearoid O'Loughlin	163	t	35PP-4	116	116	-	—	—	—	+15	16.9	80/1 1%
Regressive for Henry de Bromhead, should be better for last month's point-to-point run
NR	Jacksons Gold b TBC · Ms Alice Curran	· Ms Alice Curran	163	—	55-908	116	123	-	33d	—	—	—	16.5	—
Three-time hurdles winner; 0-7 over fences, no encouragement from this recent hurdles form
NR	Hazelhatch Lady gr TBC · James Andrew Fahey	· James Andrew Fahey	158	—	11355P	111	115	74	50d	—	—	—	16.7	—
Sights lowered after three ambitious attempts, worth considering though ground a concern
NR	Quite Incredible b TBC · Dermot A McLoughlin	· Dermot A McLoughlin	153	—	8-P4P7	106	126	79	29d	—	—	—	14	—
Ordinary form in beginners' chases, failed to deliver on initial handciap hurdle promise
NR	Squire Ohara b TBC · A J Martin	· A J Martin	142	—	70605P	95	114	64	48d	—	—	—	11.3	—
Showed some promise in points, nothing yet on the track, may find his level in due course

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Sweet Will	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	2/1
Nephin Beg	11/2	11/2	5/1	9/2	5/1
Broken Ice	7/1	13/2	7/1	13/2	13/2
Lake Chad	9/1	17/2	17/2	15/2	8/1
Archies Charm	9/1	9/1	9/1	8/1	8/1
Harvey's Quay	10/1	10/1	10/1	17/2	10/1
Soloman Lane	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Paidi's Passion	12/1	12/1	12/1	10/1	12/1
Galon De Vauzelle	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Steppenwolf	14/1	14/1	14/1	11/1	10/1
Temptationinmilan	25/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Serenity Grove	66/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Paidi's Passion

33.9

OR: 17 Form: 15 Odds: 1.9

12/1

2nd

Lake Chad

27.6

OR: 14.5 Form: 10.6 Odds: 2.5

9/1

3rd

Harvey's Quay

OR: 15.8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Sweet Will

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

Broken Ice

23.1

OR: 15 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Archies Charm

18.9

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Steppenwolf

18.4

OR: 15.3 Form: 1.2 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Temptationinmilan

18.2

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Nephin Beg

17.4

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Galon De Vauzelle

17.4

OR: 14.8 Form: 1.1 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Serenity Grove

16.9

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Hazelhatch Lady

16.7

OR: 15.3 Form: 1.4 Odds: 0

—

Jacksons Gold

16.5

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Soloman Lane

16.3

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Quite Incredible

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Squire Ohara

11.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Temptationinmilan Top Rated	119	127	—
Paidi's Passion	118	121	65
Archies Charm	116	126	110
Serenity Grove	116	116	—
Jacksons Gold	116	123	—
Sweet Will	114	124	71
Harvey's Quay	113	124	77
Steppenwolf	111	120	90
Hazelhatch Lady	111	115	74
Broken Ice	110	129	116
Galon De Vauzelle	109	126	100
Lake Chad	108	124	112
Quite Incredible	106	126	79
Soloman Lane	105	125	55
Nephin Beg	102	119	25
Squire Ohara	95	114	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sweet Will	27d ago	Fit
Nephin Beg	31d ago	Fit
Broken Ice	35d ago	Fit
Lake Chad	36d ago	Fit
Archies Charm	29d ago	Fit
Harvey's Quay	48d ago	Fresh
Soloman Lane	48d ago	Fresh
Paidi's Passion	49d ago	Fresh
Galon De Vauzelle	41d ago	Fit
Steppenwolf	23d ago	Fit
Temptationinmilan	13d ago	Quick return
Serenity Grove	—	—
Jacksons Gold	33d ago	Fit
Hazelhatch Lady	50d ago	Fresh
Quite Incredible	29d ago	Fit
Squire Ohara	48d ago	Fresh

Going: Soft

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