BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

3:05

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2024-01-16

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,527

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (2)	Pessoa b Finley Marsh · Adrian Wintle	Finley Marsh · Adrian Wintle	133	—	9941-1	65	78	55	4d	—	—	-8	23.8	2/1 33%
5lb penalty for the second of his back-to-back C&D wins but still likely to have a say.
3 (6)	Surprise Picture b Billy Garritty · Grant Tuer	Billy Garritty · Grant Tuer	134	v	0706-2	66	80	70	4d	—	—	-5	14.7	7/2 22%
C&D winner who was just collared when trying to make all again here (8.5f) latest; player.
11 (8)	Laura's Breeze b/br Rossa Ryan · Ed Dunlop	Rossa Ryan · Ed Dunlop	129	—	157-22	61	82	71	6d	—	—	-13	9.4	10/3 23%
A repeat of either of her last two efforts at Kempton (Polytrack) would see her go close.
2 (7)	Dion Baker b Adam Farragher · Michael Wigham	Adam Farragher · Michael Wigham	135	b	8743-2	67	80	69	11d	—	—	+1	12.6	15/2 12%
Dropped to this trip when producing AW career-best (first-time blinkers) latest; player.
5 (4)	Cobh Harbour b Shane Kelly · Mark Loughnane	Shane Kelly · Mark Loughnane	133	—	332-	65	82	40	17d	—	—	+7	14.5	11/1 8%
Improving and with a repeat of his latest effort he'd be a big player on handicap debut.
9 (9)	Swinging Eddie b Kevin Stott · Grant Tuer	Kevin Stott · Grant Tuer	131	—	06314-	63	77	71	17d	—	—	+8	13.4	20/1 5%
Triple C&D winner; good effort from this mark behind Pessoa latest; not ruled out.
8 (3)	Autumn Angel b Molly Gunn(7) · Tony Carroll	Molly Gunn(7) · Tony Carroll	132	b	0328-1	64	80	60	10d	—	—	+10	14.7	20/1 5%
A repeat of her latest effort would make her a big player but inconsistency is a concern.
12 (5)	Tipperary Moon b David Probert · D Donovan	David Probert · D Donovan	127	p	5660-0	59	81	-	10d	—	—	-3	4.4	28/1 3%
Dual 7f Polytrack winner; last of 11 on his return from a break latest; much more needed.
10 (10)	Fly The Nest b Hector Crouch · Tony Carroll	Hector Crouch · Tony Carroll	130	—	16109-	62	78	52	16d	—	—	+9	10.5	66/1 1%
C&D winner; well beaten in two starts since a break but not written off back here.
1 (1)	Lewis Barnes ch Paddy Bradley(3) · John Butler	Paddy Bradley(3) · John Butler	135	—	92-8	67	74	32	10d	—	—	+3	4.8	150/1 1%
Second over C&D on his second start; didn't back that up latest; initial mark looks stiff.
NR (12)	Mumayaz b William Carson · Tony Carroll	William Carson · Tony Carroll	134	t	422-22	66	80	68	1d	—	—	—	4	—
Second in eight of his nine races this autumn/winter; that includes Lingfield yesterday.
NR (11)	Dakota Power b Aidan Keeley(3) · Roger Teal	Aidan Keeley(3) · Roger Teal	133	—	40333-	65	78	65	17d	—	—	—	10.4	—
Consistent; third over C&D on his last three starts; should again be thereabouts.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Pessoa	2/1	7/4	2/1	15/8	15/8
Surprise Picture	10/3	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
Laura's Breeze	3/1	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Dion Baker	13/2	6/1	15/2	7/1	7/1
Cobh Harbour	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1
Swinging Eddie	18/1	16/1	20/1	14/1	18/1
Autumn Angel	20/1	18/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Tipperary Moon	28/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Fly The Nest	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Lewis Barnes	150/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pessoa

23.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 10 Odds: 10

2/1

2nd

Surprise Picture

14.7

OR: 4 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Autumn Angel

14.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Cobh Harbour

14.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 8.6 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Swinging Eddie

13.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Dion Baker

12.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Fly The Nest

10.5

OR: 3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Dakota Power

10.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 6.6 Odds: 0

—

Laura's Breeze

9.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Lewis Barnes

4.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

150/1

Tipperary Moon

4.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

28/1

Mumayaz

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dion Baker Top Rated	67	80	69
Lewis Barnes	67	74	32
Surprise Picture	66	80	70
Mumayaz	66	80	68
Pessoa	65	78	55
Cobh Harbour	65	82	40
Dakota Power	65	78	65
Autumn Angel	64	80	60
Swinging Eddie	63	77	71
Fly The Nest	62	78	52
Laura's Breeze	61	82	71
Tipperary Moon	59	81	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Pessoa	4d ago	Quick return
Surprise Picture	4d ago	Quick return
Laura's Breeze	6d ago	Quick return
Dion Baker	11d ago	Quick return
Cobh Harbour	17d ago	Fit
Swinging Eddie	17d ago	Fit
Autumn Angel	10d ago	Quick return
Tipperary Moon	10d ago	Quick return
Fly The Nest	16d ago	Fit
Lewis Barnes	10d ago	Quick return
Mumayaz	1d ago	Quick return
Dakota Power	17d ago	Fit

Going: Standard

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