Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

4:25

Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-01-22

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (7)	Bonito Cavalo b J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	132	—	6700-1	51	67	56	14d	—	—	-9	18.7	2/1 33%
0-22 on turf but he won on his AW debut here two weeks ago; respected back up in trip
6 (8)	Royal Prospect b J:Cam Hardie T:Susan Corbett	J:Cam Hardie T:Susan Corbett	132	tp	6274-1	51	70	46	18d	—	—	-2	15.5	9/2 18%
Recorded his ninth win when bouncing back over C&D 18 days ago; key player
7 (6)	Little Red Dancer b J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	130	p	03234-	49	65	54	31d	—	—	-5	9.5	6/1 14%
Just 1-22 but she's had some near-misses this winter and still looks on a workable mark
2 (10)	Sparkling Spirit b J:Harry Russell T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Harry Russell T:Adrian Paul Keatley	135	b	43-333	54	68	56	10d	—	—	-8	4.6	6/1 14%
0-16 but she's in good form and has claims if she gets a good pace and some luck
1 (9)	Atlantic Heart b J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	135	—	3075-9	54	69	39	16d	—	—	-6	3.9	15/2 12%
Losing run is up to 12 and he's generally underperformed for current yard; down the list
4 (4)	Kananga b J:William Pyle(5) T:Craig Lidster	J:William Pyle(5) T:Craig Lidster	132	p	05903-	51	68	46	35d	—	—	-4	5.9	8/1 11%
Good third at Wolverhampton (8.6f) and he's open to more progress back in trip; in the mix
3 (2)	Desert Boots b J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:John Butler	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:John Butler	134	p	36788-	53	65	42	30d	—	—	-3	3.1	16/1 6%
His last win was almost three years ago and he made a low-key comeback last month
8 (1)	Fighting Chance ch J:Jason Hart T:Simon West	J:Jason Hart T:Simon West	126	p	73448-	45	66	53	76d	—	—	-1	1.6	50/1 2%
20-race maiden who was disappointing here last time and still has something to prove at 7f
9 (5)	Mr Coco Bean b J:James Sullivan T:Helen Cuthbert	J:James Sullivan T:Helen Cuthbert	126	p	7600-6	45	58	25	18d	—	—	-1	0.5	100/1 1%
On dangerous mark but last win was in 2021 and he's struggled in last three runs
10 (3)	Independent Beauty b J:Joanna Mason T:Lisa Williamson	J:Joanna Mason T:Lisa Williamson	126	—	8078-8	45	63	36	17d	—	—	-1	0.5	100/1 1%
30-race maiden who has form figures of 80788 since September and can only be watched

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Bonito Cavalo	2/1	2/1	15/8	2/1	2/1
Royal Prospect	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Little Red Dancer	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Sparkling Spirit	5/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Atlantic Heart	7/1	7/1	15/2	7/1	7/1
Kananga	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Desert Boots	14/1	14/1	16/1	12/1	12/1
Fighting Chance	50/1	40/1	33/1	40/1	40/1
Mr Coco Bean	100/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Independent Beauty	100/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bonito Cavalo

18.7

OR: 0.3 Form: 10 Odds: 8.4

2/1

2nd

Royal Prospect

15.5

OR: 0.3 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

9/2

3rd

Little Red Dancer

9.5

OR: 0 Form: 5.5 Odds: 4

6/1

Kananga

5.9

OR: 0.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Sparkling Spirit

4.6

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Atlantic Heart

3.9

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Desert Boots

3.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Fighting Chance

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Mr Coco Bean

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Independent Beauty

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sparkling Spirit Top Rated	54	68	56
Atlantic Heart	54	69	39
Desert Boots	53	65	42
Bonito Cavalo	51	67	56
Royal Prospect	51	70	46
Kananga	51	68	46
Little Red Dancer	49	65	54
Fighting Chance	45	66	53
Mr Coco Bean	45	58	25
Independent Beauty	45	63	36

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bonito Cavalo	14d ago	Fit
Royal Prospect	18d ago	Fit
Little Red Dancer	31d ago	Fit
Sparkling Spirit	10d ago	Quick return
Atlantic Heart	16d ago	Fit
Kananga	35d ago	Fit
Desert Boots	30d ago	Fit
Fighting Chance	76d ago	Fresh
Mr Coco Bean	18d ago	Fit
Independent Beauty	17d ago	Fit

Going: Standard

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