Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle (Go North Sea Pigeon Qualifier)

Newcastle

4:35

Date 2024-02-24

Distance 2m190y

Class Class 5

Going Heavy

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,248

Runners 9

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5	Raffles Wonder ch Aaron Anderson · Rebecca Menzies	Aaron Anderson · Rebecca Menzies	158	ht	5-4006	86	88	80	17d	—	—	-6	15.2	7/2 22%
Well beaten on his four hurdle starts but this bumper winner goes h'capping off lowly mark
6	Chumlee b Patrick Wadge · Sandy Forster	Patrick Wadge · Sandy Forster	153	h	0991-3	81	93	71	41d	—	—	-3	16.5	4/1 20%
Well backed when winning on handicap debut over C&D last March and remains unexposed
9	Melvich Bay b Joe Williamson · Danny Brooke	Joe Williamson · Danny Brooke	147	p	523B33	75	101	93	22d	—	—	+2	17.7	5/1 17%
0-14 but fair performances the last twice and might not be far away; cheekpieces go on
7	This Is Bob b Charlotte Jones · Susan Corbett	Charlotte Jones · Susan Corbett	149	—	7P-558	77	93	73	25d	—	—	-2	10.4	7/1 13%
Drops back in trip but was tailed off on last month's handicap debut here; hard to fancy
2	Purple Gown ch William Maggs(3) · Adam Nicol	William Maggs(3) · Adam Nicol	162	—	345	90	96	68	17d	—	—	+4	14.6	15/2 12%
Soundly beaten fifth on recent h'cap debut but not written off in view of previous efforts
1	Into The Sunset b Peter Kavanagh(3) · Donald McCain	Peter Kavanagh(3) · Donald McCain	168	—	17351-	96	-	-	546d	—	—	+17	28.3	15/2 12%
Won two good-ground handicaps in 2022; tackles testing ground now back from an absence
4	Silver Vision gr Edward Austin · Stuart Coltherd	Edward Austin · Stuart Coltherd	159	—	P98P15	87	97	56	29d	—	—	+11	17.4	11/1 8%
25-1 win at Kelso last month but inconsistent and soundly beaten at Sedgefield since
3	I Doubt That b Bruce Lynn · Daragh Bourke	Bruce Lynn · Daragh Bourke	162	—	00/0P-	90	96	10	331d	—	—	+3	12.7	16/1 6%
Flat winner, but hasn't shown much across his four hurdle runs and has something to prove
8	Mister Smarty ch Alan Doyle · Tina Jackson	Alan Doyle · Tina Jackson	147	—	70-609	75	94	39	49d	—	—	+4	7.1	40/1 2%
Well beaten at 25-1 on last month's handicap debut here (2m4f, soft); others are preferred

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Raffles Wonder	7/2	10/3	10/3	11/4	3/1
Chumlee	4/1	7/2	7/2	3/1	7/2
Melvich Bay	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2	9/2
This Is Bob	7/1	7/1	7/1	5/1	13/2
Purple Gown	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Into The Sunset	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2	7/1
Silver Vision	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
I Doubt That	12/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	11/1
Mister Smarty	40/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Into The Sunset

28.3

OR: 11.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 3.3

15/2

2nd

Melvich Bay

17.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 7 Odds: 4.4

5/1

3rd

Silver Vision

17.4

OR: 9.3 Form: 6.3 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Chumlee

16.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Raffles Wonder

15.2

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Purple Gown

14.6

OR: 10 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

I Doubt That

12.7

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

16/1

This Is Bob

10.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Mister Smarty

7.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Into The Sunset Top Rated	96	—	—
Purple Gown	90	96	68
I Doubt That	90	96	10
Silver Vision	87	97	56
Raffles Wonder	86	88	80
Chumlee	81	93	71
This Is Bob	77	93	73
Melvich Bay	75	101	93
Mister Smarty	75	94	39

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Raffles Wonder	17d ago	Fit
Chumlee	41d ago	Fit
Melvich Bay	22d ago	Fit
This Is Bob	25d ago	Fit
Purple Gown	17d ago	Fit
Into The Sunset	546d ago	Long break
Silver Vision	29d ago	Fit
I Doubt That	331d ago	Long break
Mister Smarty	49d ago	Fresh

Going: Heavy

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