nagsbet.com £10 Free Bet Mares' Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Category 3 Elimination) (GBB)

Hereford

5:12

Date 2024-03-09

Distance 2m53y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type NH Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-6yo

Prize £2,451

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4	Jena D'Oudairies b Lorcan Williams · Paul Nicholls	Lorcan Williams · Paul Nicholls	156	—	3	-	112	85	103d	—	—	-16	11.4	85/40 32%
Placed in what has turned out to be a fairly good race at Ludlow in November; major player
11	Walkadina b Jack Tudor · David Pipe	Jack Tudor · David Pipe	156	—	3	-	-	-	—	—	—	-16	11.4	2/1 33%
Made very promising Irish point debut in November and new yard has very good bumper record
10	Queens Melody b Beau Morgan(5) · Ben Pauling	Beau Morgan(5) · Ben Pauling	156	—	2-3	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	10.1	7/1 13%
Bought for £60,000 after making the frame in two heavy-ground Irish points last year
12	Fennella b Toby Wynne(3) · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	Toby Wynne(3) · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	146	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-9	3.6	15/2 12%
Half-sister to bumper/useful hurdle winner Knight Bachelor; market may guide
9	Portobello Girl b Finn Lambert(5) · Nigel Twiston-Davies	Finn Lambert(5) · Nigel Twiston-Davies	156	—	4	-	106	86	37d	—	—	-8	3.3	17/2 11%
Kept on for respectable fourth at Wincanton last month; open to improvement here
3	Eliza Storm b/br Harry Bannister · Richard J Bandey	Harry Bannister · Richard J Bandey	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	18/1 5%
Half-sister to three useful jumpers; well worth a glance in the betting
7	My Bobby's Lass b Alex Edwards · Mel Rowley	Alex Edwards · Mel Rowley	156	—	6	-	79	36	64d	—	—	-2	0.9	33/1 3%
Has pretty good pedigree for bumpers but was soundly beaten in debut in January
2	Damzon b Nick Scholfield · James Evans	Nick Scholfield · James Evans	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	66/1 1%
Fourth foal from a fair 2m AW winner; stable is 0-11 in bumpers during last five seasons
8	Pearl's Legacy b Thomasina Eyston(7) · Brian Eckley	Thomasina Eyston(7) · Brian Eckley	156	—	7-7	-	97	72	305d	—	—	-1	0.5	80/1 1%
Absent since finishing seventh of ten at Ludlow last May; not the obvious answer
13	Lady Buttercup b Peter Kavanagh(3) · Donald McCain	Peter Kavanagh(3) · Donald McCain	146	—	9	-	86	-	39d	—	—	-1	0.4	66/1 1%
Shaped with promise before weakening on debut but others have more pressing claims
6	Lune Et Retour b Daire Davis(7) · Fergal O'Brien	Daire Davis(7) · Fergal O'Brien	156	—	—	-	78	44	37d	—	—	-1	0.4	66/1 1%
Always behind when 28-1 for last month's debut at Wincanton
14	Sweet Serene b Tabitha Worsley(3) · James Evans	Tabitha Worsley(3) · James Evans	146	—	9	-	86	39	44d	—	—	-1	0.3	150/1 1%
Finished down the field after racing too freely on debut (wore blinkers); best watched
5	Lake's Aventurine b Ben Poste · Harriet Dickin	Ben Poste · Harriet Dickin	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	100/1 1%
Out of a French Flat winner; stable ot known for success in bumpers
NR	Asian Star b NON-RUNNER · Dan Skelton	NON-RUNNER · Dan Skelton	156	—	F	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—
Disputing second before penultimate-fence fall on Irish point debut; joined top stable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Jena D'Oudairies	2/1	2/1	2/1	85/40	15/8
Walkadina	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1
Queens Melody	7/1	11/2	13/2	11/2	11/2
Fennella	15/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Portobello Girl	8/1	15/2	17/2	15/2	15/2
Eliza Storm	18/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
My Bobby's Lass	33/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Damzon	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
Pearl's Legacy	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Lady Buttercup	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1
Lune Et Retour	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Sweet Serene	150/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Lake's Aventurine	100/1	80/1	50/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Jena D'Oudairies

11.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 8.4

85/40

2nd

Walkadina

11.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 8.4

2/1

3rd

Queens Melody

10.1

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Fennella

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

15/2

Portobello Girl

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

17/2

Eliza Storm

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

18/1

My Bobby's Lass

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Pearl's Legacy

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Damzon

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Lady Buttercup

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Lune Et Retour

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Lake's Aventurine

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Sweet Serene

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Asian Star

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jena D'Oudairies	—	112	85
Walkadina	—	—	—
Queens Melody	—	—	—
Fennella	—	—	—
Portobello Girl	—	106	86
Eliza Storm	—	—	—
My Bobby's Lass	—	79	36
Damzon	—	—	—
Pearl's Legacy	—	97	72
Lady Buttercup	—	86	—
Lune Et Retour	—	78	44
Sweet Serene	—	86	39
Lake's Aventurine	—	—	—
Asian Star	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jena D'Oudairies	103d ago	Long break
Walkadina	—	—
Queens Melody	—	—
Fennella	—	—
Portobello Girl	37d ago	Fit
Eliza Storm	—	—
My Bobby's Lass	64d ago	Fresh
Damzon	—	—
Pearl's Legacy	305d ago	Long break
Lady Buttercup	39d ago	Fit
Lune Et Retour	37d ago	Fit
Sweet Serene	44d ago	Fit
Lake's Aventurine	—	—
Asian Star	—	—

Going: Good To Soft

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