IRE-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Chelmer Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) (IRE Incentive Race)

Chelmsford (AW)

7:30

Date 2024-05-02

Distance 6f

Class Class 1

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £45,368

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (8)	Pandora's Gift b Rossa Ryan · Stuart Williams	Rossa Ryan · Stuart Williams	128	—	21-11	90	109	97	34d	—	—	-9	18.4	15/8 35%
Won her last three, including impressive win on Good Friday; this tougher but unexposed
4 (9)	Jabaara b James Doyle · Roger Varian	James Doyle · Roger Varian	128	—	10426-	101	109	-	215d	—	—	+5	23.5	10/3 23%
Not beaten far in a Group 1 when last seen; good chance if that wasn't a fluke
9 (1)	Soprano ch Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	128	—	33237-	101	110	-	215d	—	—	+6	24.1	10/3 23%
Beaten 5 times after winning 2yo debut but that doesn't tell the whole tale; had wind op
6 (10)	Miss Black Jack b Neil Callan · John S O'Donoghue	Neil Callan · John S O'Donoghue	128	—	442-21	89	106	90	27d	—	—	+5	11.7	10/1 9%
Big improver since switched to AW, routing rivals in a minor Dundalk handicap latest
8 (6)	Queen Of Mougins b Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett	Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett	128	—	14-	91	102	-	238d	—	—	+13	18.9	12/1 8%
4th in Group 3 just three weeks after a winning debut; unexposed; yard yet to hit top gear
10 (12)	Tazara b Kieran Shoemark · C Ferland	Kieran Shoemark · C Ferland	128	—	322-1	-	96	76	22d	—	—	+6	11.4	14/1 7%
French win last month (6f, heavy) not working out; best watched from the widest stall
12 (2)	Ziggy's Dream b Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	128	—	7181-1	89	104	91	19d	—	—	+16	21.4	12/1 8%
Won well at Wolverhampton on her return; not as much to find as BHA ratings might indicate
11 (7)	Works Of Art b Rob Hornby · Andrew Balding	Rob Hornby · Andrew Balding	128	—	61320-	92	99	-	181d	—	—	+17	19.2	28/1 3%
Ran well in the Two-Year-Old Trophy at Redcar but other form leaves her with a bit to find
5 (3)	Lady Pink Rose ch Shane Gray · K R Burke	Shane Gray · K R Burke	128	—	7182-6	84	99	59	19d	—	—	+7	8.9	50/1 2%
Had some fair 5f form as a 2yo; needs to step up on last month's return to action though
1 (11)	Boann b Callum Shepherd · Ollie Sangster	Callum Shepherd · Ollie Sangster	128	tb	7181-4	80	94	73	32d	—	—	+7	7.7	80/1 1%
Two AW wins as a 2yo but held in Class 4 handicap on return; now blinkered; hard to fancy
2 (4)	Court Drive b George Wood · Gay Kelleway	George Wood · Gay Kelleway	128	—	17	-	80	47	3d	—	—	+7	7.1	150/1 1%
Sprung 50-1 surprise on last month's debut (7f); well held over 6f on Monday; no appeal
NR (5)	Exponista b TBC · David Loughnane	· David Loughnane	128	—	2716-0	89	101	-	13d	—	—	—	9.8	—
Down the field in Bath Listed race on return; stepping back up to 6f can help; needs more

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Pandora's Gift	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8
Jabaara	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Soprano	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Miss Black Jack	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Queen Of Mougins	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Tazara	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Ziggy's Dream	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Works Of Art	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Lady Pink Rose	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Boann	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Court Drive	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Soprano

24.1

OR: 12.8 Form: 6.1 Odds: 5.2

10/3

2nd

Jabaara

23.5

OR: 12.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 5.3

10/3

3rd

Ziggy's Dream

21.4

OR: 9.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Works Of Art

19.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 8 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Queen Of Mougins

18.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Pandora's Gift

18.4

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

15/8

Miss Black Jack

11.7

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Tazara

11.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Exponista

9.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Lady Pink Rose

8.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Boann

7.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

80/1

Court Drive

7.1

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 0.1

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jabaara Top Rated	101	109	—
Soprano	101	110	—
Works Of Art	92	99	—
Queen Of Mougins	91	102	—
Pandora's Gift	90	109	97
Miss Black Jack	89	106	90
Ziggy's Dream	89	104	91
Exponista	89	101	—
Lady Pink Rose	84	99	59
Boann	80	94	73
Tazara	—	96	76
Court Drive	—	80	47

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Pandora's Gift	34d ago	Fit
Jabaara	215d ago	Long break
Soprano	215d ago	Long break
Miss Black Jack	27d ago	Fit
Queen Of Mougins	238d ago	Long break
Tazara	22d ago	Fit
Ziggy's Dream	19d ago	Fit
Works Of Art	181d ago	Long break
Lady Pink Rose	19d ago	Fit
Boann	32d ago	Fit
Court Drive	3d ago	Quick return
Exponista	13d ago	Quick return

Going: Standard

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