Alfie's Bar Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

7:20

Alfie's Bar Handicap

Date 2024-05-03

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,716

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (9)	Test Of Love b J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	133	—	058-2	66	82	47	11d	—	—	-5	14.7	3/1 25%
Will be 4lb higher from tomorrow after last Monday's second and his claims are obvious
9 (8)	Cuban Storm gr J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	129	—	889-2	62	78	50	17d	—	—	-3	12.4	4/1 20%
All the rage ahead of recent C&D comeback, when a clear second to Socialise; shortlisted
5 (7)	Oakland Princess b J:Harrison Shaw T:K R Burke	J:Harrison Shaw T:K R Burke	132	—	44-0	65	73	-	30d	—	—	-5	7.4	5/1 17%
Comeback effort can be ignored and she has some potential for a yard among the winners
2 (4)	Wren Officer b J:Callum Rodriguez T:Gay Kelleway	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Gay Kelleway	135	v	146541	68	79	62	17d	—	—	+8	17.2	7/1 13%
Made it 2-2 over C&D when winning tidily off a 5lb lower mark latest; should go well again
10 (3)	Socialise b J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	127	—	4447-1	60	78	52	17d	—	—	+7	14.6	9/1 10%
Plenty of racing last year and regressed; needs more on 4lb worse terms with Cuban Storm
7 (6)	Profit Street b J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	130	—	4501-	63	74	61	182d	—	—	+9	15	12/1 8%
Interesting to see how he goes in the market against Socialise on comeback upped 6lb
3 (14)	Triggerman b J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	134	p	920-	67	76	22	218d	—	—	+5	9	16/1 6%
Been gelded and looks to start handicap life off a workable mark in first-time headgear
6 (12)	Raft Up b J:Joanna Mason T:Harriet Bethell	J:Joanna Mason T:Harriet Bethell	130	—	08203-	63	73	55	202d	—	—	+6	10	16/1 6%
Been gelded and undergone wind surgery since picked up for 8,000gns last autumn
1 (11)	Havana Rose gr J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Katie Scott	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Katie Scott	137	—	260-33	70	75	40	41d	—	—	+2	6	20/1 5%
Satisfactory start for her new yard over C&D six weeks ago but others make greater appeal
14 (1)	Diligent Henry b J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	124	p	856	57	67	45	54d	—	—	-1	2.7	20/1 5%
This more realistic now handicapping in headgear but he'd still be a surprise winner
8 (13)	Glory Hyde b J:Harry Russell T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Harry Russell T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	130	—	42466-	63	77	62	178d	—	—	+2	5.6	22/1 4%
Exposed maiden who needs to have improved for the layoff; several others stronger
11 (2)	Old Bailey b J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	127	p	008-49	60	71	47	24d	—	—	+1	2.9	50/1 2%
Big prices all starts to date (5f-7f) and hasn't achieved much; is tried in headgear
12 (5)	Lincoln's Inn gr J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	126	h	7549-	59	70	51	161d	—	—	+1	2.6	66/1 1%
Didn't show enough last year to suggest she's about to win this back from a layoff
13 (10)	Come On Irene b J:Andrew Mullen T:Michael Herrington	J:Andrew Mullen T:Michael Herrington	124	—	6905-8	57	76	34	17d	—	—	+1	2.1	66/1 1%
Little promise on recent comeback for new yard, when well behind Wren Officer over C&D

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Test Of Love	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Cuban Storm	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Oakland Princess	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Wren Officer	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Socialise	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Profit Street	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Triggerman	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Raft Up	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Havana Rose	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Diligent Henry	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Glory Hyde	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Old Bailey	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Lincoln's Inn	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Come On Irene	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Wren Officer

17.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

7/1

2nd

Profit Street

OR: 3.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

12/1

3rd

Test Of Love

14.7

OR: 4 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

3/1

Socialise

14.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Cuban Storm

12.4

OR: 3 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Raft Up

OR: 3.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Triggerman

OR: 4.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Oakland Princess

7.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Havana Rose

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Glory Hyde

5.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Old Bailey

2.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Diligent Henry

2.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Lincoln's Inn

2.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Come On Irene

2.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Havana Rose Top Rated	70	75	40
Wren Officer	68	79	62
Triggerman	67	76	22
Test Of Love	66	82	47
Oakland Princess	65	73	—
Profit Street	63	74	61
Raft Up	63	73	55
Glory Hyde	63	77	62
Cuban Storm	62	78	50
Socialise	60	78	52
Old Bailey	60	71	47
Lincoln's Inn	59	70	51
Diligent Henry	57	67	45
Come On Irene	57	76	34

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Test Of Love	11d ago	Quick return
Cuban Storm	17d ago	Fit
Wren Officer	17d ago	Fit
Socialise	17d ago	Fit
Come On Irene	17d ago	Fit
Old Bailey	24d ago	Fit
Oakland Princess	30d ago	Fit
Havana Rose	41d ago	Fit
Diligent Henry	54d ago	Fresh
Lincoln's Inn	161d ago	Long break
Glory Hyde	178d ago	Long break
Profit Street	182d ago	Long break
Raft Up	202d ago	Long break
Triggerman	218d ago	Long break