Herring Queen Series Final Mares' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)

Kelso

3:45

Date 2024-05-08

Distance 2m51y

Class Class 2

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £25,720

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2	Lily Du Berlais b J J Slevin · S R B Crawford	J J Slevin · S R B Crawford	160	ht	3P/21-	120	127	94	19d	—	—	+7	21.9	11/2 15%
Off mark in Ayr mares' maiden last time; this is tougher and better ground a concern
4	Mighty Moth b Robert Dunne · Noel Williams	Robert Dunne · Noel Williams	152	—	/3512-	112	128	120	17d	—	—	+19	32	6/1 14%
Won mares' maiden before good second in a mares' h'cap; conditions suit; interesting
12	Dameofthecotswolds b James Turner(7) · Nigel Twiston-Davies	James Turner(7) · Nigel Twiston-Davies	142	—	34322-	108	127	117	20d	—	—	+16	28.7	11/2 15%
Best on good ground; clear 2nd in Cheltenham h'cap last month; 4lb wrong but has a chance
10	Mary b Brian Hughes · Ian Williams	Brian Hughes · Ian Williams	145	—	33867-	105	125	110	20d	—	—	+7	18.6	8/1 11%
Placed in bumpers; good runs on first two hurdles starts, but hasn't progressed
3	Politacus b Liam Harrison · Fergal O'Brien	Liam Harrison · Fergal O'Brien	154	tp	44611-	114	129	112	24d	—	—	+27	35.5	9/1 10%
Won mares' handicaps over 2m4f/2m5f on last 2 starts; headgear tried; shorter trip a worry
6	Strong Belle gr Sam Twiston-Davies · Nigel Twiston-Davies	Sam Twiston-Davies · Nigel Twiston-Davies	149	—	2PF21-	109	130	122	70d	—	—	+22	30.4	10/1 9%
Won a 2m mares' maiden on heavy last time; better ground fine; worth considering
7	Shakeyatailfeather b Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton	Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton	149	—	04B22-	109	127	119	19d	—	—	+17	25.6	11/1 8%
Closely matched with Lily Du Berlais on Ayr form in March; better ground fine; a possible.
11	Brendas Asking b Ciaran Gethings · Kim Bailey	Ciaran Gethings · Kim Bailey	143	—	/5442-	103	127	107	48d	—	—	+13	20.4	12/1 8%
Goes on good ground but has a bit to find with Linda Moon on Taunton form in February
1	Brucio b Ben Bromley(5) · S R B Crawford	Ben Bromley(5) · S R B Crawford	168	t	F11B0-	128	127	84	26d	—	—	+22	29.1	16/1 6%
Two wins, latest a Listed mares' handicap; now 12lb higher; may find others better treated
8	Linda Moon ch Jack Quinlan · Neil King	Jack Quinlan · Neil King	149	t	/6324-	109	128	100	67d	—	—	+16	21.4	16/1 6%
Bumper winner; best hurdles run when 2nd on good in February; interesting on h'cap debut
5	Micks Jet ch Joe Williamson(3) · Philip Kirby	Joe Williamson(3) · Philip Kirby	151	—	3431P-	111	129	106	20d	—	—	+19	24.2	20/1 5%
Pulled up in Listed novice last time having won 2m4f maiden in Feb; drop to 2m a concern
9	Spit Spot ch Craig Nichol · Lucinda Russell	Craig Nichol · Lucinda Russell	146	t	62224-	106	126	102	23d	—	—	+19	22.3	28/1 3%
Dual AW Flat winner; best hurdles form when 2nd in mares' h'cap; better ground should suit

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Lily Du Berlais	11/2	11/2	5/1	5/1	4/1
Mighty Moth	11/2	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Dameofthecotswolds	11/2	11/2	5/1	11/2	11/2
Mary	8/1	13/2	6/1	8/1	6/1
Politacus	15/2	9/1	9/1	8/1	8/1
Strong Belle	8/1	10/1	9/1	8/1	8/1
Shakeyatailfeather	10/1	11/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Brendas Asking	11/1	12/1	11/1	9/1	11/1
Brucio	16/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Linda Moon	14/1	16/1	16/1	12/1	16/1
Micks Jet	20/1	18/1	18/1	14/1	18/1
Spit Spot	25/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Politacus

35.5

OR: 16 Form: 17 Odds: 2.5

9/1

2nd

Mighty Moth

OR: 15.5 Form: 12.9 Odds: 3.6

6/1

3rd

Strong Belle

30.4

OR: 14.8 Form: 13.3 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Brucio

29.1

OR: 19.5 Form: 7.7 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Dameofthecotswolds

28.7

OR: 14.5 Form: 10.6 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Shakeyatailfeather

25.6

OR: 14.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Micks Jet

24.2

OR: 15.3 Form: 7.6 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Spit Spot

22.3

OR: 14 Form: 7.5 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Lily Du Berlais

21.9

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Linda Moon

21.4

OR: 14.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Brendas Asking

20.4

OR: 13.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Mary

18.6

OR: 13.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.3

8/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Brucio Top Rated	128	127	84
Lily Du Berlais	120	127	94
Politacus	114	129	112
Mighty Moth	112	128	120
Micks Jet	111	129	106
Strong Belle	109	130	122
Shakeyatailfeather	109	127	119
Linda Moon	109	128	100
Dameofthecotswolds	108	127	117
Spit Spot	106	126	102
Mary	105	125	110
Brendas Asking	103	127	107

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lily Du Berlais	19d ago	Fit
Mighty Moth	17d ago	Fit
Dameofthecotswolds	20d ago	Fit
Mary	20d ago	Fit
Politacus	24d ago	Fit
Strong Belle	70d ago	Fresh
Shakeyatailfeather	19d ago	Fit
Brendas Asking	48d ago	Fresh
Brucio	26d ago	Fit
Linda Moon	67d ago	Fresh
Micks Jet	20d ago	Fit
Spit Spot	23d ago	Fit

Going: Good

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