Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap)

Ascot

2:45

Date 2024-08-10

Distance 1m3f211y

Class Class 2

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £39,344

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (1)	Insanity b J:Rachel King T:Alan King	J:Rachel King T:Alan King	134	—	815-12	91	104	71	15d	—	—	-2	15.3	9/2 18%
Edged in front close home at Windsor (11.4f) in April and went close over C&D 15 days ago
3 (7)	The Goat ch J:Billy Loughnane T:Andrew Balding	J:Billy Loughnane T:Andrew Balding	136	—	6-0021	93	102	47	37d	—	—	+1	14.8	5/1 17%
More competitive again on Kempton AW (1m4f) last two outings, the latest a clearcut win
2 (5)	Truthful b J:Hayley Turner T:William Haggas	J:Hayley Turner T:William Haggas	137	—	1625-7	94	105	85	21d	—	—	+1	15	5/1 17%
Came from a detached last when seventh of 13 in 1m4f Listed race at Newmarket on return
8 (6)	Dancing In Paris b J:Alberto Sanna T:Ian Williams	J:Alberto Sanna T:Ian Williams	128	—	212148	85	103	96	7d	—	—	+7	21.3	11/2 15%
Has now shown he stays further than this, but respected as he's in the form of his life
5 (3)	Cracksking ch J:Tadhg O'Shea T:James Fanshawe	J:Tadhg O'Shea T:James Fanshawe	134	—	1-5213	91	102	83	37d	—	—	+9	20.6	7/1 13%
Solid efforts in handicaps this term and has to be considered
10 (4)	Set Point b J:Seamie Heffernan T:Gordon Elliott	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Gordon Elliott	125	p	06/5-1	82	103	26	42d	—	—	+12	20.2	9/1 10%
Won Ladies Derby at the Curragh (1m2f) six weeks ago, his first Flat turf run since 2022
9 (9)	Good Too b J:Marie Velon T:Adam West	J:Marie Velon T:Adam West	125	—	836314	82	103	79	29d	—	—	+13	18.8	12/1 8%
Won at Kempton in June; close for minor honours at Windsor and York (1m4f) either side
7 (10)	Dream Harder b J:Jose-Luis Borrego T:Ian Williams	J:Jose-Luis Borrego T:Ian Williams	130	p	465286	87	101	82	2d	—	—	+8	13.4	14/1 7%
Chester 2nd three starts ago; probably effective at 1m4f but needs to be back in peak form
6 (2)	Loyal Touch b J:Bauyrzhan Murzabayev T:Charlie Johnston	J:Bauyrzhan Murzabayev T:Charlie Johnston	131	—	015070	88	103	89	11d	—	—	+9	12.4	25/1 4%
Not so hot on last four starts and the worst was his only attempt over this long a trip
1 (8)	Alfred Boucher gr J:Nanako Fujita T:Ian Williams	J:Nanako Fujita T:Ian Williams	142	—	2212P/	99	-	-	686d	—	—	+20	22.3	40/1 2%
Dropped 5lb in his absence but has questions to answer on first run since 2022

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Insanity	4/1	9/2	7/2	4/1	4/1
The Goat	9/2	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2
Truthful	5/1	9/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
Dancing In Paris	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Cracksking	7/1	13/2	13/2	11/2	13/2
Set Point	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2	9/1
Good Too	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Dream Harder	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Loyal Touch	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Alfred Boucher	33/1	33/1	33/1	40/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Alfred Boucher

22.3

OR: 12.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0.6

40/1

2nd

Dancing In Paris

21.3

OR: 8.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Cracksking

20.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Set Point

20.2

OR: 8 Form: 10 Odds: 2.2

9/1

Good Too

18.8

OR: 8 Form: 9.1 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Insanity

15.3

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Truthful

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

The Goat

14.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Dream Harder

13.4

OR: 9.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Loyal Touch

12.4

OR: 9.5 Form: 2 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Alfred Boucher Top Rated	99	—	—
Truthful	94	105	85
The Goat	93	102	47
Insanity	91	104	71
Cracksking	91	102	83
Loyal Touch	88	103	89
Dream Harder	87	101	82
Dancing In Paris	85	103	96
Set Point	82	103	26
Good Too	82	103	79

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dream Harder	2d ago	Quick return
Dancing In Paris	7d ago	Quick return
Loyal Touch	11d ago	Quick return
Insanity	15d ago	Fit
Truthful	21d ago	Fit
Good Too	29d ago	Fit
The Goat	37d ago	Fit
Cracksking	37d ago	Fit
Set Point	42d ago	Fit
Alfred Boucher	686d ago	Long break