Tennent's Lager Classified Stakes – Ayr

Ayr

8:45

Tennent's Lager Classified Stakes

Date 2024-08-10

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 6

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners 13

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (13)	Paco's Pride gr Mark Winn(3) · Daragh Bourke	Mark Winn(3) · Daragh Bourke	135	—	973523	49	59	48	28d	—	—	-5	12.4	4/1 20%
0-19; over 4l behind Millbuie at Hamilton latest (8.5f); untried over tonight's trip
3 (11)	Laudable b Jason Hart · Tristan Davidson	Jason Hart · Tristan Davidson	135	p	724573	47	56	32	18d	—	—	-8	9	4/1 20%
Third at Musselburgh latest (12.5f), carrying head high; shorter trip not strictly a plus
13 (8)	Strike Rate b Paul Mulrennan · Daragh Bourke	Paul Mulrennan · Daragh Bourke	127	—	369085	49	58	27	8d	—	—	-8	3.3	6/1 14%
Held by Visitant on two recent clashes; may fare better once breaking more smartly again
12 (6)	Millbuie b Connor Murtagh · Ewan Whillans	Connor Murtagh · Ewan Whillans	127	p	065552	46	55	25	28d	—	—	-2	7.9	7/1 13%
Fair second in debuted blinkers at Hamilton (8.5f); to be seen whether further suits now
8 (10)	Visitant ch Rhys Elliott(7) · David Thompson	Rhys Elliott(7) · David Thompson	135	p	362582	47	57	25	8d	—	—	-1	9.6	13/2 13%
C&D winner in 2017; went very close in another one of these at Newcastle latest (1m2f)
4 (5)	Lunacy b Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	135	t	686097	49	58	23	14d	—	—	-6	2.4	10/1 9%
Dual Hamilton 1m3f scorer last year; below that level in 2024, even after wind surgery
10 (2)	Leveche b Mohammed Tabti(5) · Iain Jardine	Mohammed Tabti(5) · Iain Jardine	127	—	876	43	46	10	23d	—	—	-4	1.6	14/1 7%
Beaten 21l or more on all three starts thus far; likely preferred trip remains unclear
1 (3)	Anjician ch Oisin McSweeney(3) · Paul Traynor	Oisin McSweeney(3) · Paul Traynor	135	t	0/0865	47	54	37	52d	—	—	-4	1.4	16/1 6%
Preferred trip still unclear; seldom dangerous in a Hamilton 0-52 handicap latest
2 (4)	Going To The Moon b James Sullivan · David Thompson	James Sullivan · David Thompson	135	b	93-000	50	57	24	50d	—	—	-2	0.9	25/1 4%
Yet to find his level again following an absence; blinkers need to work the oracle
11 (1)	Lincoln Royal b Tom Eaves · Ivan Furtado	Tom Eaves · Ivan Furtado	127	ht	77-039	50	56	26	19d	—	—	-2	0.9	25/1 4%
Improved third at Salisbury last month (1m2f); well below that level before and since
9 (12)	Lang Toon Lad b Amie Waugh(5) · Jim Goldie	Amie Waugh(5) · Jim Goldie	127	h	860758	42	47	24	8d	—	—	-2	0.8	28/1 3%
No joy in several classifieds this summer (1m2f latest); hopes rest with the hood
5 (9)	Our Noble Lord ch Oliver Stammers · Lucinda Russell	Oliver Stammers · Lucinda Russell	135	—	00/9-7	42	-	-	38d	—	—	-1	0.5	40/1 2%
Hung left throughout last month's stable debut at Musselburgh; case far from persuasive
NR (7)	Royal Countess b Rhys Elliott(7) · R Mike Smith	Rhys Elliott(7) · R Mike Smith	135	p	60-557	41	49	22	34d	—	—	—	0	—
Three C&D wins but has refused to settle in any run of late; tough ask at these terms

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Paco's Pride	4/1	7/2	7/2	4/1	7/2
Laudable	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1
Strike Rate	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Millbuie	7/1	13/2	13/2	7/1	7/1
Visitant	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Lunacy	9/1	10/1	8/1	10/1	9/1
Leveche	12/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Anjician	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Going To The Moon	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Lincoln Royal	22/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	22/1
Lang Toon Lad	28/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	28/1
Our Noble Lord	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Paco's Pride

12.4

OR: 0 Form: 7.4 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Visitant

9.6

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

3rd

Laudable

OR: 0 Form: 4 Odds: 5

4/1

Millbuie

7.9

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

7/1

Strike Rate

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Lunacy

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Leveche

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Anjician

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Going To The Moon

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Lincoln Royal

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Lang Toon Lad

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Our Noble Lord

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Royal Countess

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Going To The Moon Top Rated	50	57	24
Lincoln Royal	50	56	26
Paco's Pride	49	59	48
Strike Rate	49	58	27
Lunacy	49	58	23
Laudable	47	56	32
Visitant	47	57	25
Anjician	47	54	37
Millbuie	46	55	25
Leveche	43	46	10
Lang Toon Lad	42	47	24
Our Noble Lord	42	—	—
Royal Countess	41	49	22

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Paco's Pride	28d ago	Fit
Laudable	18d ago	Fit
Strike Rate	8d ago	Quick return
Millbuie	28d ago	Fit
Visitant	8d ago	Quick return
Lunacy	14d ago	Fit
Leveche	23d ago	Fit
Anjician	52d ago	Fresh
Going To The Moon	50d ago	Fresh
Lincoln Royal	19d ago	Fit
Lang Toon Lad	8d ago	Quick return
Our Noble Lord	38d ago	Fit
Royal Countess	34d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Soft

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