IRE-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

Chelmsford (AW)

2:10

Date 2024-08-29

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,234

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (1)	Bay City Roller b J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	137	—	1	-	93	-	29d	—	—	-29	30	8/15 65%
Landed a gamble by a neck on Sandown debut; holds several big race entries
9 (5)	Rock d'Oro b J:David Egan T:Ralph Beckett	J:David Egan T:Ralph Beckett	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	4.7	5/1 17%
Attractive pedigree and stable 8-20 (40%) with 2yo newcomers this year
10 (3)	Via Con Me b J:Hector Crouch T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Hector Crouch T:Simon & Ed Crisford	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	5/1 17%
Stable gets plenty of 2yo winners first time; enough on pedigree to make him of interest
5 (2)	Mekhled b J:Sam Hitchcott T:Richard Hannon	J:Sam Hitchcott T:Richard Hannon	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	22/1 4%
Enough to like on breeding and market support should be heeded on debut
7 (7)	Nidaami b J:Jack Mitchell T:Tom Clover	J:Jack Mitchell T:Tom Clover	130	b	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	20/1 5%
Already gelded and wears blinkers on debut; may appreciate further on breeding
2 (10)	Arcturus Flame b J:J F Egan T:Darryll Holland	J:J F Egan T:Darryll Holland	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	40/1 2%
Something to like on breeding but would be a rare winning 2yo newcomer from the stable
6 (11)	Moonlit Stage b J:P J McDonald T:Ed Dunlop	J:P J McDonald T:Ed Dunlop	130	—	44	-	58	47	9d	—	—	-1	0.5	66/1 1%
Fourth in first two starts but well beaten in both; handicaps over further should suit
8 (9)	One Road b J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	130	—	7	-	29	-	11d	—	—	-1	0.2	200/1 0%
Looked awkward when tailed-off on his Pontefract debut; best watched for now
11 (6)	Take The Boat b J:Darragh Keenan T:D Donovan	J:Darragh Keenan T:D Donovan	125	—	47	-	62	58	9d	—	—	0	0.1	300/1 0%
Has hinted at ability, but her future probably lies in handicaps after this
4 (4)	Manton Road b J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	130	—	—	-	33	-	30d	—	—	0	0.1	400/1 0%
Looked an awkward ride when tailed off on his Yarmouth debut; best watched for now
NR (8)	Launceston ch J:TBC T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J: T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	130	—	—	-	36	37	14d	—	—	—	0	—
Always behind on his debut here a fortnight ago; looks one for handicaps over further

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Bay City Roller	4/9	4/9	4/9	8/15	1/2
Rock d'Oro	5/1	9/2	5/1	4/1	9/2
Via Con Me	5/1	9/2	5/1	4/1	9/2
Mekhled	18/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Nidaami	18/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Arcturus Flame	40/1	33/1	33/1	25/1	33/1
Moonlit Stage	66/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
One Road	200/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1
Take The Boat	300/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1
Manton Road	400/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bay City Roller

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 20

8/15

2nd

Rock d'Oro

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

5/1

3rd

Via Con Me

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Mekhled

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Nidaami

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Arcturus Flame

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Moonlit Stage

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

One Road

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Take The Boat

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Manton Road

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

400/1

Launceston

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bay City Roller	—	93	—
Rock d'Oro	—	—	—
Via Con Me	—	—	—
Mekhled	—	—	—
Nidaami	—	—	—
Arcturus Flame	—	—	—
Moonlit Stage	—	58	47
One Road	—	29	—
Take The Boat	—	62	58
Manton Road	—	33	—
Launceston	—	36	37

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Moonlit Stage	9d ago	Quick return
Take The Boat	9d ago	Quick return
One Road	11d ago	Quick return
Launceston	14d ago	Fit
Bay City Roller	29d ago	Fit
Manton Road	30d ago	Fit
Rock d'Oro	—	—
Via Con Me	—	—
Mekhled	—	—
Nidaami	—	—
Arcturus Flame	—	—