Rathkenny Handicap – Navan · The Final Fence

Navan

4:00

Rathkenny Handicap

Date 2024-09-07

Distance 5f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €13,865

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (1)	Transcendental b Robert Whearty(3) · Gavin Cromwell	Robert Whearty(3) · Gavin Cromwell	138	—	139321	89	94	81	9d	—	—	+5	34.2	9/4 31%
Convincing win over 6f last week; up 10lb but no guarantee that will be enougn to stop her
4 (5)	Harry's Hill b Wayne Hassett(5) · Martin Hassett	Wayne Hassett(5) · Martin Hassett	133	—	294551	84	95	87	11d	—	—	+6	23.5	4/1 20%
Edged out Transcendental at Bellewstown last week; 4lb better off here and should go close
12 (8)	Nouvel Espoir b Keithen Kennedy(7) · James M Barcoe	Keithen Kennedy(7) · James M Barcoe	119	—	019031	70	95	88	29d	—	—	+11	22.4	6/1 14%
Dual winner this season; 1lb wrong but has a top 7lb claimer on board and can go well
5 (10)	Ostraka b James Ryan(3) · Daniel James Murphy	James Ryan(3) · Daniel James Murphy	129	b	625601	80	96	81	14d	—	—	+12	21	9/1 10%
Comfortably landed a 5f handicap at the Curragh two weeks ago; 6lb rise not excessive
1 (9)	Red Letter Bray b Leigh Roche · Liam P Cusack	Leigh Roche · Liam P Cusack	140	t	50-140	91	98	83	49d	—	—	+4	12.6	9/1 10%
100-1 premier handicap winner; poor effort in the Scurry last time and has to bounce back
3 (3)	Arnhem b Ronan Whelan · M G Quinn	Ronan Whelan · M G Quinn	137	p	002700	88	96	66	57d	—	—	+6	12.7	14/1 7%
Dropped 4lb after failing to beat a single rival on his last two starts; cheekpieces tried
9 (7)	Only Spoofing b Mikey Sheehy · Kevin Thomas Coleman	Mikey Sheehy · Kevin Thomas Coleman	125	—	832005	76	97	84	11d	—	—	+4	10.5	16/1 6%
Very good effort over C&D in July and ran okay behind Harry's Hill at Bellewstown; claims
11 (2)	Rathbranchurch ch Wesley Joyce(5) · Michael Mulvany	Wesley Joyce(5) · Michael Mulvany	121	—	150808	72	96	89	9d	—	—	+1	7.1	16/1 6%
Out of form of late and might need to come down the handicap a little; others preferred
10 (12)	Tawaazon b Seamie Heffernan · John Andrew Kinsella	Seamie Heffernan · John Andrew Kinsella	125	tp	620306	76	97	72	23d	—	—	+6	10.2	20/1 5%
Couple of good runs in Fairyhouse handicaps this summer but has struggled otherwise
7 (11)	Dontspoilasale b Cian MacRedmond(5) · Adrian McGuinness	Cian MacRedmond(5) · Adrian McGuinness	126	—	790275	77	93	63	23d	—	—	+6	10.5	20/1 5%
Narrowly beaten at Dundalk in July; down to a mark of 77 on his debut for Ado McGuinness
8 (6)	Escaping Thejungle b Wayne Lordan · E D Delany	Wayne Lordan · E D Delany	125	—	/225-0	76	55	47	11d	—	—	+4	7.3	40/1 2%
Probably needed the run behind Harry's Hill at Bellewstown; best watched for now
NR (4)	Emerald Harmony b TBC · J P Murtagh	· J P Murtagh	128	—	232212	80	98	83	22d	—	—	—	24.1	—
Overhauled close home in a Cork handicap; could be improving and likely to be thereabouts

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Transcendental	2/1	7/4	9/4	9/4	2/1
Harry's Hill	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Nouvel Espoir	6/1	6/1	11/2	11/2	6/1
Ostraka	9/1	17/2	9/1	9/1	17/2
Red Letter Bray	8/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Arnhem	14/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
Only Spoofing	16/1	12/1	10/1	12/1	14/1
Rathbranchurch	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Tawaazon	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Dontspoilasale	20/1	18/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Escaping Thejungle	40/1	33/1	25/1	28/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Transcendental

34.2

OR: 9.8 Form: 15.6 Odds: 8.9

9/4

2nd

Emerald Harmony

24.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 16.6 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Harry's Hill

23.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 10 Odds: 5

4/1

Nouvel Espoir

22.4

OR: 5 Form: 14.1 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Ostraka

OR: 7.5 Form: 11 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Arnhem

12.7

OR: 9.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Red Letter Bray

12.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Only Spoofing

10.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Dontspoilasale

10.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Tawaazon

10.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Escaping Thejungle

7.3

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Rathbranchurch

7.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Red Letter Bray Top Rated	91	98	83
Transcendental	89	94	81
Arnhem	88	96	66
Harry's Hill	84	95	87
Ostraka	80	96	81
Emerald Harmony	80	98	83
Dontspoilasale	77	93	63
Only Spoofing	76	97	84
Tawaazon	76	97	72
Escaping Thejungle	76	55	47
Rathbranchurch	72	96	89
Nouvel Espoir	70	95	88

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Transcendental	9d ago	Quick return
Harry's Hill	11d ago	Quick return
Nouvel Espoir	29d ago	Fit
Ostraka	14d ago	Fit
Red Letter Bray	49d ago	Fresh
Arnhem	57d ago	Fresh
Only Spoofing	11d ago	Quick return
Rathbranchurch	9d ago	Quick return
Tawaazon	23d ago	Fit
Dontspoilasale	23d ago	Fit
Escaping Thejungle	11d ago	Quick return
Emerald Harmony	22d ago	Fit

Going: Good

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