Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Windsor

15:20

Date 2024-09-30

Distance 1m31y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,320

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (11)	Earl Of Rochester Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	133	—	3	-	91	82	165d	—	—	-37	23	0.14/1	4/7 64%
Third at Newmarket (1m, good) in April on only start is the standout piece of form in this
11 (8)	Groovy Baby Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	128	h	2-0253	70	80	75	31d	—	—	-8	15.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Twice runner-up and third at Ffos Las (1m, heavy) one month ago was her best form
7 (10)	Tazima Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-16	6.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
68,000euros yearling; closely related to Oaks winner Taghrooda; late foal from strong yard
4 (9)	Mercian Warrior Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	133	—	28-792	72	81	66	15d	—	—	0	7.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Twice 2nd, latterly in handicap at Bath (1m, good); place claims if testing ground is okay
1 (5)	A Major Payne Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Michael Bell	J:Callum Shepherd T:Michael Bell	133	—	72	-	85	52	147d	—	—	-3	8.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Front-running 2nd in C&D novice (soft) in May latest, puts him into each-way calculations
5 (3)	Miggy Magic Grey J:Sean Levey T:Gay Kelleway	J:Sean Levey T:Gay Kelleway	133	—	725-6	71	73	44	40d	—	—	+3	6.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Handicap/stable debut (7f, AW) was creditable in form terms but markedly better is needed
6 (4)	Stipulation Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:Mark Loughnane	J:Edward Greatrex T:Mark Loughnane	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Sold for 155,000euros yearling and 22,000gns this May; probably best watched on debut
12 (2)	L'Air De Panache Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	128	—	5	-	52	-	10d	—	—	-2	0.6	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Well bred but low-level form when last of five at Kempton (1m, AW; 11-1) ten days ago
8 (7)	The Padster Bay J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Joe Tickle	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Joe Tickle	133	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	25.00/1	100/1 1%
By Rio De La Plata; hooded for debut and probably best watched
10 (1)	Abbey Law Bay J:Adam Farragher T:Amy Murphy	J:Adam Farragher T:Amy Murphy	128	—	8	-	71	-	24d	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Beaten just under 7l when eighth of nine at 200-1 in maiden at Kempton (1m, AW) this month
3 (6)	Emperor Dream Chestnut J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Daniel Steele	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Daniel Steele	133	ht	80	-	50	39	54d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Finished last at Windsor (1m2f) in April and Kempton (1m, AW; tongue tied) in August
9 (12)	Gibraltar Le Bleu Bay J:Connor Planas(3) T:D Donovan	J:Connor Planas(3) T:D Donovan	132	—	6	-	40	-	26d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Soundly beaten at 50-1 in a bumper at Worcester and 200-1 in Lingfield novice (1m2f, AW)

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Earl Of Rochester	2/5	4/7	2/5	2/5	2/5
Groovy Baby	6/1	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Tazima	6/1	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Mercian Warrior	11/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
A Major Payne	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Miggy Magic	33/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Stipulation	50/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
L'Air De Panache	80/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
The Padster	100/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Abbey Law	80/1	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Emperor Dream	250/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1
Gibraltar Le Bleu	250/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Earl Of Rochester

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 20

4/7

2nd

Groovy Baby

15.4

OR: 5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 6.9

6/1

3rd

A Major Payne

8.3

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

10/1

Mercian Warrior

7.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Tazima

6.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.9

6/1

Miggy Magic

6.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Stipulation

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

L'Air De Panache

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

80/1

The Padster

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Abbey Law

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Emperor Dream

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Gibraltar Le Bleu

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mercian Warrior	72	81	66
Miggy Magic	71	73	44
Groovy Baby	70	80	75
Earl Of Rochester	—	91	82
Tazima	—	—	—
A Major Payne	—	85	52
Stipulation	—	—	—
L'Air De Panache	—	52	—
The Padster	—	—	—
Abbey Law	—	71	—
Emperor Dream	—	50	39
Gibraltar Le Bleu	—	40	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
L'Air De Panache	10d ago	Quick return
Mercian Warrior	15d ago	Fit
Abbey Law	24d ago	Fit
Gibraltar Le Bleu	26d ago	Fit
Groovy Baby	31d ago	Fit
Miggy Magic	40d ago	Fit
Emperor Dream	54d ago	Fresh
A Major Payne	147d ago	Long break
Earl Of Rochester	165d ago	Long break
Tazima	—	—
Stipulation	—	—
The Padster	—	—