Donald Newis 80th Birthday Celebration Handicap Chase

Warwick

4:05

Date 2024-10-03

Distance 2m4f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,413

Runners 11

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
10	Finn Lough b Robert Dunne · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	Robert Dunne · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	157	t	452-26	105	114	104	15d	—	—	-1	19.9	10/3 23%
Disappointing favourite on recent chase debut but the drop back in trip could help.
2	God's Own Getaway b Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton	Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton	168	—	31-212	116	122	109	116d	—	—	+4	21.5	9/2 18%
Ran well at a higher level when runner-up in June; solid claims back from a break.
6	Tommie Gun b/br Sam Twiston-Davies · Nigel Twiston-Davies	Sam Twiston-Davies · Nigel Twiston-Davies	164	—	14634-	112	-	-	173d	—	—	+7	24.6	9/2 18%
Progressive hurdler who appeals as the type to make a chaser; each way claims.
8	Realisation b Lilly Pinchin · Charlie Longsdon	Lilly Pinchin · Charlie Longsdon	161	t	43148-	109	-	-	168d	—	—	+8	25.7	9/2 18%
Bumper/hurdle winner; makes chase debut having had wind surgery; others stronger
7	Another Million b Marc Goldstein · Lydia Richards	Marc Goldstein · Lydia Richards	162	—	081/8-	110	110	-	326d	—	—	+6	18.6	8/1 11%
Won on chase debut in April 2023 but well beaten since; bit to prove on stable debut.
3	The Flier Begley b Jack Hogan(3) · Gary Hanmer	Jack Hogan(3) · Gary Hanmer	167	—	8-4063	115	119	108	27d	—	—	+10	18.8	10/1 9%
Offered more latest; needs to step up but well treated on pick of Irish form
11	Anytrixwilldo b Jonjo O'Neill Jr · Jonjo & A J O'Neill	Jonjo O'Neill Jr · Jonjo & A J O'Neill	156	—	/623-6	104	-	-	22d	—	—	+9	15.2	16/1 6%
Has shown promise over hurdles but more required on chase debut.
5	Old Painless b Alan Johns · Tim Vaughan	Alan Johns · Tim Vaughan	164	t	U4/PP-	112	-	-	213d	—	—	+14	16.1	66/1 1%
Won on chase debut in 2022 but has become most disappointing since; hard to recommend.
NR	Jeffery's Cross b TBC · Dan Skelton	· Dan Skelton	169	—	221/2-	117	119	-	508d	—	—	—	21.8	—
Improving chaser but has a long absence to overcome and doesn't look stable's best chance.
NR	Reilly b TBC · Dan Skelton	· Dan Skelton	164	—	1/264/	112	117	-	601d	—	—	—	22.5	—
Not seen since finishing a fair fourth at Kempton in February 2023; others preferred.
NR	Ballywood b TBC · Georgie Howell	· Georgie Howell	157	t	/3/005	105	105	69	25d	—	—	—	15.9	—
Well beaten on all three starts for this stable and hard to make a case for.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Finn Lough	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1	10/3
God's Own Getaway	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	9/2
Tommie Gun	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2	4/1
Realisation	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2
Another Million	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1	8/1
The Flier Begley	9/1	9/1	9/1	10/1	9/1
Anytrixwilldo	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1	11/1
Old Painless	66/1	50/1	50/1	66/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Realisation

25.7

OR: 14.8 Form: 5.9 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Tommie Gun

24.6

OR: 15.5 Form: 4.1 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Reilly

22.5

OR: 15.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Jeffery's Cross

21.8

OR: 16.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

God's Own Getaway

21.5

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Finn Lough

19.9

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

The Flier Begley

18.8

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Another Million

18.6

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

8/1

Old Painless

16.1

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Ballywood

15.9

OR: 13.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Anytrixwilldo

15.2

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jeffery's Cross Top Rated	117	119	—
God's Own Getaway	116	122	109
The Flier Begley	115	119	108
Tommie Gun	112	—	—
Old Painless	112	—	—
Reilly	112	117	—
Another Million	110	110	—
Realisation	109	—	—
Finn Lough	105	114	104
Ballywood	105	105	69
Anytrixwilldo	104	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Finn Lough	15d ago	Fit
God's Own Getaway	116d ago	Long break
Tommie Gun	173d ago	Long break
Realisation	168d ago	Long break
Another Million	326d ago	Long break
The Flier Begley	27d ago	Fit
Anytrixwilldo	22d ago	Fit
Old Painless	213d ago	Long break
Jeffery's Cross	508d ago	Long break
Reilly	601d ago	Long break
Ballywood	25d ago	Fit

Going: Good

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