Adare Manor Opportunity Mares Maiden Hurdle – Fairyhouse

Fairyhouse

1:40

Adare Manor Opportunity Mares Maiden Hurdle

Date 2024-10-12

Distance 2m4f110y

Class

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €7,375

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1	Blacksmiths Forge b Jack Kearney · Gerard Keane	Jack Kearney · Gerard Keane	159	—	134	-	119	108	12d	—	—	-12	15.5	85/40 32%
Bumper winner and not beaten far in maidens; solid claims despite the penalty
10	Whitewinewednesday b G B Noonan · Matthew A Daly	G B Noonan · Matthew A Daly	153	—	0-453	-	113	89	24d	—	—	-13	5.2	4/1 20%
Best runs have come on good ground, last time beaten under 3l into third over 2m5f
11	Kilbarry Ce Ce b Ethan O'Sullivan(4) · C O'Keeffe	Ethan O'Sullivan(4) · C O'Keeffe	151	—	4	-	113	101	16d	—	—	-8	3.3	13/2 13%
Promising start over 2m at Listowel and she's bred for this longer trip
6	Nells Choice b Carl Millar(4) · Cian Collins	Carl Millar(4) · Cian Collins	153	—	0-4590	98	116	71	20d	—	—	+5	14.7	10/1 9%
May maiden form offers hope but backward steps the last twice
5	Lady Nightingale gr Cian Quirke(2) · Paul Stephen Kiely	Cian Quirke(2) · Paul Stephen Kiely	153	—	-75026	99	113	97	12d	—	—	+10	18.1	9/1 10%
Has ground to make up with Blacksmiths Forge on their recent Roscommon encounter
7	Sarrealta b Liam McKenna(2) · C A Murphy	Liam McKenna(2) · C A Murphy	153	—	86	-	97	59	136d	—	—	-6	2.2	12/1 8%
Ran okay over hurdles at Tipperary on debut but then tailed off in a bumper, changed yards
12	Poetic Focus b Sean Cleary-Farrell(4) · Barry J Fitzgerald	Sean Cleary-Farrell(4) · Barry J Fitzgerald	151	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	12/1 8%
10,000euros 3yo, second foal, half-sister to 2m7f-3m2f hurdle winner Lelantos
2	Ad Caelum b Conor Stone-Walsh(2) · John Patrick Ryan	Conor Stone-Walsh(2) · John Patrick Ryan	153	—	627	-	105	99	14d	—	—	-1	5.2	12/1 8%
Runner-up in a good-ground maiden; softer conditions perhaps found her out last time
3	Born Bright b Patrick M O'Brien(4) · Ms Claire O'Connell	Patrick M O'Brien(4) · Ms Claire O'Connell	153	—	1-4668	-	-	-	17d	—	—	+4	8.2	25/1 4%
1-3 in points; 0-5 in bumpers and tailed off in her last two on soft ground
9	Silver Mill gr Charlie O'Dwyer(2) · John Patrick Ryan	Charlie O'Dwyer(2) · John Patrick Ryan	153	—	77	-	68	58	38d	—	—	-2	0.6	66/1 1%
Insuffucient promise in maidens at Ballinrobe and Kilbeggan to make the shortlist here
4	Frenchfort Legend b Paddy Hanlon(4) · John Joseph Hanlon	Paddy Hanlon(4) · John Joseph Hanlon	153	—	—	-	-	-	65d	—	—	-1	0.4	100/1 1%
Completely tailed off in a Sligo bumper two months ago
8	Shuil Senna b John Shinnick(2) · Shane Nolan	John Shinnick(2) · Shane Nolan	153	—	6/00	-	48	-	5d	—	—	-1	0.2	400/1 0%
200-1 when tailed off in a 2m maiden here just five days ago

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Blacksmiths Forge	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	85/40
Whitewinewednesday	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Kilbarry Ce Ce	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2	13/2
Nells Choice	9/1	8/1	17/2	17/2	10/1
Lady Nightingale	8/1	9/1	9/1	17/2	17/2
Sarrealta	12/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	17/2
Poetic Focus	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1	11/1
Ad Caelum	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Born Bright	25/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Silver Mill	66/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Frenchfort Legend	100/1	100/1	100/1	66/1	50/1
Shuil Senna	400/1	200/1	200/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lady Nightingale

18.1

OR: 12.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.4

9/1

2nd

Blacksmiths Forge

15.5

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 8.4

85/40

3rd

Nells Choice

14.7

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Born Bright

8.2

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Whitewinewednesday

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Ad Caelum

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Kilbarry Ce Ce

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Sarrealta

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Poetic Focus

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Silver Mill

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Frenchfort Legend

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Shuil Senna

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

400/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lady Nightingale Top Rated	99	113	97
Nells Choice	98	116	71
Blacksmiths Forge	—	119	108
Whitewinewednesday	—	113	89
Kilbarry Ce Ce	—	113	101
Sarrealta	—	97	59
Poetic Focus	—	—	—
Ad Caelum	—	105	99
Born Bright	—	—	—
Silver Mill	—	68	58
Frenchfort Legend	—	—	—
Shuil Senna	—	48	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Blacksmiths Forge	12d ago	Quick return
Whitewinewednesday	24d ago	Fit
Kilbarry Ce Ce	16d ago	Fit
Nells Choice	20d ago	Fit
Lady Nightingale	12d ago	Quick return
Sarrealta	136d ago	Long break
Poetic Focus	—	—
Ad Caelum	14d ago	Fit
Born Bright	17d ago	Fit
Silver Mill	38d ago	Fit
Frenchfort Legend	65d ago	Fresh
Shuil Senna	5d ago	Quick return

Going: Good

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