Bet At racingtv.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap – Musselburgh

Musselburgh

1:50

Bet At racingtv.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap

Date 2024-10-14

Distance 1m2y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,477

Runners 8

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (1)	Ayr Poet b Miss Megan Davies(7) · Jim Goldie	Miss Megan Davies(7) · Jim Goldie	144	p	863708	58	62	45	4d	—	—	-12	9.1	10/3 23%
Showed spark as recently as August but unable to get competitive on last three outings
6 (8)	True Nation br Mr Eireann Cagney · Richard Fahey	Mr Eireann Cagney · Richard Fahey	139	—	258691	53	60	44	12d	—	—	-3	16.5	10/3 23%
Back to form with C&D win 12 days ago and she's a player if backing up that effort
2 (7)	Swift Salian b Miss Alice Keighley · David & Nicola Barron	Miss Alice Keighley · David & Nicola Barron	151	—	933739	68	59	43	24d	—	—	-4	13.1	4/1 20%
3yo; just one win from his 14 starts but he's not ruled out off a competitive mark
1 (6)	Alazwar b Miss Brodie Hampson · Archie Watson	Miss Brodie Hampson · Archie Watson	155	b	766095	69	64	41	7d	—	—	-4	8.4	13/2 13%
He's dropped down the weights and has a chance now back at a more suitable trip
3 (2)	American Star b Miss Charli Parker(5) · Ruth Carr	Miss Charli Parker(5) · Ruth Carr	149	p	570480	63	62	50	4d	—	—	-3	5.6	9/1 10%
Won off 2lb higher at Chester in July but his subsequent form has been patchy
4 (5)	Dogged b Miss Becky Smith · Rebecca Menzies	Miss Becky Smith · Rebecca Menzies	146	p	933502	60	61	54	49d	—	—	+3	11.5	8/1 11%
The drop back down to 1m isn't an obvious plus but Becky Smith is a good booking
7 (4)	Bulls Aye ch Miss Hannah Crawford(5) · Iain Jardine	Miss Hannah Crawford(5) · Iain Jardine	138	v	572768	52	63	57	12d	—	—	-2	3.6	14/1 7%
Won this race last year when 8lb higher; disappointing campaign in 2024
8 (3)	Cage Rattler ch Miss Alex Garven(5) · Sandy Forster	Miss Alex Garven(5) · Sandy Forster	135	p	045600	49	59	42	10d	—	—	-2	0.7	40/1 2%
He won in Ireland in May but has struggled subsequently and a transformation is required

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Ayr Poet	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
True Nation	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1	10/3
Swift Salian	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Alazwar	11/2	6/1	6/1	13/2	11/2
American Star	9/1	17/2	17/2	8/1	17/2
Dogged	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
Bulls Aye	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Cage Rattler	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

True Nation

16.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 10 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Swift Salian

13.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Dogged

11.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Ayr Poet

9.1

OR: 2 Form: 0.9 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Alazwar

8.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

American Star

5.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Bulls Aye

3.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Cage Rattler

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Alazwar Top Rated	69	64	41
Swift Salian	68	59	43
American Star	63	62	50
Dogged	60	61	54
Ayr Poet	58	62	45
True Nation	53	60	44
Bulls Aye	52	63	57
Cage Rattler	49	59	42

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ayr Poet	4d ago	Quick return
True Nation	12d ago	Quick return
Swift Salian	24d ago	Fit
Alazwar	7d ago	Quick return
American Star	4d ago	Quick return
Dogged	49d ago	Fresh
Bulls Aye	12d ago	Quick return
Cage Rattler	10d ago	Quick return

Going: Good To Soft

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