At The Races App Form Study Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

6:30

At The Races App Form Study Handicap

Date 2024-10-17

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (9)	Spirit Of Applause b J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	138	p	584103	72	85	54	12d	—	—	0	18.9	4/1 20%
Back in form since cheekpieces went on, catching eye when third over C&D latest; player
8 (3)	Cliffcake b J:Kieran O'Neill T:Roy Bowring	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Roy Bowring	134	—	107005	68	81	79	44d	—	—	-6	8.5	11/2 15%
Four course wins and respectable fifth back here latest; not discounted
7 (8)	Glamorous Express b J:Hollie Doyle T:Tony Carroll	J:Hollie Doyle T:Tony Carroll	134	t	504333	68	81	54	32d	—	—	+3	14.4	6/1 14%
Recent turf efforts respectable and he's better on AW (3-11)
2 (5)	Hectic b J:Clifford Lee T:Roger Fell	J:Clifford Lee T:Roger Fell	138	v	569550	72	80	-	6d	—	—	-3	8.8	6/1 14%
Drawn a blank since debut win two years ago; needs a visor to make a difference
3 (1)	Lipsink b J:Tom Marquand T:Michael Appleby	J:Tom Marquand T:Michael Appleby	137	v	123627	71	82	-	32d	—	—	+5	12.9	10/1 9%
Mainly in good form since joining this yard and can bounce back from below-par run latest
4 (12)	Fiscal Policy ch J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	137	—	-71315	71	84	48	12d	—	—	+11	18.9	11/1 8%
Two turf wins lately and better than result (hampered) over C&D latest; drawn widest
6 (2)	Strong Johnson b J:P J McDonald T:Paul Midgley	J:P J McDonald T:Paul Midgley	136	—	022374	70	83	-	24d	—	—	+4	11.1	10/1 9%
Mostly respectable efforts lately but losing run now up to 16
9 (4)	Beyond Equal b J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	133	b	266463	67	83	70	16d	—	—	+2	9.4	11/1 8%
Creditable third at Bath latest but his very long losing run is a negative
12 (6)	Darlo Pride gr J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	130	t	323537	64	81	75	17d	—	—	+3	9.2	12/1 8%
Four AW wins for Tony Carson but never involved on last month's yard debut
11 (10)	Bellagio Man b J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	131	p	786094	65	77	67	7d	—	—	+1	4.8	22/1 4%
Down in weights and bit better when fourth over C&D last week; needs to build on that
5 (7)	Ticktyboo b J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	137	—	642010	72	82	69	39d	—	—	+12	14.8	40/1 2%
Went close in Newcastle handicap on previous AW start; this easier than York last time
10 (11)	High Violet b J:Tom Eaves T:David Loughnane	J:Tom Eaves T:David Loughnane	133	t	416459	68	84	38	14d	—	—	+5	7	66/1 1%
Remains 4lb above the mark she defied at Leicester in June and others are more obvious

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Spirit Of Applause	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	4/1
Cliffcake	11/2	11/2	11/2	5/1	11/2
Glamorous Express	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2	11/2
Hectic	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Lipsink	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Fiscal Policy	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1
Strong Johnson	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Beyond Equal	10/1	10/1	11/1	11/1	9/1
Darlo Pride	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Bellagio Man	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Ticktyboo	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
High Violet	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Spirit Of Applause

18.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 8 Odds: 5.4

4/1

2nd

Fiscal Policy

18.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.1

11/1

3rd

Ticktyboo

14.8

OR: 5.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Glamorous Express

14.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 6.6 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Lipsink

12.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 5.4 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Strong Johnson

11.1

OR: 5 Form: 4 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Beyond Equal

9.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Darlo Pride

9.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 4 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Hectic

8.8

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Cliffcake

8.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

High Violet

OR: 4.5 Form: 2 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Bellagio Man

4.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Spirit Of Applause Top Rated	72	85	54
Hectic	72	80	—
Ticktyboo	72	82	69
Lipsink	71	82	—
Fiscal Policy	71	84	48
Strong Johnson	70	83	—
Cliffcake	68	81	79
Glamorous Express	68	81	54
High Violet	68	84	38
Beyond Equal	67	83	70
Bellagio Man	65	77	67
Darlo Pride	64	81	75

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hectic	6d ago	Quick return
Bellagio Man	7d ago	Quick return
Spirit Of Applause	12d ago	Quick return
Fiscal Policy	12d ago	Quick return
High Violet	14d ago	Fit
Beyond Equal	16d ago	Fit
Darlo Pride	17d ago	Fit
Strong Johnson	24d ago	Fit
Glamorous Express	32d ago	Fit
Lipsink	32d ago	Fit
Ticktyboo	39d ago	Fit
Cliffcake	44d ago	Fit