Golf And Gallop Package Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II)

Southwell (AW)

6:00

Date 2024-10-17

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (3)	Dear Cat b J:Charles Bishop T:Warren Greatrex	J:Charles Bishop T:Warren Greatrex	132	—	5219	78	86	-	35d	—	—	-2	24.5	5/2 29%
Made all in 7f maiden in August; held in Doncaster nursery since but player back in novice
9 (9)	Nazuki b J:Kevin Stott T:Ollie Sangster	J:Kevin Stott T:Ollie Sangster	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-15	6.2	10/3 23%
Makes paper appeal but all stable's 16 2yo winners this year have been on turf
5 (4)	How Lovely ch J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-14	5.7	10/3 23%
Likely type on breeding for a respected stable
10 (7)	Thamna ch J:Tom Marquand T:Michael Appleby	J:Tom Marquand T:Michael Appleby	128	—	6	-	75	42	23d	—	—	-7	2.7	9/1 10%
Hinted at ability on her 7f Newcastle debut 23 days ago; entitled to progress
4 (5)	Elland Road Girl b J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	128	—	5	-	69	-	29d	—	—	-6	2.1	11/1 8%
Showed ability when fifth on turf debut but needs to leave that bare form behind
2 (10)	Bear Facts b J:Hollie Doyle T:Tom Ward	J:Hollie Doyle T:Tom Ward	128	—	7	-	76	49	31d	—	—	-5	1.7	14/1 7%
Showed up well for long way on 7f Kempton debut; may last longer this time
8 (8)	Manara b J:Kieran Shoemark T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	128	—	7	-	65	58	15d	—	—	-4	1.4	20/1 5%
Green when seventh of 11 on 6f Kempton debut; needs to have come on a fair bit
6 (2)	Jake Loves Laura b J:William Cox T:Paul Attwater	J:William Cox T:Paul Attwater	128	—	5	-	79	-	49d	—	—	-3	1	25/1 4%
Fifth on 6f Newbury debut for Dominic Ffrench-Davis; new trainer yet to have a winner
NR (1)	Brave Byreflection b J:TBC T:Alice Haynes	J: T:Alice Haynes	128	—	2	-	81	-	52d	—	—	—	5	—
Encouraging second on 6f turf debut; good shout if making the anticipated improvement
NR (6)	Luna A Inbhir Nis b J:NON-RUNNER T:Katie Scott	J:NON-RUNNER T:Katie Scott	128	—	07	-	49	-	17d	—	—	—	0	—
Beat only one home in total in two turf runs last month

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Dear Cat	9/4	9/4	9/4	5/2	5/2
Nazuki	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1
How Lovely	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1	3/1
Thamna	9/1	17/2	9/1	9/1	9/1
Elland Road Girl	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Bear Facts	14/1	14/1	14/1	11/1	14/1
Manara	20/1	16/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Jake Loves Laura	25/1	20/1	25/1	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dear Cat

24.5

OR: 7 Form: 9.5 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

Nazuki

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

3rd

How Lovely

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Brave Byreflection

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Thamna

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Elland Road Girl

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Bear Facts

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Manara

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Jake Loves Laura

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Luna A Inbhir Nis

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dear Cat Top Rated	78	86	—
Nazuki	—	—	—
How Lovely	—	—	—
Thamna	—	75	42
Elland Road Girl	—	69	—
Bear Facts	—	76	49
Manara	—	65	58
Jake Loves Laura	—	79	—
Brave Byreflection	—	81	—
Luna A Inbhir Nis	—	49	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Manara	15d ago	Fit
Luna A Inbhir Nis	17d ago	Fit
Thamna	23d ago	Fit
Elland Road Girl	29d ago	Fit
Bear Facts	31d ago	Fit
Dear Cat	35d ago	Fit
Jake Loves Laura	49d ago	Fresh
Brave Byreflection	52d ago	Fresh
Nazuki	—	—
How Lovely	—	—