Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Restricted Novice Stakes (Horses In Bands C & D) (GBB) (Div II)

Southwell (AW)

5:15

Date 2024-10-31

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (1)	Empress Matilda b Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-22	10	2/1 33%
Dam a well-connected Group 2 winner; yard in form; a newcomer of note
4 (6)	President Wilson b Rob Hornby · Edward Smyth-Osbourne	Rob Hornby · Edward Smyth-Osbourne	131	—	6	-	63	51	26d	—	—	-16	6.7	3/1 25%
Showed ability on Wolverhampton debut; can do better, perhaps considerably so
5 (5)	Tattie Bogle gr Jason Hart · Charlie Johnston	Jason Hart · Charlie Johnston	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-13	5.4	4/1 20%
Half-brother to 4 winners, notably useful AW winner Tartlette; starts out in a weak race
2 (3)	Rock Master b Robert Havlin · S Woods	Robert Havlin · S Woods	133	—	77	-	64	30	19d	—	—	-10	4	5/1 17%
Seventh in two novice events (5f/7f) 80 days apart; improvement required
3 (4)	Tiny Rebel b Sean D Bowen(3) · Paul Attwater	Sean D Bowen(3) · Paul Attwater	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	20/1 5%
40,000euros yearling; dam a minor sprint winner; yard still seeking first winner
7 (10)	Lightupyourlife b Rowan Scott · Alice Haynes	Rowan Scott · Alice Haynes	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	20/1 5%
37,000euros half-sister to 9.4f AW winner Livinthelife; betting instructive
10 (8)	Salaria b Cam Hardie · Ollie Pears	Cam Hardie · Ollie Pears	126	—	65	-	74	50	26d	—	—	-3	1.2	20/1 5%
Two promising 7f efforts at Wolverhampton; sets the standard but it's not a demanding one
1 (9)	Aroof b Mason Paetel(7) · Mark Loughnane	Mason Paetel(7) · Mark Loughnane	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	50/1 2%
30,000euros breeze-up 2yo; dam Listed-placed 1m2f/11.4f winner; inexperienced apprentice
8 (7)	Streets Magic b Darragh Keenan · Michael Wigham	Darragh Keenan · Michael Wigham	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	50/1 2%
30,000gns yearling; related to several winners, including a US G3 scorer; check betting
9 (2)	Quirke On Parole b Harry Russell · Mark Walford	Harry Russell · Mark Walford	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	80/1 1%
11,000gns yearling; closely related to two fair winners; yard not renowned for 2yo success

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Empress Matilda	15/8	2/1	2/1	2/1	6/4
President Wilson	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4	11/4
Tattie Bogle	4/1	7/2	4/1	7/2	7/2
Rock Master	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Tiny Rebel	18/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Lightupyourlife	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Salaria	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Aroof	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Streets Magic	40/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Quirke On Parole	50/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Empress Matilda

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 10

2/1

2nd

President Wilson

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

Tattie Bogle

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

4/1

Rock Master

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Tiny Rebel

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Salaria

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Lightupyourlife

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Aroof

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Streets Magic

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Quirke On Parole

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Empress Matilda	—	—	—
President Wilson	—	63	51
Tattie Bogle	—	—	—
Rock Master	—	64	30
Tiny Rebel	—	—	—
Lightupyourlife	—	—	—
Salaria	—	74	50
Aroof	—	—	—
Streets Magic	—	—	—
Quirke On Parole	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Empress Matilda	—	—
President Wilson	26d ago	Fit
Tattie Bogle	—	—
Rock Master	19d ago	Fit
Tiny Rebel	—	—
Lightupyourlife	—	—
Salaria	26d ago	Fit
Aroof	—	—
Streets Magic	—	—
Quirke On Parole	—	—

Going: Standard

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