Betfair Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Chelmsford (AW)

4:55

Date 2024-11-07

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,187

Runners 13

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (3)	Bouvier b Sean Levey · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	Sean Levey · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	126	—	32732	77	93	56	15d	—	—	-6	26	7/4 36%
0-5 but has run pretty well on AW the last twice and is entitled to respect
6 (7)	Make Love b George Wood · James Horton	George Wood · James Horton	126	p	72445	71	84	54	49d	—	—	-12	15.2	9/4 31%
Five-race maiden who hasn't progressed but has some of the best form in the field
12 (4)	Secret Combination b Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne	Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne	124	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	5	9/2 18%
This might not take much winning; stable runs two newcomers; betting could be informative
2 (11)	Eva Dickson b Jason Hart · Charlie Johnston	Jason Hart · Charlie Johnston	128	—	4	-	74	36	28d	—	—	-8	3.1	15/2 12%
Fair 4th on debut at Southwell 3 weeks ago; open to improvement; could have part to play
7 (5)	The Third Star b Marco Ghiani · Chris Dwyer	Marco Ghiani · Chris Dwyer	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	18/1 5%
Half-sister to two winners; trainer had 2yo win here last week; one to watch in betting
5 (6)	Jester Queen b William Carver(3) · Jamie Osborne	William Carver(3) · Jamie Osborne	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	22/1 4%
$45,000 yearling; one of two newcomers for connections; market moves will be interesting
13 (13)	Welsh Fizz b Harry Davies · Hugo Palmer	Harry Davies · Hugo Palmer	124	—	—	-	47	-	26d	—	—	-2	0.7	40/1 2%
Always behind at 22-1 over C&D on last month's debut, but not a forlorn hope today
4 (9)	Desert Eye b Adam Farragher · Amy Murphy	Adam Farragher · Amy Murphy	126	t	74	-	60	44	58d	—	—	-1	0.5	66/1 1%
May benefit from the step up in trip but needs to take a considerable step forward
9 (2)	Late Star b Connor Planas(3) · Philip McBride	Connor Planas(3) · Philip McBride	124	—	9	-	-	-	89d	—	—	-1	0.4	125/1 1%
Trainer among winners; tailed off at 80-1 at Newmarket in August on her sole outing
1 (1)	A La Louche b Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	128	—	906	-	71	38	10d	—	—	-1	0.2	125/1 1%
Makes fourth start; it's likely her future lies over longer trips in handicaps next year
11 (12)	Miss Sovereign b Tyler Heard · Matt Crawley	Tyler Heard · Matt Crawley	124	—	09	-	51	36	7d	—	—	0	0.2	300/1 0%
150-1 on both starts (over 6f here) and well beaten each time
NR (10)	Appleblossomwhite b Finley Marsh · Amy Murphy	Finley Marsh · Amy Murphy	124	—	05	-	71	37	26d	—	—	—	0	—
Posted a better run on her second start (C&D) but others have stronger form
NR (8)	Madrigal Moment b NON-RUNNER · Michael Bell	NON-RUNNER · Michael Bell	124	—	80	-	-	-	72d	—	—	—	0	—
Half-sister to six winners but she's finished down the field on both starts

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Bouvier	13/8	7/4	13/8	6/4	13/8
Make Love	2/1	9/4	2/1	2/1	85/40
Secret Combination	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2
Eva Dickson	15/2	7/1	15/2	7/1	15/2
The Third Star	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Jester Queen	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
Welsh Fizz	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Desert Eye	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Late Star	125/1	80/1	100/1	80/1	100/1
A La Louche	125/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Miss Sovereign	300/1	250/1	250/1	250/1	250/1
Appleblossomwhite	-	-	-	-	-
Madrigal Moment	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bouvier

OR: 6.8 Form: 9.2 Odds: 10

7/4

2nd

Make Love

15.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 8.4

9/4

3rd

Secret Combination

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Eva Dickson

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

The Third Star

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Jester Queen

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Welsh Fizz

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Desert Eye

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Late Star

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

A La Louche

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Miss Sovereign

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300/1

Appleblossomwhite

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Madrigal Moment

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bouvier Top Rated	77	93	56
Make Love	71	84	54
Secret Combination	—	—	—
Eva Dickson	—	74	36
The Third Star	—	—	—
Jester Queen	—	—	—
Welsh Fizz	—	47	—
Desert Eye	—	60	44
Late Star	—	—	—
A La Louche	—	71	38
Miss Sovereign	—	51	36
Appleblossomwhite	—	71	37
Madrigal Moment	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bouvier	15d ago	Fit
Make Love	49d ago	Fresh
Secret Combination	—	—
Eva Dickson	28d ago	Fit
The Third Star	—	—
Jester Queen	—	—
Welsh Fizz	26d ago	Fit
Desert Eye	58d ago	Fresh
Late Star	89d ago	Fresh
A La Louche	10d ago	Quick return
Miss Sovereign	7d ago	Quick return
Appleblossomwhite	26d ago	Fit
Madrigal Moment	72d ago	Fresh

Going: Standard

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