Safer Gambling Week 2024 At BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Southwell (AW)

7:30

Date 2024-11-21

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,942

Runners (9)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (1)	Wind River ch J:Billy Loughnane T:Ed Dunlop	J:Billy Loughnane T:Ed Dunlop	132	—	7-2902	74	87	81	20d	—	—	-20	18.5	11/8 42%
Consistency an issue but a repeat of latest Tapeta 2nd would give him claims back in trip
3 (8)	Khaleejy b J:Clifford Lee T:James Tate	J:Clifford Lee T:James Tate	132	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-14	5.7	7/2 22%
75,000euros 2yo; unraced dam from a good middle-distance family; betting to guide
4 (3)	Raagi b J:Rossa Ryan T:Marco Botti	J:Rossa Ryan T:Marco Botti	132	—	4	-	78	37	240d	—	—	-14	5.7	7/2 22%
Raced freely when 4th over C&D in March; gelded since; Rossa Ryan booked; more to offer
5 (6)	Swift Storm b J:Darragh Keenan T:Alice Haynes	J:Darragh Keenan T:Alice Haynes	132	t	3-33	78	90	-	37d	—	—	-2	13.8	5/1 17%
Third in all three of his starts; not at best on heavy latest; return to AW should suit
9 (2)	Sapience b J:Jonny Peate T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Jonny Peate T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	127	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	18/1 5%
Half-sister to a 1m-10.6f winner; dam a 1m3f AW winner; starts out at a realistic level
7 (9)	Empress Of Hope b J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	127	—	95	-	65	43	36d	—	—	-1	0.4	80/1 1%
Modest form in two fillies' maidens; improvement may come when handicapping
2 (5)	Stoneacre b J:Harrison Shaw T:Scott Dixon	J:Harrison Shaw T:Scott Dixon	133	—	3	-	68	-	13d	—	—	+2	3.3	80/1 1%
Not beaten far at Newcastle on debut (1m) but the pace was slow until halfway; more needed
8 (4)	Safio's Princess b J:Lewis Edmunds T:Simon Whitaker	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Simon Whitaker	127	—	85	-	31	-	24d	—	—	0	0.1	500/1 0%
Poor form in two runs, last of five over C&D last month; can't recommend
NR (7)	King's Conquest b J:NON-RUNNER(3) T:Andrew J Martin	J:NON-RUNNER(3) T:Andrew J Martin	133	h	7890	25	27	-	87d	—	—	—	0	—
Yet to beat a rival in four starts; can't be entertained on stable debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Wind River	6/5	5/4	5/4	6/5	11/8
Khaleejy	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Raagi	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
Swift Storm	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Sapience	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Empress Of Hope	80/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
Stoneacre	80/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	66/1
Safio's Princess	500/1	200/1	200/1	150/1	150/1
King's Conquest	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Wind River

18.5

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 12.5

11/8

2nd

Swift Storm

13.8

OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.7

5/1

3rd

Khaleejy

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Raagi

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Stoneacre

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Sapience

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Empress Of Hope

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Safio's Princess

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

500/1

King's Conquest

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Swift Storm Top Rated	78	90	—
Wind River	74	87	81
King's Conquest	25	27	—
Khaleejy	—	—	—
Raagi	—	78	37
Sapience	—	—	—
Empress Of Hope	—	65	43
Stoneacre	—	68	—
Safio's Princess	—	31	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Stoneacre	13d ago	Quick return
Wind River	20d ago	Fit
Safio's Princess	24d ago	Fit
Empress Of Hope	36d ago	Fit
Swift Storm	37d ago	Fit
King's Conquest	87d ago	Fresh
Raagi	240d ago	Long break
Khaleejy	—	—
Sapience	—	—