Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

7:00

Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-11-21

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (5)	Dashing Harry b J:Sam James T:James Horton	J:Sam James T:James Horton	135	—	448142	75	91	71	3d	—	—	-8	27.7	11/8 42%
Headed in the final stride over C&D on Monday; major player off the same mark
1 (6)	Paddy's Day b J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	135	—	564223	75	89	75	9d	—	—	+3	20.5	7/2 22%
Banging at the door on AW of late; hard to win with but looks sure to go well once again
2 (1)	Strong Johnson b J:Jason Hart T:Paul Midgley	J:Jason Hart T:Paul Midgley	135	—	374318	75	90	75	6d	—	—	+3	19.8	4/1 20%
Tack issues when well backed last week; impressed at Newcastle beforehand; contender
4 (2)	Angle Land b J:Rossa Ryan T:Robert Cowell	J:Rossa Ryan T:Robert Cowell	134	v	246226	74	88	73	30d	—	—	+5	14.9	9/1 10%
Runner-up twice in September; below par on soft ground latest; others look better treated
9 (7)	Popular Dream b J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	122	—	-62465	62	86	70	9d	—	—	0	6.2	18/1 5%
0-8 but has shown promise, including here last week; this could be run to suit
7 (9)	Dark Side Prince b J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	126	p	113564	66	88	79	35d	—	—	+3	8.5	16/1 6%
Three 5f wins at Chelmsford this year; recent efforts not his best; others look stronger
8 (10)	Lettuce Leaf b J:Andrew Elliott T:Tom Tate	J:Andrew Elliott T:Tom Tate	124	—	5-3029	64	85	-	15d	—	—	+1	4.3	33/1 3%
Two promising runs on slow turf this summer; had an excuse latest; not fully exposed
6 (8)	Jeans Maite b J:Tom Eaves T:Roy Bowring	J:Tom Eaves T:Roy Bowring	130	—	8-2518	70	86	79	238d	—	—	+3	5.8	33/1 3%
Multiple C&D winner; can go well fresh; not discounted back from eight months off
5 (3)	Crow's Nest b J:Billy Loughnane T:George Baker	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Baker	130	tb	9-0560	70	85	30	22d	—	—	+3	5.7	50/1 2%
Struggled since handicapping; change of headgear/drop in trip not enough to tempt
10 (4)	Stone Of Destiny b J:Jason Watson T:Michael Appleby	J:Jason Watson T:Michael Appleby	122	p	-49959	62	89	68	9d	—	—	+1	3.7	50/1 2%
Veteran who has struggled since returning to action in October

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Dashing Harry	5/4	11/8	5/4	5/4	5/4
Paddy's Day	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Strong Johnson	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2
Angle Land	8/1	15/2	8/1	8/1	9/1
Popular Dream	16/1	14/1	16/1	16/1	18/1
Dark Side Prince	14/1	16/1	14/1	16/1	12/1
Lettuce Leaf	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Jeans Maite	33/1	33/1	33/1	25/1	28/1
Crow's Nest	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	50/1
Stone Of Destiny	50/1	40/1	50/1	50/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dashing Harry

27.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 10 Odds: 11.4

11/8

2nd

Paddy's Day

20.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 9 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Strong Johnson

19.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5

4/1

Angle Land

14.9

OR: 6 Form: 6 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Dark Side Prince

8.5

OR: 4 Form: 2.9 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Popular Dream

6.2

OR: 3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

18/1

Jeans Maite

5.8

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Crow's Nest

5.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Lettuce Leaf

4.3

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Stone Of Destiny

3.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dashing Harry Top Rated	75	91	71
Paddy's Day	75	89	75
Strong Johnson	75	90	75
Angle Land	74	88	73
Jeans Maite	70	86	79
Crow's Nest	70	85	30
Dark Side Prince	66	88	79
Lettuce Leaf	64	85	—
Popular Dream	62	86	70
Stone Of Destiny	62	89	68

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dashing Harry	3d ago	Quick return
Strong Johnson	6d ago	Quick return
Paddy's Day	9d ago	Quick return
Popular Dream	9d ago	Quick return
Stone Of Destiny	9d ago	Quick return
Lettuce Leaf	15d ago	Fit
Crow's Nest	22d ago	Fit
Angle Land	30d ago	Fit
Dark Side Prince	35d ago	Fit
Jeans Maite	238d ago	Long break