Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div I)

Southwell (AW)

5:30

Date 2024-11-21

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (3)	Gamrai b J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-33	17.1	5/6 55%
Closely related to Group 2 winner Aljazzi; in top hands and very much one to consider
1 (9)	Ar Rayyan b J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	133	—	4	-	84	65	43d	—	—	-17	7.3	5/2 29%
Highly promising debut fourth at Kempton; can take a major step forward; interesting
3 (1)	Cy Twombly b J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	133	t	45	-	81	69	21d	—	—	-8	3.3	7/1 13%
Good fifth of 11 at Chelmsford on latest occasion; holds solid form claims
6 (5)	Seven Symphonies b J:Richard Kingscote T:Ollie Sangster	J:Richard Kingscote T:Ollie Sangster	133	—	24	-	76	-	63d	—	—	-2	5.6	12/1 8%
Not clear run when fourth at Pontefract latest; capable of better now stepped up to 1m
7 (10)	Wolfpack ch J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.2	10/1 9%
This Kameko colt can't be discounted, especially if the market vibes are positive
2 (2)	Atlantic Sunset br J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	40/1 2%
Closely related to Oaks winner Forever Together; this Walgeist colt is much respected
5 (7)	Hot Talent b J:Darragh Keenan T:Mike Murphy	J:Darragh Keenan T:Mike Murphy	133	—	6	-	72	45	19d	—	—	-1	0.5	80/1 1%
Encouraging debut sixth here; this son of Too Darn Hot can build on it
10 (6)	Salaria b J:Harry Russell T:Ollie Pears	J:Harry Russell T:Ollie Pears	128	—	65	-	68	48	47d	—	—	0	0.1	300/1 0%
Being brought along steadily, fifth at Wolver latest; can do better in the longer term
8 (4)	Logical Lady ch J:Jason Hart T:Ivan Furtado	J:Jason Hart T:Ivan Furtado	128	—	00	-	41	-	128d	—	—	0	0.1	300/1 0%
Has failed to beat a rival in her two runs; significantly more is required after a break
9 (8)	Quirke On Parole b J:Sam James T:Mark Walford	J:Sam James T:Mark Walford	128	—	88	-	59	15	8d	—	—	0	0.1	300/1 0%
Hinted at promise when eighth in novice here eight days ago; needs to build on it now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Gamrai	4/5	4/5	4/5	5/6	4/6
Ar Rayyan	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4
Cy Twombly	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2	11/2
Seven Symphonies	12/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Wolfpack	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Atlantic Sunset	40/1	28/1	33/1	28/1	40/1
Hot Talent	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	40/1
Salaria	300/1	200/1	250/1	150/1	150/1
Logical Lady	300/1	250/1	250/1	150/1	200/1
Quirke On Parole	300/1	250/1	250/1	150/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gamrai

17.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 17.1

5/6

2nd

Ar Rayyan

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Seven Symphonies

5.6

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Cy Twombly

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Wolfpack

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Atlantic Sunset

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Hot Talent

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Salaria

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Logical Lady

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Quirke On Parole

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gamrai	—	—	—
Ar Rayyan	—	84	65
Cy Twombly	—	81	69
Seven Symphonies	—	76	—
Wolfpack	—	—	—
Atlantic Sunset	—	—	—
Hot Talent	—	72	45
Salaria	—	68	48
Logical Lady	—	41	—
Quirke On Parole	—	59	15

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Quirke On Parole	8d ago	Quick return
Hot Talent	19d ago	Fit
Cy Twombly	21d ago	Fit
Ar Rayyan	43d ago	Fit
Salaria	47d ago	Fresh
Seven Symphonies	63d ago	Fresh
Logical Lady	128d ago	Long break
Gamrai	—	—
Wolfpack	—	—
Atlantic Sunset	—	—