Dunraven Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) – Chepstow

Chepstow

12:30

Dunraven Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

Date 2024-11-22

Distance 2m3f100y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,193

Runners (16)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
8	The Bluesman b J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	158	—	331-	-	-	-	235d	—	—	-16	28.6	10/11 52%
Course bumper winner who is likely to make his make over hurdles sooner rather than later
1	Espoir Des Forges b J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Mel Rowley	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Mel Rowley	158	—	P3-2	113	118	99	176d	—	—	+7	26.5	7/2 22%
Placed in pair of 2m3f Warwick maidens in the spring; probably won't be far away
7	Seatoit b J:Tom Bellamy T:Kim Bailey	J:Tom Bellamy T:Kim Bailey	158	—	42-0	-	-	-	27d	—	—	-13	5.4	9/2 18%
Disappointed on recent stable debut but looked very promising in Irish bumpers last year
4	Murphy's Milan b J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	158	—	3-4	-	104	85	24d	—	—	-5	4.8	17/2 11%
Made promising hurdle debut when fourth over C&D last month; considered each-way
6	Prophesea b J:Callum Pritchard(7) T:Chris Down	J:Callum Pritchard(7) T:Chris Down	158	—	111-58	-	99	77	24d	—	—	-5	1.7	16/1 6%
Unable to justify good market support when soundly beaten over C&D on stable/hurdle debut
5	Nube De Trueno gr J:Tristan Durrell(3) T:Dan Skelton	J:Tristan Durrell(3) T:Dan Skelton	158	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	33/1 3%
Newcomer; out of a smart Irish hurdler; interesting to see how he fares
12	English Willow b J:Harry Bannister T:Kim Bailey	J:Harry Bannister T:Kim Bailey	151	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	80/1 1%
Out of a fair hurdle/chase winner for these connections; makes her debut here
2	Far From Over b J:Richard Patrick T:Clive Boultbee-Brooks	J:Richard Patrick T:Clive Boultbee-Brooks	158	—	1/1/3-	-	-	-	—	—	—	+14	15.5	80/1 1%
Dual point winner; has a future under rules but makes hurdle debut after long layoff
15	Western Article b J:Lorcan Williams T:Jeremy Scott	J:Lorcan Williams T:Jeremy Scott	151	—	2-4	-	100	45	31d	—	—	+2	3.9	66/1 1%
Shaped well before fading into fourth on last month's hurdle debut at Exeter; e-w claims
9	Devon Blue b J:Rex Dingle T:Jeremy Scott	J:Rex Dingle T:Jeremy Scott	157	—	8-	-	-	-	267d	—	—	-1	0.2	150/1 1%
Tailed off in soft-ground Taunton bumper for Victor Dartnall in February; hurdle debut
10	Following Chapter b J:David Noonan T:Alastair Ralph	J:David Noonan T:Alastair Ralph	157	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	150/1 1%
First foal from a three-time point winner; seems unlikely to meet the standard required
3	Grand Sabre b J:James Davies T:Nick Gifford	J:James Davies T:Nick Gifford	158	—	0/67-	-	92	57	293d	—	—	0	0.1	200/1 0%
Well beaten on hurdle debut at Sandown in February; moves up from 2m today
11	Bestgetgoing b J:Sean Houlihan T:Richard Price	J:Sean Houlihan T:Richard Price	151	—	5-P5	-	-	-	10d	—	—	0	0.1	400/1 0%
A well-beaten outsider on both hurdling starts this autumn; moves up from 2m today
NR	Hill Of Scarriff ch J:NON-RUNNER T:Dan Skelton	J:NON-RUNNER T:Dan Skelton	151	—	1070	-	86	32	1d	—	—	—	3	—
Weak in the betting and soundly beaten over hurdles so far, including at Warwick yesterday
NR	Sheeka Supreme b J:NON-RUNNER T:Grace Harris	J:NON-RUNNER T:Grace Harris	151	h	221/08	-	-	24	2d	—	—	—	0	—
Irish point winner in 2022 but has struggled on both hurdling starts this autumn
NR	Jewel Eyed Judy gr J:NON-RUNNER T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:NON-RUNNER T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	150	—	608-6	-	80	-	1d	—	—	—	0	—
No significant promise on 2 hurdle runs last season; never involved at Warwick yesterday

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
The Bluesman	10/11	evn	evn	5/6	10/11
Espoir Des Forges	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
Seatoit	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2	9/2
Murphy's Milan	8/1	15/2	8/1	17/2	8/1
Prophesea	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	12/1
Nube De Trueno	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
English Willow	80/1	66/1	80/1	80/1	66/1
Far From Over	80/1	50/1	66/1	50/1	40/1
Western Article	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
Devon Blue	100/1	150/1	150/1	100/1	125/1
Following Chapter	100/1	150/1	150/1	100/1	125/1
Grand Sabre	200/1	200/1	200/1	150/1	200/1
Bestgetgoing	400/1	200/1	250/1	150/1	200/1
Hill Of Scarriff	-	-	-	-	-
Sheeka Supreme	-	-	-	-	-
Jewel Eyed Judy	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

The Bluesman

28.6

OR: 0 Form: 13.6 Odds: 15

10/11

2nd

Espoir Des Forges

26.5

OR: 15.8 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Far From Over

15.5

OR: 0 Form: 15 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Seatoit

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

9/2

Murphy's Milan

4.8

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Western Article

3.9

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Hill Of Scarriff

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Prophesea

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Nube De Trueno

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

English Willow

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Devon Blue

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Following Chapter

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Grand Sabre

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

200/1

Bestgetgoing

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

400/1

Sheeka Supreme

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Jewel Eyed Judy

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Espoir Des Forges Top Rated	113	118	99
The Bluesman	—	—	—
Seatoit	—	—	—
Murphy's Milan	—	104	85
Prophesea	—	99	77
Nube De Trueno	—	—	—
English Willow	—	—	—
Far From Over	—	—	—
Western Article	—	100	45
Devon Blue	—	—	—
Following Chapter	—	—	—
Grand Sabre	—	92	57
Bestgetgoing	—	—	—
Hill Of Scarriff	—	86	32
Sheeka Supreme	—	—	24
Jewel Eyed Judy	—	80	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hill Of Scarriff	1d ago	Quick return
Jewel Eyed Judy	1d ago	Quick return
Sheeka Supreme	2d ago	Quick return
Bestgetgoing	10d ago	Quick return
Murphy's Milan	24d ago	Fit
Prophesea	24d ago	Fit
Seatoit	27d ago	Fit
Western Article	31d ago	Fit
Espoir Des Forges	176d ago	Long break
The Bluesman	235d ago	Long break
Devon Blue	267d ago	Long break
Grand Sabre	293d ago	Long break
Nube De Trueno	—	—
English Willow	—	—
Far From Over	—	—
Following Chapter	—	—