Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Nursery Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

5:15

Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-12-14

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,716

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (6)	Arabian Cobra gr J:Richard Kingscote T:Hugo Palmer	J:Richard Kingscote T:Hugo Palmer	134	v	506852	72	79	57	47d	—	—	-4	16.7	10/3 23%
Maiden; ran well in first-time visor at Newcastle (AW debut) most recently; gelded since
5 (9)	Chuti Manika b J:Archie Young(5) T:Charlie Johnston	J:Archie Young(5) T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	175363	71	84	57	12d	—	—	-2	14.5	11/2 15%
Did well to finish a close third at Wolverhampton last time; fighting chance
1 (7)	Blue Secret b J:Joe Leavy(3) T:William Haggas	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:William Haggas	135	p	4345	73	83	54	10d	—	—	-3	11.3	6/1 14%
Looks the type to win a race at some stage; possibilities if taking well to headgear
7 (5)	Laurens Dream b J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	131	—	432113	69	80	73	21d	—	—	+15	24.5	17/2 11%
Likely to remain competitive, provided her Newcastle form is transferred to this venue
2 (12)	Kildonan b J:Adam Farragher T:Amy Murphy	J:Adam Farragher T:Amy Murphy	134	p	43601	72	80	53	31d	—	—	+10	18.8	9/1 10%
Edged ahead near the finish in C&D maiden last time, taking well to Southwell; respected
11 (10)	Cosmic Force b J:Daniel Muscutt T:George Boughey	J:Daniel Muscutt T:George Boughey	127	—	690	65	77	-	127d	—	—	-2	6.1	11/1 8%
May turn the corner now handicapping on AW (dam won in this sphere)
8 (1)	Fallen Soldier b J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	129	—	584272	67	83	74	35d	—	—	+7	13.5	12/1 8%
Has largely encouraging form in handicaps, neck second at Chelmsford most recently
10 (11)	Sabrimento ch J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:George Boughey	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:George Boughey	128	—	677471	66	78	-	54d	—	—	+8	16.2	12/1 8%
Won his last turf start but now goes without usual headgear; stable/AW debut
9 (2)	Mister McGregor ch J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	128	—	300779	66	74	58	12d	—	—	+1	5.2	22/1 4%
Has unconvincing form figures since switched to AW and needs improvement
12 (4)	Empowered Queen b J:Nicola Currie T:Ollie Sangster	J:Nicola Currie T:Ollie Sangster	123	p	66845	61	80	56	50d	—	—	0	4	20/1 5%
Chance of opening her account largely depends on how well she reacts to headgear
4 (8)	Rock N Roll Rocket b J:Rossa Ryan T:David Loughnane	J:Rossa Ryan T:David Loughnane	134	—	15066	72	77	-	82d	—	—	+5	8.6	25/1 4%
Has failed to progress over 5f; gelded since last run and now attempts new trip
6 (3)	Memardee b J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Alice Haynes	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Alice Haynes	131	t	003	69	80	54	26d	—	—	+5	9	25/1 4%
Could take another step forward kept to AW; interesting handicap debutante

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Arabian Cobra	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	10/3
Chuti Manika	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2	11/2
Blue Secret	11/2	11/2	11/2	6/1	5/1
Laurens Dream	17/2	8/1	8/1	15/2	17/2
Kildonan	9/1	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2
Cosmic Force	9/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	8/1
Fallen Soldier	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Sabrimento	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Mister McGregor	22/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1
Empowered Queen	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	16/1
Rock N Roll Rocket	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Memardee	22/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Laurens Dream

24.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 17.1 Odds: 2.7

17/2

2nd

Kildonan

18.8

OR: 5.5 Form: 10.9 Odds: 2.4

9/1

3rd

Arabian Cobra

16.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 5 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Sabrimento

16.2

OR: 4 Form: 10 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Chuti Manika

14.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 4.7

11/2

Fallen Soldier

13.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Blue Secret

11.3

OR: 5.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 4

6/1

Memardee

OR: 4.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Rock N Roll Rocket

8.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 2 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Cosmic Force

6.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Mister McGregor

5.2

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Empowered Queen

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Blue Secret Top Rated	73	83	54
Arabian Cobra	72	79	57
Kildonan	72	80	53
Rock N Roll Rocket	72	77	—
Chuti Manika	71	84	57
Laurens Dream	69	80	73
Memardee	69	80	54
Fallen Soldier	67	83	74
Sabrimento	66	78	—
Mister McGregor	66	74	58
Cosmic Force	65	77	—
Empowered Queen	61	80	56

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Arabian Cobra	47d ago	Fresh
Chuti Manika	12d ago	Quick return
Blue Secret	10d ago	Quick return
Laurens Dream	21d ago	Fit
Kildonan	31d ago	Fit
Cosmic Force	127d ago	Long break
Fallen Soldier	35d ago	Fit
Sabrimento	54d ago	Fresh
Mister McGregor	12d ago	Quick return
Empowered Queen	50d ago	Fresh
Rock N Roll Rocket	82d ago	Fresh
Memardee	26d ago	Fit

Going: Standard

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