CCR "Confined" Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands C/D) (3 Runs Or Less) (GBB Race)

Chelmsford (AW)

5:40

Date 2024-12-19

Distance 1m

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,711

Runners (13)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (9)	Rajeko b J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	137	—	148	99	96	-	120d	—	—	-18	35.9	8/11 58%
Twice highly tried since a winning debut but ran well in first of those; the one to beat
1 (13)	Port Light b J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	137	—	1	-	84	58	45d	—	—	-14	21.4	13/8 38%
Won on Southwell debut; major player despite the penalty and outside stall
4 (4)	English Lady b J:Kieran O'Neill T:Dean Ivory	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Dean Ivory	130	—	1	-	78	46	35d	—	—	+2	13.1	10/1 9%
Made a winning debut over 7f here last month; will need to improve to defy the penalty
8 (10)	Ravens King b J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Paul & Oliver Cole	128	—	3	-	71	66	16d	—	—	-2	4.7	18/1 5%
Third on his Lingfield debut, albeit around 11l behind the first two; improvement required
5 (1)	Maximus Decimus gr J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Alice Haynes	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Alice Haynes	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	40/1 2%
Stable can get one ready first time and the market should be revealing
10 (6)	Dojin ch J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:S Woods	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:S Woods	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	66/1 1%
Stable can get them ready first time and market support would be interesting
6 (7)	Arundel b J:Cieren Fallon T:Ed Dunlop	J:Cieren Fallon T:Ed Dunlop	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	50/1 2%
Cost 1,000gns as a yearling and the stable has very few winning 2yo newcomers
7 (5)	Malay Massaman b J:Sean Levey T:Amy Murphy	J:Sean Levey T:Amy Murphy	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	100/1 1%
Enough to like on pedigree and stable does have winning 2yo newcomers; watch the market
11 (11)	Casual Encounter b J:Isobelle Chalmers(7) T:Andrew Balding	J:Isobelle Chalmers(7) T:Andrew Balding	123	—	95	-	63	58	16d	—	—	-1	0.3	125/1 1%
Finished behind a couple of these in her first two starts; looks one for handicaps
12 (8)	Holywell Bay b J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	123	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	200/1 0%
Bred to handle the AW, but stable not noted for winning 2yo newcomers
3 (12)	Backer Bilk ch J:Aidan Keeley T:Jim & Suzi Best	J:Aidan Keeley T:Jim & Suzi Best	130	—	90	-	-	-	196d	—	—	-1	0.2	250/1 0%
Tailed off in two starts on turf for another yard in May/June
9 (2)	Reload b J:Callum Hutchinson T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	128	—	06	-	60	30	7d	—	—	0	0.1	250/1 0%
Well beaten in his first two starts; may be one for handicaps
13 (3)	Sister Seagull br J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Christine Dunnett	J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Christine Dunnett	123	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.2	300/1 0%
Would be a very rare winning 2yo newcomer from the yard.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Rajeko	4/6	8/11	4/6	4/6	4/6
Port Light	6/4	13/8	6/4	11/8	6/4
English Lady	10/1	17/2	9/1	10/1	10/1
Ravens King	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Maximus Decimus	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Dojin	40/1	50/1	50/1	66/1	66/1
Arundel	50/1	40/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Malay Massaman	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Casual Encounter	125/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Holywell Bay	200/1	125/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Backer Bilk	250/1	125/1	150/1	150/1	150/1
Reload	250/1	250/1	200/1	200/1	200/1
Sister Seagull	300/1	250/1	200/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rajeko

35.9

OR: 12.3 Form: 5 Odds: 18.7

8/11

2nd

Port Light

21.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 11.4

13/8

3rd

English Lady

13.1

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 3.1

10/1

Ravens King

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

18/1

Maximus Decimus

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Dojin

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Arundel

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Casual Encounter

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125/1

Malay Massaman

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Holywell Bay

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Backer Bilk

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Sister Seagull

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300/1

Reload

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rajeko Top Rated	99	96	—
Port Light	—	84	58
English Lady	—	78	46
Ravens King	—	71	66
Maximus Decimus	—	—	—
Dojin	—	—	—
Arundel	—	—	—
Malay Massaman	—	—	—
Casual Encounter	—	63	58
Holywell Bay	—	—	—
Backer Bilk	—	—	—
Reload	—	60	30
Sister Seagull	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Reload	7d ago	Quick return
Ravens King	16d ago	Fit
Casual Encounter	16d ago	Fit
English Lady	35d ago	Fit
Port Light	45d ago	Fit
Rajeko	120d ago	Long break
Backer Bilk	196d ago	Long break
Maximus Decimus	—	—
Dojin	—	—
Arundel	—	—
Malay Massaman	—	—
Holywell Bay	—	—
Sister Seagull	—	—