Howden Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle – Ascot

Ascot

12:45

Howden Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-12-20

Distance 2m5f141y

Class Class 3

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £8,793

Runners 13

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1	Champagne Twist b Callum Pritchard(6) · Ben Pauling	Callum Pritchard(6) · Ben Pauling	169	—	2119-U	131	139	125	34d	—	—	+1	28.9	5/2 29%
Won EBF Final at Sandown (2m4f, soft); bang there three out at Cheltenham but unseated
7	Double Powerful ch Dylan Johnston · Neil Mulholland	Dylan Johnston · Neil Mulholland	159	h	1-1111	121	134	128	35d	—	—	+10	30.9	10/3 23%
He's now won six in a row, latest when favourite in 16-runner race at Cheltenham (2m5f)
5	East India Express b Freddie Gordon(3) · Nicky Henderson	Freddie Gordon(3) · Nicky Henderson	161	—	/142-U	123	134	86	233d	—	—	+8	22.3	11/2 15%
Has not yet lived up to initial promise but relatively unexposed for this handicap debut
10	Stay If U Want To ch Benjamin Macey(10) · Jonjo & A J O'Neill	Benjamin Macey(10) · Jonjo & A J O'Neill	147	h	2-1227	109	139	127	35d	—	—	+10	21.3	15/2 12%
Ran creditably again when seventh of 16 under Benjamin Macey at Cheltenham; needs extra
3	Irish Hill gr Jay Tidball(3) · Paul Nicholls	Jay Tidball(3) · Paul Nicholls	165	p	32-P12	127	134	109	29d	—	—	+13	21.8	11/1 8%
Creditable second at Wincanton four weeks ago; stays 2m5f and usually thereabouts
8	Yellow Star b Caoilin Quinn(3) · Gary & Josh Moore	Caoilin Quinn(3) · Gary & Josh Moore	156	p	474-43	118	130	74	46d	—	—	+12	18.7	14/1 7%
Below form latest; switches from blinkers to cheekpieces but also needs to prove stamina
12	Don Rafael b Daire McConville(5) · Martin Keighley	Daire McConville(5) · Martin Keighley	145	—	213231	107	132	119	23d	—	—	+27	33.5	16/1 6%
Raised his game to win in good style at Hereford (2m4f, good to soft) on latest; up 5lb
4	Whatsupwithyou b Elliott England(10) · Ben Pauling	Elliott England(10) · Ben Pauling	163	tp	122-29	125	136	126	35d	—	—	+16	19.8	22/1 4%
Creditable ninth of 16 at Cheltenham latest but probably vulnerable in this as well
2	Stoner's Choice br Jack Hogan(3) · Fergal O'Brien	Jack Hogan(3) · Fergal O'Brien	168	tp	3321/2	130	136	89	39d	—	—	+23	25.9	33/1 3%
Returned from long absence with satisfactory run last month; ran well at Ascot yesterday
13	Rebel Intentions b Joe Anderson · Emma Lavelle	Joe Anderson · Emma Lavelle	142	t	50-210	104	129	116	35d	—	—	+12	14.2	40/1 2%
3-17 as a hurdler; tailed off at Cheltenham latest, when irregular heartbeat was reported
6	Dibble Decker b Cameron Iles(6) · Tom Lacey	Cameron Iles(6) · Tom Lacey	160	tp	/9123-	122	131	-	254d	—	—	+28	30	66/1 1%
Best results at sharper tracks; back hurdling (first time since April 2022) from chasing
11	Patanita b Finn Lambert · Georgina Nicholls	Finn Lambert · Georgina Nicholls	145	—	U/34-9	107	126	75	48d	—	—	+13	14.7	66/1 1%
Tailed off at 50-1 here on handicap debut seven weeks ago; has had wind surgery since
9	The Height Of Fame b Beau Morgan · Keiran Burke	Beau Morgan · Keiran Burke	150	tp	123444	112	132	109	25d	—	—	+16	17.8	100/1 1%
6-21 over hurdles and pretty consistent (out of her depth last time) but looks vulnerable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Champagne Twist	2/1	5/2	9/4	15/8	5/2
Double Powerful	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1	10/3
East India Express	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2	9/2
Stay If U Want To	7/1	15/2	7/1	15/2	6/1
Irish Hill	8/1	17/2	17/2	11/1	15/2
Yellow Star	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	14/1
Don Rafael	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	11/1
Whatsupwithyou	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Stoner's Choice	33/1	25/1	28/1	28/1	22/1
Rebel Intentions	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Dibble Decker	66/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	40/1
Patanita	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1
The Height Of Fame	100/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Don Rafael

33.5

OR: 14.3 Form: 17.5 Odds: 1.7

16/1

2nd

Double Powerful

30.9

OR: 17.8 Form: 7 Odds: 6.2

10/3

3rd

Dibble Decker

OR: 18 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Champagne Twist

28.9

OR: 20.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8.7

5/2

Stoner's Choice

25.9

OR: 20 Form: 5 Odds: 0.9

33/1

East India Express

22.3

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Irish Hill

21.8

OR: 19.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

11/1

Stay If U Want To

21.3

OR: 14.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Whatsupwithyou

19.8

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Yellow Star

18.7

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

The Height Of Fame

17.8

OR: 15.5 Form: 1.9 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Patanita

14.7

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Rebel Intentions

14.2

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Champagne Twist Top Rated	131	139	125
Stoner's Choice	130	136	89
Irish Hill	127	134	109
Whatsupwithyou	125	136	126
East India Express	123	134	86
Dibble Decker	122	131	—
Double Powerful	121	134	128
Yellow Star	118	130	74
The Height Of Fame	112	132	109
Stay If U Want To	109	139	127
Don Rafael	107	132	119
Patanita	107	126	75
Rebel Intentions	104	129	116

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Champagne Twist	34d ago	Fit
Double Powerful	35d ago	Fit
East India Express	233d ago	Long break
Stay If U Want To	35d ago	Fit
Irish Hill	29d ago	Fit
Yellow Star	46d ago	Fresh
Don Rafael	23d ago	Fit
Whatsupwithyou	35d ago	Fit
Stoner's Choice	39d ago	Fit
Rebel Intentions	35d ago	Fit
Dibble Decker	254d ago	Long break
Patanita	48d ago	Fresh
The Height Of Fame	25d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Soft

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