Racing Post Handicap Chase – Leopardstown

Leopardstown

2:55

Racing Post Handicap Chase

Date 2024-12-26

Distance 2m1f

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €17,700

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
13	One Last Tango ch Charlie O'Dwyer(5) · Eoin Griffin	Charlie O'Dwyer(5) · Eoin Griffin	140	—	-65446	114	131	58	23d	—	—	+3	21.2	9/2 18%
Recent handicap debut effort at Clonmel leaves him with a lot to find
9	Broomfield Bijou b Sam Ewing · J P Dempsey	Sam Ewing · J P Dempsey	150	—	-1P326	124	140	122	25d	—	—	+16	28.7	13/2 13%
Excuses latest; drop back in trip to suit and don't rule out
6	The Folkes Tiara b Ethan O'Sullivan(7) · Henry De Bromhead	Ethan O'Sullivan(7) · Henry De Bromhead	157	t	18P0-1	131	140	131	26d	—	—	+22	33.6	7/1 13%
Comeback Fairyhouse win over The Kings Of Prs augurs well; rider's claim a positive too
7	The King Of Prs b Keith Donoghue · Gavin Cromwell	Keith Donoghue · Gavin Cromwell	156	t	36F4-2	130	142	133	26d	—	—	+17	28.3	7/1 13%
Fairyhouse comeback second to The Folkes Tiara; bit more needed at these weights
10	Canal End b Simon Torrens · Peter Fahey	Simon Torrens · Peter Fahey	145	—	79-575	119	135	97	16d	—	—	+10	20.1	8/1 11%
Potential improver entering handicaps but may want a bit further
11	An Peann Dearg ch Sean O'Keeffe · Paul Nolan	Sean O'Keeffe · Paul Nolan	142	ht	846342	116	144	126	60d	—	—	+16	25.7	17/2 11%
Needs to improve and trip/ground possibly not ideal
2	San Salvador ch J J Slevin · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J J Slevin · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	163	—	741144	137	146	126	40d	—	—	+22	32.6	9/1 10%
Career-best despite some iffy jumping at Cheltenham latest; needs to jump better
3	Bowmore br Mike O'Connor · Henry De Bromhead	Mike O'Connor · Henry De Bromhead	162	—	30-13F	136	137	112	—	—	—	+15	23.9	10/1 9%
Not out of it when faller two out behind San Salvador in Grade 3 at Roscommon; stiff mark
12	Mr Saxobeat ch Anna McGuinness(7) · Thomas Gibney	Anna McGuinness(7) · Thomas Gibney	142	t	45322U	116	145	108	19d	—	—	+17	23.6	14/1 7%
Consistent in lower-grade handicaps than this but drop in trip may not be ideal
14	Tuckmill b Jake Coen(3) · Peter Fahey	Jake Coen(3) · Peter Fahey	140	b	-41261	114	137	124	55d	—	—	+28	32.7	25/1 4%
Down Royal winner 4lb wrong here so fair bit to find for a follow-up win
4	Final Orders b Jack Kearney(3) · Gavin Cromwell	Jack Kearney(3) · Gavin Cromwell	161	—	-04470	135	143	132	124d	—	—	+18	22.6	20/1 5%
2022 winner but on a long losing run; handicapper relenting but others preferred
5	Railway Hurricane b Kieren Buckley · Gavin Cromwell	Kieren Buckley · Gavin Cromwell	158	tb	140334	132	143	134	26d	—	—	+21	25.1	33/1 3%
Recent staying-on fourth to The Folkes Tiara at Fairyhouse puts him in the mix
NR	Affordale Fury b Mr R James(7) · Noel Meade	Mr R James(7) · Noel Meade	171	—	22/15-	145	140	109	397d	—	—	—	23.8	—
Unexposed but can only be watched on return from 13 months absence over inadequate trip
NR	Grange Walk ch Mr D Doyle(7) · John Patrick Ryan	Mr D Doyle(7) · John Patrick Ryan	152	b	508644	126	124	106	49d	—	—	—	19	—
2021 winner but out of form of late and hard to fancy

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
One Last Tango	9/2	4/1	7/2	7/2	10/3
Broomfield Bijou	6/1	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1
The Folkes Tiara	7/1	6/1	13/2	13/2	13/2
The King Of Prs	6/1	6/1	7/1	6/1	6/1
Canal End	8/1	15/2	8/1	8/1	8/1
An Peann Dearg	8/1	17/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
San Salvador	8/1	9/1	13/2	15/2	13/2
Bowmore	9/1	10/1	8/1	17/2	8/1
Mr Saxobeat	14/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Tuckmill	25/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
Final Orders	20/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Railway Hurricane	33/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Affordale Fury	-	-	-	-	-
Grange Walk	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

The Folkes Tiara

33.6

OR: 20.3 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3

7/1

2nd

Tuckmill

32.7

OR: 16 Form: 15.5 Odds: 1.2

25/1

3rd

San Salvador

32.6

OR: 21.8 Form: 8 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Broomfield Bijou

28.7

OR: 18.5 Form: 6.6 Odds: 3.6

13/2

The King Of Prs

28.3

OR: 20 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

7/1

An Peann Dearg

25.7

OR: 16.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Railway Hurricane

25.1

OR: 20.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1

33/1

Bowmore

23.9

OR: 21.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Affordale Fury

23.8

OR: 23.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Mr Saxobeat

23.6

OR: 16.5 Form: 5.4 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Final Orders

22.6

OR: 21.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

One Last Tango

21.2

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Canal End

20.1

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Grange Walk

OR: 19 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Affordale Fury Top Rated	145	140	109
San Salvador	137	146	126
Bowmore	136	137	112
Final Orders	135	143	132
Railway Hurricane	132	143	134
The Folkes Tiara	131	140	131
The King Of Prs	130	142	133
Grange Walk	126	124	106
Broomfield Bijou	124	140	122
Canal End	119	135	97
An Peann Dearg	116	144	126
Mr Saxobeat	116	145	108
One Last Tango	114	131	58
Tuckmill	114	137	124

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
One Last Tango	23d ago	Fit
Broomfield Bijou	25d ago	Fit
The Folkes Tiara	26d ago	Fit
The King Of Prs	26d ago	Fit
Canal End	16d ago	Fit
An Peann Dearg	60d ago	Fresh
San Salvador	40d ago	Fit
Bowmore	—	—
Mr Saxobeat	19d ago	Fit
Tuckmill	55d ago	Fresh
Final Orders	124d ago	Long break
Railway Hurricane	26d ago	Fit
Affordale Fury	397d ago	Long break
Grange Walk	49d ago	Fresh

Going: Good To Yielding

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