BetMGM: Its Showtime Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

3:15

BetMGM: Its Showtime Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2025-01-15

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,942

Runners 11

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
9 (1)	Sunshine Soul b Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	126	—	2724-	79	76	72	142d	—	—	-14	24.8	11/8 42%
Mostly consistent in four races last summer, close fourth here latest; the form pick
10 (7)	Suzuka br Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	126	h	54-	-	65	27	17d	—	—	-13	5.4	7/2 22%
Has shown promise in both runs; from a good family and remains open to progress
5 (6)	Diamont Katie b Clifford Lee · K R Burke	Clifford Lee · K R Burke	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	4.7	9/2 18%
£68,000 yearling; stable first string on jockey arrangements; interesting newcomer
11 (3)	Toughly b Trevor Whelan · Ollie Sangster	Trevor Whelan · Ollie Sangster	126	—	4-	-	60	21	27d	—	—	-12	4.7	6/1 14%
Showed ability in C&D event but shaped as if further may be ideally needed
4 (5)	Cemlyn b David Probert · Edward Bethell	David Probert · Edward Bethell	126	—	46-	-	66	51	26d	—	—	-6	2.2	11/1 8%
One of the main form contenders but needs improvement to win
6 (11)	Dream Illusion b Pierre-Louis Jamin · K R Burke	Pierre-Louis Jamin · K R Burke	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	20/1 5%
26,000gns 2yo; bred to take well to AW but seems the stable second string
8 (10)	Star Zia gr Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	126	—	6-	-	46	28	37d	—	—	-1	0.4	66/1 1%
Needs to improve plenty on her Newcastle effort
2 (9)	Adaay's Grace b Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	126	p	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	100/1 1%
Adaay filly; cheekpieces applied; yard not noted for debut scorers
3 (2)	California Fling b Lewis Edmunds · William Muir & Chris Grassick	Lewis Edmunds · William Muir & Chris Grassick	126	—	—	-	38	16	12d	—	—	-1	0.2	300/1 0%
Failed to beat a rival in C&D contest 12 days ago
7 (8)	Holywell Bay b Dylan Hogan · Julia & Shelley Birkett	Dylan Hogan · Julia & Shelley Birkett	126	—	0-0	-	39	-	9d	—	—	0	0.1	300/1 0%
Poor claims dropped further in distance
NR (4)	Shanessa b TBC · Sam England	· Sam England	142	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—
1,400gns 2yo; sole 4yo in the field; best watched on belated debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Sunshine Soul	5/4	11/8	5/4	6/5	6/5
Suzuka	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Diamont Katie	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
Toughly	6/1	11/2	11/2	6/1	6/1
Cemlyn	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Dream Illusion	16/1	18/1	20/1	16/1	16/1
Star Zia	50/1	50/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
Adaay's Grace	80/1	80/1	100/1	66/1	66/1
California Fling	300/1	150/1	200/1	100/1	125/1
Holywell Bay	300/1	250/1	300/1	150/1	200/1
Shanessa	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sunshine Soul

24.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 5 Odds: 12.5

11/8

2nd

Suzuka

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

7/2

3rd

Diamont Katie

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Toughly

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

6/1

Cemlyn

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Dream Illusion

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Star Zia

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Adaay's Grace

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

California Fling

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300/1

Holywell Bay

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Shanessa

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sunshine Soul Top Rated	79	76	72
Suzuka	—	65	27
Diamont Katie	—	—	—
Toughly	—	60	21
Cemlyn	—	66	51
Dream Illusion	—	—	—
Star Zia	—	46	28
Adaay's Grace	—	—	—
California Fling	—	38	16
Holywell Bay	—	39	—
Shanessa	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sunshine Soul	142d ago	Long break
Suzuka	17d ago	Fit
Diamont Katie	—	—
Toughly	27d ago	Fit
Cemlyn	26d ago	Fit
Dream Illusion	—	—
Star Zia	37d ago	Fit
Adaay's Grace	—	—
California Fling	12d ago	Quick return
Holywell Bay	9d ago	Quick return
Shanessa	—	—

Going: Standard

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