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Kempton (AW)

4:25

Date 2025-01-15

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,980

Runners 8

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (4)	Collusion b Mr Fletcher Yarham · Dylan Cunha	Mr Fletcher Yarham · Dylan Cunha	156	—	47264-	58	51	14	19d	—	—	-19	15.1	15/8 35%
Fair fourth at Wolverhampton, which was a lot better than most of these managed last time
4 (1)	Big Bard b Mr Ben Pollard(5) · Gary & Josh Moore	Mr Ben Pollard(5) · Gary & Josh Moore	155	p	23586-	57	53	40	42d	—	—	-11	9.8	10/3 23%
Fair sixth of 12 over C&D last month on second run after a break and he's in with a chance
2 (2)	McCauley's Tavern b Mr Simon Walker · Michael Appleby	Mr Simon Walker · Michael Appleby	156	v	1949-9	58	52	45	13d	—	—	-11	7.2	9/2 18%
Down the field the last twice but on Tapeta; his two wins have come over this C&D
6 (8)	Under Curfew ch Miss Sarah Bowen · Tony Carroll	Miss Sarah Bowen · Tony Carroll	152	v	2530-5	54	51	42	4d	—	—	-7	4.1	9/1 10%
Close fifth at Wolverhampton on Saturday and he could be in the mix
7 (7)	Heartrate ch Miss Tilly Evans(5) · Mark Loughnane	Miss Tilly Evans(5) · Mark Loughnane	151	—	57340-	53	51	42	18d	—	—	-4	4.5	11/1 8%
On losing sequence & well beaten latest, but in good form previously and could bounce back
3 (3)	El Hibri b Miss Katie Martin(7) · Ian Williams	Miss Katie Martin(7) · Ian Williams	156	p	00480-	58	46	15	19d	—	—	-2	3.6	16/1 6%
C&D winner; 4lb lower than when scoring last May but unable to get competitive since
8 (5)	Don't Fight It b Miss Megan Jordan · Jim & Suzi Best	Miss Megan Jordan · Jim & Suzi Best	144	b	/6293-	46	49	23	105d	—	—	+2	6.7	20/1 5%
Close third over C&D last time; bang there if reproducing that form after 105-day break
5 (6)	Dan Dee Prince b Miss Jodie Wingrove(7) · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	Miss Jodie Wingrove(7) · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	154	v	3760-7	56	48	26	11d	—	—	0	2.2	40/1 2%
The drop back to 6f may suit this headstrong sort but a return to form is needed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Collusion	6/4	13/8	13/8	15/8	7/4
Big Bard	10/3	10/3	3/1	11/4	11/4
McCauley's Tavern	4/1	9/2	4/1	9/2	7/2
Under Curfew	9/1	9/1	9/1	15/2	17/2
Heartrate	11/1	11/1	11/1	17/2	10/1
El Hibri	16/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Don't Fight It	20/1	20/1	20/1	16/1	18/1
Dan Dee Prince	40/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Collusion

15.1

OR: 2 Form: 2.5 Odds: 10.6

15/8

2nd

Big Bard

9.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 1.9 Odds: 6.2

10/3

3rd

McCauley's Tavern

7.2

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Don't Fight It

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Heartrate

4.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Under Curfew

4.1

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

9/1

El Hibri

3.6

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Dan Dee Prince

2.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Collusion Top Rated	58	51	14
McCauley's Tavern	58	52	45
El Hibri	58	46	15
Big Bard	57	53	40
Dan Dee Prince	56	48	26
Under Curfew	54	51	42
Heartrate	53	51	42
Don't Fight It	46	49	23

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Collusion	19d ago	Fit
Big Bard	42d ago	Fit
McCauley's Tavern	13d ago	Quick return
Under Curfew	4d ago	Quick return
Heartrate	18d ago	Fit
El Hibri	19d ago	Fit
Don't Fight It	105d ago	Long break
Dan Dee Prince	11d ago	Quick return

Going: Standard To Slow

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