Nire Valley Claiming Hurdle – Clonmel

Clonmel

2:50

Nire Valley Claiming Hurdle

Date 2025-02-27

Distance 2m

Class

Going Heavy

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3	Robinstown b Tiernan Power Roche(5) · Cian Collins	Tiernan Power Roche(5) · Cian Collins	158	tb	3-0701	116	131	94	30d	—	—	-1	27.5	2/1 33%
Won 2m5f claimer at Limerick, strong contender though the shorter trip is a concern
7	Ellaat b Philip Byrnes · C Byrnes	Philip Byrnes · C Byrnes	150	—	7/53-3	107	126	81	30d	—	—	+3	23.4	7/2 22%
Should be better for run behind Robinstown at Limerick, may reverse form over this trip
8	Connors Cross gr Kevin A Murphy(7) · Ian O'Connor	Kevin A Murphy(7) · Ian O'Connor	148	ht	/6-049	114	124	40	42d	—	—	+5	20.4	5/1 17%
Fair fourth on chasing debut at this venue in December, not a good last time, new yard now
2	Lightkeeper b Sam Ewing · Gordon Elliott	Sam Ewing · Gordon Elliott	158	tb	P44B67	116	127	108	14d	—	—	+6	20.9	9/2 18%
9/22m5f Galway maiden winner, this may prove a bit short but seems to be yard's best hope
9	Jack Du Large b Danny Gilligan · Gordon Elliott	Danny Gilligan · Gordon Elliott	148	p	0020-P	103	120	53	271d	—	—	+6	15.9	8/1 11%
Absent since pulled at Tramore last June, cheekpieces tried now, others make more appeal
10	Voice Of Reason b/br Paddy Cleary(7) · Gordon Elliott	Paddy Cleary(7) · Gordon Elliott	148	—	009676	98	127	107	14d	—	—	+7	13.9	12/1 8%
Moderate seventh behind Robinstown at Limerick, lowest-rated of trainer's three runners
1	Cafe Con Leche b/br Mr A D Bustin(7) · C Byrnes	Mr A D Bustin(7) · C Byrnes	168	—	0010-0	121	118	69	103d	—	—	+15	18.7	28/1 3%
Has won for this rider but the stable probably has a better chance with Ellaat
5	Jollybops b Mark McDonagh · Denis Gerard Hogan	Mark McDonagh · Denis Gerard Hogan	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	40/1 2%
Dam's two bumper wins came on quick ground, lacks experience, heavy going may not suit
6	Opera Point b John Aherne(7) · A M O'Grady	John Aherne(7) · A M O'Grady	154	—	00F000	72	89	66	58d	—	—	+5	5.6	150/1 1%
Never closer than tenth in seven starts over hurdles, impossible to make a case for her
4	Cabra Road ch Mr T O'Connor(7) · Turlough O'Connor	Mr T O'Connor(7) · Turlough O'Connor	156	h	00	-	72	43	14d	—	—	-1	0.3	200/1 0%
Towards the back in outings at Tramore and Clonmel, safe to leave out of calculations

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Robinstown	2/1	2/1	2/1	15/8	2/1
Ellaat	7/2	10/3	10/3	3/1	7/2
Connors Cross	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Lightkeeper	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Jack Du Large	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Voice Of Reason	10/1	12/1	10/1	12/1	10/1
Cafe Con Leche	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	28/1
Jollybops	33/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Opera Point	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1
Cabra Road	150/1	200/1	150/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Robinstown

27.5

OR: 16.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 8.9

2/1

2nd

Ellaat

23.4

OR: 14.3 Form: 3 Odds: 6.2

7/2

3rd

Lightkeeper

20.9

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Connors Cross

20.4

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Cafe Con Leche

18.7

OR: 17.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Jack Du Large

15.9

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Voice Of Reason

13.9

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Opera Point

5.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

150/1

Jollybops

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Cabra Road

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cafe Con Leche Top Rated	121	118	69
Robinstown	116	131	94
Lightkeeper	116	127	108
Connors Cross	114	124	40
Ellaat	107	126	81
Jack Du Large	103	120	53
Voice Of Reason	98	127	107
Opera Point	72	89	66
Jollybops	—	—	—
Cabra Road	—	72	43

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Robinstown	30d ago	Fit
Ellaat	30d ago	Fit
Connors Cross	42d ago	Fit
Lightkeeper	14d ago	Fit
Jack Du Large	271d ago	Long break
Voice Of Reason	14d ago	Fit
Cafe Con Leche	103d ago	Long break
Jollybops	—	—
Opera Point	58d ago	Fresh
Cabra Road	14d ago	Fit

Going: Heavy

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