Sri Lanka Paradise Island Handicap – Sandown

Sandown

16:45

Sri Lanka Paradise Island Handicap

Date 2025-09-17

Distance 1m1f209y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £6,019

Runners (9)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (9)	Sir William Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	134	—	343312	79	92	79	20d	—	—	+2	30.5	85/40 32%
Consistent; only narrowly failed to follow up his Windsor win at Newbury 20 days ago
9 (7)	Dancing Tiger Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Roger Teal	J:Rossa Ryan T:Roger Teal	125	p	557521	70	91	75	15d	—	—	+5	23.9	7/2 22%
First run on slow ground when winning well at Goodwood; 4lb rise could have been worse
5 (1)	Atherstone Warrior Bay J:Jason Watson T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Jason Watson T:Gary & Josh Moore	130	—	64-304	75	92	75	23d	—	—	-6	11.5	7/2 22%
Only beaten 3.5l at Epsom last time and the winner followed up at Doncaster last weekend
2 (2)	Advancing Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	135	p	1433	80	90	79	21d	—	—	+7	18.9	15/2 12%
Looks handicapped about right but slower ground might trigger something
1 (8)	Big Sip Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	135	—	-17626	80	89	71	20d	—	—	+8	14.7	18/1 5%
1-9; only midfield in a Racing League handicap after leaving Andrew Balding
6 (5)	The Bellhop Chestnut J:Rob Hornby T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Rob Hornby T:Gary & Josh Moore	127	p	5835	72	88	72	28d	—	—	+3	9.5	18/1 5%
Not obviously progressive but a handicap debut and the sire loved soft ground
4 (4)	Perfect Scoundrel Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Amanda Perrett	J:Robert Havlin T:Amanda Perrett	130	—	624	75	85	69	15d	—	—	+6	11	20/1 5%
Beaten between about 5l and 13l in his three qualifying runs; likely best watched for now
8 (3)	Jonnie Brown J:Pat Cosgrave T:Jim Boyle	J:Pat Cosgrave T:Jim Boyle	125	—	748	70	87	64	58d	—	—	+2	6.1	28/1 3%
Unexposed and makes handicap debut in a race his yard has won twice in three years
7 (6)	Mahogany Bay Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Brian Meehan	J:Charles Bishop T:Brian Meehan	127	—	8-3256	72	89	61	23d	—	—	+3	6.5	28/1 3%
Still unexposed; best RPR came on good to soft and softer here could benefit

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Sir William	15/8	2/1	2/1	2/1	85/40
Dancing Tiger	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	7/2
Atherstone Warrior	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	7/2
Advancing	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	11/2
Big Sip	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	18/1
The Bellhop	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	18/1
Perfect Scoundrel	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Jonnie	28/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	18/1
Mahogany Bay	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sir William

30.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 14.4 Odds: 8.9

85/40

2nd

Dancing Tiger

23.9

OR: 5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 5.4

7/2

3rd

Advancing

18.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 8.1 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Big Sip

14.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.7

18/1

Atherstone Warrior

11.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Perfect Scoundrel

OR: 6.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.3

20/1

The Bellhop

9.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.9

18/1

Mahogany Bay

6.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Jonnie

6.1

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Advancing	80	90	79
Big Sip	80	89	71
Sir William	79	92	79
Atherstone Warrior	75	92	75
Perfect Scoundrel	75	85	69
The Bellhop	72	88	72
Mahogany Bay	72	89	61
Dancing Tiger	70	91	75
Jonnie	70	87	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dancing Tiger	15d ago	Fit
Perfect Scoundrel	15d ago	Fit
Sir William	20d ago	Fit
Big Sip	20d ago	Fit
Advancing	21d ago	Fit
Atherstone Warrior	23d ago	Fit
Mahogany Bay	23d ago	Fit
The Bellhop	28d ago	Fit
Jonnie	58d ago	Fresh