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Kempton (AW)

4:40

Date 2025-10-15

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (3)	Hierarchy ch Toby Moore(7) · Jamie Osborne	Toby Moore(7) · Jamie Osborne	135	tb	921531	75	87	68	18d	—	—	+7	29	3/1 25%
Hold-up sprinter; won two of his last four and still feasibly treated; one to consider
8 (4)	Tyger Bay b Ryan Kavanagh · Conrad Allen	Ryan Kavanagh · Conrad Allen	132	tb	435110	72	86	81	33d	—	—	+5	23.3	7/2 22%
Won his last two AW starts, including C&D, and this more suitable than last time
11 (2)	Danger Alert b Liam Wright · George Baker	Liam Wright · George Baker	128	v	762420	68	86	-	15d	—	—	+1	12.8	13/2 13%
On losing run and not at his best at Bath two weeks ago; easy enough to have reservations
10 (10)	Treacherous b Elizabeth Gale(3) · Ed de Giles	Elizabeth Gale(3) · Ed de Giles	128	—	086769	68	83	-	15d	—	—	-2	7.2	15/2 12%
Eight-time course winner; down in the weights but age looks to be catching up with him now
2 (1)	Invincible Speed b Tom Kiely-Marshall · Mark Loughnane	Tom Kiely-Marshall · Mark Loughnane	135	—	138656	75	85	76	83d	—	—	+1	9.2	9/1 10%
Back to last winning mark and fair claims if ready to roll after a 12-week absence
3 (11)	Mc Loven b Ashley Lewis(3) · Simon Dow	Ashley Lewis(3) · Simon Dow	134	—	440337	74	85	78	25d	—	—	+3	12.3	8/1 11%
Front-runner; on a good mark but happiest at 5f and he has a wide draw to overcome
5 (6)	Lerwick b Warren Fentiman · Mark Loughnane	Warren Fentiman · Mark Loughnane	133	—	585797	73	82	84	97d	—	—	0	8.1	10/1 9%
Two 1m wins for former stable; mixed record for new yard and something to prove at 6f
9 (8)	One More Dream br Sam Feilden(3) · John & Sean Quinn	Sam Feilden(3) · John & Sean Quinn	131	—	586210	71	84	77	18d	—	—	+10	16.5	16/1 6%
Prolific winner; below par at Southwell 18 days ago but capable of bouncing quickly back
4 (5)	Harry's Halo ch Alfie Gee(5) · Kevin Frost	Alfie Gee(5) · Kevin Frost	134	tv	312-64	74	86	-	89d	—	—	+2	7.4	20/1 5%
Not at best in either run this summer but the return of accessories could see him revive
7 (9)	Lipsink b Mason Paetel · Michael Appleby	Mason Paetel · Michael Appleby	132	p	742175	72	84	-	15d	—	—	+9	13.1	22/1 4%
5f win in August; stays 6f and fully effective on Polytrack; other pace to contend with
6 (7)	El Bufalo ch Zoe Lewis(5) · Thomas Faulkner	Zoe Lewis(5) · Thomas Faulkner	133	t	614507	73	85	78	18d	—	—	+5	8.6	50/1 2%
Two 5f wins for Dylan Cunha; down the field on recent stable debut; opposable at the trip
NR (12)	Dashing Harry b NON-RUNNER · James Horton	NON-RUNNER · James Horton	126	p	700705	66	-	-	18d	—	—	—	4	—
Two-time C&D winner; midfield finish at Southwell last time was better; drawn widest

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Hierarchy	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4
Tyger Bay	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
Danger Alert	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1
Treacherous	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Invincible Speed	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	9/1
Mc Loven	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Lerwick	9/1	9/1	9/1	10/1	17/2
One More Dream	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	11/1
Harry's Halo	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	16/1
Lipsink	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	18/1
El Bufalo	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	28/1
Dashing Harry	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hierarchy

OR: 6.3 Form: 16.1 Odds: 6.7

3/1

2nd

Tyger Bay

23.3

OR: 5.5 Form: 12.6 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

One More Dream

16.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Lipsink

13.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Danger Alert

12.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Mc Loven

12.3

OR: 6 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Invincible Speed

9.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.4

9/1

El Bufalo

8.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 2 Odds: 0.9

50/1

Lerwick

8.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Harry's Halo

7.4

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Treacherous

7.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Dashing Harry

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hierarchy Top Rated	75	87	68
Invincible Speed	75	85	76
Mc Loven	74	85	78
Harry's Halo	74	86	—
Lerwick	73	82	84
El Bufalo	73	85	78
Tyger Bay	72	86	81
Lipsink	72	84	—
One More Dream	71	84	77
Danger Alert	68	86	—
Treacherous	68	83	—
Dashing Harry	66	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hierarchy	18d ago	Fit
Tyger Bay	33d ago	Fit
Danger Alert	15d ago	Fit
Treacherous	15d ago	Fit
Invincible Speed	83d ago	Fresh
Mc Loven	25d ago	Fit
Lerwick	97d ago	Long break
One More Dream	18d ago	Fit
Harry's Halo	89d ago	Fresh
Lipsink	15d ago	Fit
El Bufalo	18d ago	Fit
Dashing Harry	18d ago	Fit

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Mc Loven	Front Runner
Dashing Harry	Mid-Pack
Hierarchy	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 12 runners classified.

Going: Standard To Slow

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