Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Nursery Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

12:40

Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Nursery Handicap

Date 2025-11-04

Distance 6f1y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,972

Runners 6

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (6)	Lightning Polka ch Kieran Shoemark · Ed Walker	Kieran Shoemark · Ed Walker	135	—	170	85	83	-	24d	—	—	-12	26.3	11/8 42%
Come up short in Group 3/Listed events following a smooth debut win; this should be easier
2 (5)	Ten Carat Harry b William Carver · Jamie Osborne	William Carver · Jamie Osborne	133	—	8131	83	90	82	18d	—	—	+5	34.2	5/2 29%
2-2 on AW, the latest a ready nursery win last month; up 6lb but commands respect
5 (3)	Ecclefechan b Jack Mitchell · John Ryan	Jack Mitchell · John Ryan	124	—	942044	74	89	-	24d	—	—	-5	12.8	4/1 20%
Consistent but not progressive; likely vulnerable back in trip on AW debut
3 (4)	Rogue Temptation b Harry Davies · Edward Bethell	Harry Davies · Edward Bethell	132	b	51237	82	89	-	38d	—	—	+7	19	15/2 12%
Poor run at Newmarket last time but solid form beforehand; blinkered for AW debut
NR (2)	Noble Vow b Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	126	—	3432	76	91	61	15d	—	—	—	14.5	—
Missed out by a nose at Wolverhampton last month (6f); high on the list now handicapping
NR (1)	Green Dame br Jack Callan(5) · George Boughey	Jack Callan(5) · George Boughey	121	—	4232	71	90	70	7d	—	—	—	14.9	—
Couldn't reward strong support on handicap debut last week but still ran well; big player

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Lightning Polka	5/4	5/4	5/4	5/4	11/8
Ten Carat Harry	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4	2/1
Ecclefechan	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Rogue Temptation	15/2	13/2	13/2	7/1	6/1
Noble Vow	-	-	-	-	-
Green Dame	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ten Carat Harry

34.2

OR: 8.3 Form: 17.1 Odds: 8.9

5/2

2nd

Lightning Polka

26.3

OR: 8.8 Form: 5 Odds: 12.5

11/8

3rd

Rogue Temptation

OR: 8 Form: 7.6 Odds: 3.4

15/2

Green Dame

14.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 9.6 Odds: 0

—

Noble Vow

14.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 8 Odds: 0

—

Ecclefechan

12.8

OR: 6 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5.3

4/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lightning Polka Top Rated	85	83	—
Ten Carat Harry	83	90	82
Rogue Temptation	82	89	—
Noble Vow	76	91	61
Ecclefechan	74	89	—
Green Dame	71	90	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lightning Polka	24d ago	Fit
Ten Carat Harry	18d ago	Fit
Ecclefechan	24d ago	Fit
Rogue Temptation	38d ago	Fit
Noble Vow	15d ago	Fit
Green Dame	7d ago	Quick return

Going: Standard

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