Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

5:00

Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2026-01-22

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,140

Runners 8

Weather Overcast

Temp 8°C

Wind 13mph SE

Rain 63%

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (5)	Contorno b Hector Crouch · Tom Tate	Hector Crouch · Tom Tate	128	—	7760-	53	60	-	120d	—	—	-18	9.2	2/1 33%
Well held in four turf runs last year, including handicap; makes AW debut after break
5 (8)	Mademoiselle Belle b Cam Hardie · Brian Ellison	Cam Hardie · Brian Ellison	130	—	374-22	55	64	64	5d	—	—	-13	7	10/3 23%
Second to improvers in 6f Southwell h'caps last twice; player if as effective back at 5f
4 (6)	The Tunguska Event b Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn	Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn	132	v	0815-7	57	65	57	21d	—	—	-6	4.6	15/2 12%
Hasn't built on 6f course win in blinkers but new headgear (visor) could work well
1 (2)	Aly A'Ali b Jonny Peate · James Ferguson	Jonny Peate · James Ferguson	135	p	745-	60	66	36	125d	—	—	-6	5.7	7/1 13%
Possible improver now handicapping for yard with good strike-rate here; check betting
2 (1)	Ya Habibti b Jason Watson · Dylan Cunha	Jason Watson · Dylan Cunha	135	—	654-6	60	63	35	15d	—	—	-4	5.2	8/1 11%
Only sixth of 13 on recent 6f Kempton handicap but drop to 6f may suit this free-goer
8 (3)	Amazon Jungle ch Warren Fentiman(5) · John & Sean Quinn	Warren Fentiman(5) · John & Sean Quinn	121	—	908-	46	59	-	190d	—	—	-6	2.5	8/1 11%
Jason Hart on yard's other runner but this handicap newcomer still needs a betting check
3 (7)	Mystical Land br Sean Kirrane · Michael Dods	Sean Kirrane · Michael Dods	134	b	30644-	59	61	45	37d	—	—	-3	5.2	10/1 9%
Fourth in two course handicaps; only had five starts so may not have reached his limit
NR (4)	Havin A Flyer b NON-RUNNER · Rebecca Menzies	NON-RUNNER · Rebecca Menzies	129	t	5348-8	54	-	-	2d	—	—	—	1	—
Now 0-16 but this much more realistic than C&D novice she contested on Tuesday

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Contorno	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1
Mademoiselle Belle	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1
The Tunguska Event	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2	13/2
Aly A'Ali	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1
Ya Habibti	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2
Amazon Jungle	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	15/2
Mystical Land	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	8/1
Havin A Flyer	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Contorno

9.2

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

2/1

2nd

Mademoiselle Belle

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

3rd

Aly A'Ali

5.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.2

7/1

Ya Habibti

5.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Mystical Land

5.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.4

10/1

The Tunguska Event

4.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Amazon Jungle

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Havin A Flyer

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Aly A'Ali Top Rated	60	66	36
Ya Habibti	60	63	35
Mystical Land	59	61	45
The Tunguska Event	57	65	57
Mademoiselle Belle	55	64	64
Havin A Flyer	54	—	—
Contorno	53	60	—
Amazon Jungle	46	59	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Contorno	120d ago	Long break
Mademoiselle Belle	5d ago	Quick return
The Tunguska Event	21d ago	Fit
Aly A'Ali	125d ago	Long break
Ya Habibti	15d ago	Fit
Amazon Jungle	190d ago	Long break
Mystical Land	37d ago	Fit
Havin A Flyer	2d ago	Quick return

Going: Standard

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