Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap (Rider Restricted Race)

Wolverhampton (AW)

7:00

Date 2026-02-17

Distance 5f21y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,972

Runners 7

Weather Mainly Clear

Temp 1.3°C

Wind 6mph NW

Rain 0%

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (4)	Fortification ch Harry Vigors(7) · Archie Watson	Harry Vigors(7) · Archie Watson	130	p	321-3	80	88	42	25d	—	—	-5	17.2	11/4 27%
C&D win on 3rd novice start; not so good switched to handicap last month; still early days
6 (6)	Filly Foden b Gina Mangan · Rod Millman	Gina Mangan · Rod Millman	125	—	2-2311	75	86	82	10d	—	—	-3	15	7/2 22%
Hit hard for recent Lingfield win; needs clear personal best to follow up in a better race
7 (2)	Flash Rascal b Callum Hutchinson · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	Callum Hutchinson · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	120	—	133-32	70	88	67	14d	—	—	-7	10	4/1 20%
Latest C&D 2nd up there with best form; major player, especially if getting away on terms
1 (7)	Baker Blue b Kyle Strydom · Dylan Cunha	Kyle Strydom · Dylan Cunha	137	—	21-424	87	90	72	12d	—	—	-2	13.7	11/2 15%
6f novice win on stable debut in December; creditable handicap efforts since; contender
5 (5)	Justmyluck b Rhys Clutterbuck · Linda Perratt	Rhys Clutterbuck · Linda Perratt	127	—	6523-1	77	88	56	38d	—	—	+8	20.1	6/1 14%
Made all dropped to 5f for handicap debut last month; up 6lb but far from exposed
3 (1)	Grey Horizon gr Mikkel Mortensen(5) · Scott Dixon	Mikkel Mortensen(5) · Scott Dixon	130	v	-11131	80	84	56	6d	—	—	+22	32.7	8/1 11%
Having a purple patch but 6lb penalty for last week's narrow win may leave him vulnerable
4 (3)	Duskaura b William Cox · Tony Carroll	William Cox · Tony Carroll	129	—	22158-	79	89	-	186d	—	—	+12	15.8	25/1 4%
Two defeats in Listed races following a Ripon maiden win; needs more on stable/h'cap debut

Horse	bet365
Fortification	11/4
Filly Foden	7/2
Flash Rascal	4/1
Baker Blue	11/2
Justmyluck	6/1
Grey Horizon	8/1
Duskaura	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Grey Horizon

32.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 22.1 Odds: 3.1

8/1

2nd

Justmyluck

20.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3

6/1

3rd

Fortification

17.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 3 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Duskaura

15.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1

25/1

Filly Foden

OR: 6.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Baker Blue

13.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Flash Rascal

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Baker Blue Top Rated	87	90	72
Fortification	80	88	42
Grey Horizon	80	84	56
Duskaura	79	89	—
Justmyluck	77	88	56
Filly Foden	75	86	82
Flash Rascal	70	88	67

Course & Distance Record

Horse	Course (Wolverhampton (AW))	Distance (5f21y)
Fortification	—	—
Filly Foden	—	—
Flash Rascal	—	—
Baker Blue	—	—
Justmyluck	—	—
Grey Horizon	—	—
Duskaura	—	—

Freshness

Horse	Days Since Last Run	Status
Fortification	25d ago	Fit
Filly Foden	10d ago	Quick return
Flash Rascal	14d ago	Fit
Baker Blue	12d ago	Quick return
Justmyluck	38d ago	Fit
Grey Horizon	6d ago	Quick return
Duskaura	186d ago	Long break

Going: Standard

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