Mumbles Brewery Handicap Chase – Ffos Las

Ffos Las

14:15

Mumbles Brewery Handicap Chase

Date 2023-01-31

Distance 3m1f60y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £5,598

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Flowing Cadenza Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	170	—	167-21	107	120	93	41d	—	—	—	14.3	—	—
Up 8lb for Hereford but she won well and is not handicapped out of it.
2	Talktomenow Bay J:Lucy Gardner T:Sue Gardner	J:Lucy Gardner T:Sue Gardner	170	p	2P2/P7	107	112	62	30d	—	—	—	14.3	—	—
Has struggled on both starts since returning from a long absence
3	Bolintlea Bay J:Charlie Hammond T:Dr Richard Newland	J:Charlie Hammond T:Dr Richard Newland	169	—	2-3321	106	109	73	30d	—	—	—	17.5	—	—
The Fakenham race she won fell apart and this will be tougher off 6lb higher.
4	To Be Sure Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	168	—	414-3P	105	110	63	70d	—	—	—	13.8	—	—
On a handy mark if able to revive but he looks risky business at the minute.
5	Wind Tor Bay J:Miss Chloe Emsley(7) T:Polly Gundry	J:Miss Chloe Emsley(7) T:Polly Gundry	155	—	115-30	92	113	57	27d	—	—	—	10.5	—	—
Dual 3m winner; 2m5f would have been an inadequate test when reappearing.
6	Advantura Bay J:Tom O'Brien T:Philip Hobbs	J:Tom O'Brien T:Philip Hobbs	150	b	5P2-F2	87	115	79	32d	—	—	—	9.3	—	—
Travelled well before narrowly beaten at Taunton; considered despite the 8lb rise.
7	Twilight Glory Bay J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	146	tp	446-65	83	104	87	67d	—	—	—	8.3	—	—
This former pointer should appreciate going beyond 2m5f for the first time under rules.
8	Surdoue De Ballon Grey J:Ben Godfrey(3) T:Kayley Woollacott	J:Ben Godfrey(3) T:Kayley Woollacott	145	b	84-346	82	112	97	27d	—	—	—	8	—	—
No closer than 11l in three runs this season and his strike-rate of 1-43 is offputting.
9	Bellamys Grey Grey J:Micheal Nolan T:Carroll Gray	J:Micheal Nolan T:Carroll Gray	144	—	1P4-53	81	107	-	21d	—	—	—	7.8	—	—
Placed over hurdles latest but others appeal more on this return to fences (0-10).
10	Melk Abbey Bay J:Rex Dingle T:Anthony Honeyball	J:Rex Dingle T:Anthony Honeyball	142	tp	908-U2	79	110	44	41d	—	—	—	7.3	—	—
Shouldn't be far away with a repeat of her second at Lingfield.
11	Dysania Bay J:Ben Jones T:Peter Bowen	J:Ben Jones T:Peter Bowen	142	p	0/0-P3	79	101	29	8d	—	—	—	7.3	—	—
Beaten 12l on the same terms here last week; probably placed at best.

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bolintlea

17.5

OR: 14 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Flowing Cadenza

14.3

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Talktomenow

14.3

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

To Be Sure

13.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Wind Tor

10.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Advantura

9.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Twilight Glory

8.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Surdoue De Ballon

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Bellamys Grey

7.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Melk Abbey

7.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Dysania

7.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Flowing Cadenza	107	120	93
Talktomenow	107	112	62
Bolintlea	106	109	73
To Be Sure	105	110	63
Wind Tor	92	113	57
Advantura	87	115	79
Twilight Glory	83	104	87
Surdoue De Ballon	82	112	97
Bellamys Grey	81	107	—
Melk Abbey	79	110	44
Dysania	79	101	29

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dysania	8d ago	Quick return
Bellamys Grey	21d ago	Fit
Wind Tor	27d ago	Fit
Surdoue De Ballon	27d ago	Fit
Talktomenow	30d ago	Fit
Bolintlea	30d ago	Fit
Advantura	32d ago	Fit
Flowing Cadenza	41d ago	Fit
Melk Abbey	41d ago	Fit
Twilight Glory	67d ago	Fresh
To Be Sure	70d ago	Fresh