Southwell (AW)

15:00

Spreadex Sports Cheltenham Festival Specials Restricted Maiden Stakes (Horses In Bands C/D) (GBB)

Date 2023-03-09
Distance 1m13y
Class Class 3
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3-5yo
Prize £10,152

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
NR (13)
Aussie Mystic
Bay
J:Kieran Shoemark
T:Charlie Fellowes
J:Kieran Shoemark
T:Charlie Fellowes
124 t 7-6
-
54
35
15d
0
Modest form in two 1m runs 160 days apart; tongue-tied today; one for handicaps after this
2 (11)
Dont What Me Boy
Chestnut
J:Kieran O'Neill
T:Alice Haynes
J:Kieran O'Neill
T:Alice Haynes
124
-
-
-
0
25,000euros 2yo; half-brother to a winner in Germany; dam from a good family; check market
3 (2)
Melwood Boy
Bay
J:Harry Davies(3)
T:Hugo Palmer
J:Harry Davies(3)
T:Hugo Palmer
124 33
-
95
71
27d
5.1
Third in two 1m events on Tapeta; jockey's claim a gift and he's still open to improvement
4 (14)
Ceejaybe
Chestnut
J:Molly Gunn(7)
T:Jo Davis
J:Molly Gunn(7)
T:Jo Davis
122 7
-
34
-
15d
0
100-1 and little in the way of short-term promise at Kempton two weeks ago (1m)
5 (3)
Duke Of Wybourne
Bay
J:Alex Jary(7)
T:Nigel Tinkler
J:Alex Jary(7)
T:Nigel Tinkler
122 632-4
72
87
44
14d
5.5
Has run to a fair level in his four starts but suspicion he will remain vulnerable
6 (9)
Dumfries
Bay
J:Hayley Turner
T:Marcus Tregoning
J:Hayley Turner
T:Marcus Tregoning
122 425-
74
90
26
127d
9.5
Good 2nd at Brighton on his 2nd 2yo run; similar form on Polytrack latest; more to come
7 (5)
Phenomenon
Bay
J:Jason Hart
T:Richard Spencer
J:Jason Hart
T:Richard Spencer
122 53-
-
89
84
100d
3
Promising start at Newmarket and latest 3rd has since been franked by the winner; gelded
8 (12)
Trip To Rome
Bay
J:Clifford Lee
T:Ed Dunlop
J:Clifford Lee
T:Ed Dunlop
122 66-
-
66
61
247d
0
Modest form in two 7f novice events last summer; been gelded; handicaps more suitable
9 (4)
Five Winds
Bay
J:George Rooke
T:Jack Jones
J:George Rooke
T:Jack Jones
119
-
-
-
0
Only minor appeal on paper and looks one for further down the line
10 (6)
Ludden Lass
Bay
J:Marco Ghiani
T:Charles Hills
J:Marco Ghiani
T:Charles Hills
119 4-
-
90
-
307d
0
5f looked too sharp on her sole 2yo run (ten months ago); may do better this year
11 (8)
Masked Queen
Bay
J:David Probert
T:S Woods
J:David Probert
T:S Woods
119
-
-
-
0
Half-sister to 5 winners (two at Listed level); yard can ready a newcomer; check betting
12 (1)
Rose Bolt
Bay
J:Joanna Mason
T:William Haggas
J:Joanna Mason
T:William Haggas
119 2
-
94
50
19d
5
No match for the impressive winner but still ran a race full of promise on recent debut
13 (10)
Flower Desert
Bay
J:Cam Hardie
T:Kevin Ryan
J:Cam Hardie
T:Kevin Ryan
117 63
-
86
47
14d
3
Two Tapeta runs over shorter have offered hope of better but such progress is needed
14 (7)
Max Of Stars
Bay
J:James Sullivan
T:Ollie Pears
J:James Sullivan
T:Ollie Pears
117 7
-
70
45
27d
0
Finished well behind Melwood Boy here on her debut 4 weeks ago; easy to swerve

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Dumfries
9.5
OR: 6 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0
2nd Duke Of Wybourne
5.5
OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
3rd Melwood Boy
5.1
OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 0
4 Rose Bolt
5
OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0
5 Phenomenon
3
OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0
6 Flower Desert
3
OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0
7 Aussie Mystic
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
8 Dont What Me Boy
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
9 Ceejaybe
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
10 Trip To Rome
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
11 Five Winds
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
12 Ludden Lass
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
13 Masked Queen
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
14 Max Of Stars
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Dumfries
74
90
26
Duke Of Wybourne
72
87
44
Aussie Mystic
54
35
Dont What Me Boy
Melwood Boy
95
71
Ceejaybe
34
Phenomenon
89
84
Trip To Rome
66
61
Five Winds
Ludden Lass
90
Masked Queen
Rose Bolt
94
50
Flower Desert
86
47
Max Of Stars
70
45

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Duke Of Wybourne 14d ago Fit
Flower Desert 14d ago Fit
Aussie Mystic 15d ago Fit
Ceejaybe 15d ago Fit
Rose Bolt 19d ago Fit
Melwood Boy 27d ago Fit
Max Of Stars 27d ago Fit
Phenomenon 100d ago Long break
Dumfries 127d ago Long break
Trip To Rome 247d ago Long break
Ludden Lass 307d ago Long break
Dont What Me Boy
Five Winds
Masked Queen

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.