Southwell (AW)

19:00 ✓ Result

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Date 2023-03-14
Distance 4f214y
Class Class 4
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo
Prize £9,421
Winning Time 57.43s (slow by 0.53s)

Result

Pos Horse SP Btn
1st
Great State (GB)
16/1 Won
2nd
Jer Batt (IRE)
5/4F 2.25
3rd
The Thames Boatman (GB)
13/2 .5
4th
Match Play (GB)
50/1 .75
5th
Dream For Gold (IRE)
7/4 .75
6th
Dickieburd (GB)
33/1 1.5
7th
Raven's Up (IRE)
66/1 2.25
8th
Rose King (IRE)
15/2 .5
9th
Rock Girl (IRE)
80/1 1.25
10th 100/1 5.5
11th
Lily In The Jungle (IRE)
150/1 2.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
NR (2)
Desert Cop
Bay
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Andrew Balding
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Andrew Balding
132 921
79
88
-
27d 0W/0P 1 run
20.8
Has fine sprinting pedigree; off the mark at Kempton; retains potential now handicapping
1 (3)
Dream For Gold
Bay
J:Neil Callan
T:Kevin Ryan
J:Neil Callan
T:Kevin Ryan
135 3422-1
82
92
79
32d
18
Progressive; won Chelmsford novice last month; commands respect despite top weight
3 (4)
Jer Batt
Chestnut
J:Jason Hart
T:David & Nicola Barron
J:Jason Hart
T:David & Nicola Barron
132 3394-1
79
92
78
40d
17.3
Plenty in hand when making winning stable/C&D debut; opening mark could underestimate him
4 (9)
The Thames Boatman
Bay
J:Finley Marsh
T:Richard Hughes
J:Finley Marsh
T:Richard Hughes
132 3810-1
79
92
86
15d
17.3
Best effort when scoring at Wolverhampton last month; this race is much stronger
5 (1)
Dickieburd
Bay
J:Clifford Lee
T:Craig Lidster
J:Clifford Lee
T:Craig Lidster
132 8818-6
79
89
47
36d
7.3
Win came when making all at Chester last summer; has not beaten a rival in two runs since
6 (8)
Great State
Grey
J:Jack Garritty
T:Richard Fahey
J:Jack Garritty
T:Richard Fahey
131 31-4
78
88
69
33d
7
Wolverhampton winner before fading over 6f at Newcastle; interesting handicap debutant
7 (6)
Rock Girl
Bay
J:Rafael Souza(7)
T:Dominic Ffrench Davis
J:Rafael Souza(7)
T:Dominic Ffrench Davis
131 t 21241-
78
90
86
145d
23.5
4lb rise for Wolverhampton win is fair but off five months and has changed stables since
8 (7)
Omniqueen
Chestnut
J:Kevin Stott
T:Dominic Ffrench Davis
J:Kevin Stott
T:Dominic Ffrench Davis
130 10957-
77
89
76
103d
8.8
Beat only one home final 2yo start; questions to answer on first outing for new yard
9 (12)
Ravens Up
Bay
J:Marco Ghiani
T:Marco Botti
J:Marco Ghiani
T:Marco Botti
130 9316-
77
88
62
172d
15.3
Sole win came in four-runner race; well held on handicap debut; something to prove
10 (5)
Rose King
Bay
J:Dale Swift
T:Scott Dixon
J:Dale Swift
T:Scott Dixon
128 11
75
88
60
14d
23.3
2-2 in novices; this is stronger but he has to be taken seriously on handicap debut
11 (11)
Match Play
Bay
J:Graham Lee
T:Paul Midgley
J:Graham Lee
T:Paul Midgley
127 14288-
74
90
-
158d
10.5
Form tailed off last year; has joined good sprint yard but may be best watched after break
12 (10)
Lily In The Jungle
Chestnut
J:Madi Patzelt(7)
T:Philip Kirby
J:Madi Patzelt(7)
T:Philip Kirby
127 p 61127-
74
89
-
187d
17.5
Two 6f wins last summer; this drop to 5f is a concern and she's unproven on the AW

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Rock Girl
23.5
OR: 7 Form: 16.5 Odds: 0
2nd Rose King
23.3
OR: 6.3 Form: 17 Odds: 0
3rd Desert Cop
20.8
OR: 7.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 0
4 Dream For Gold
18
OR: 8 Form: 10 Odds: 0
5 Lily In The Jungle
17.5
OR: 6 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0
6 Jer Batt
17.3
OR: 7.3 Form: 10 Odds: 0
7 The Thames Boatman
17.3
OR: 7.3 Form: 10 Odds: 0
8 Ravens Up
15.3
OR: 6.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0
9 Match Play
10.5
OR: 6 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0
10 Omniqueen
8.8
OR: 6.8 Form: 2 Odds: 0
11 Dickieburd
7.3
OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
12 Great State
7
OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Dream For Gold
82
92
79
Desert Cop
79
88
Jer Batt
79
92
78
The Thames Boatman
79
92
86
Dickieburd
79
89
47
Great State
78
88
69
Rock Girl
78
90
86
Omniqueen
77
89
76
Ravens Up
77
88
62
Rose King
75
88
60
Match Play
74
90
Lily In The Jungle
74
89

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Rose King 14d ago Fit
The Thames Boatman 15d ago Fit
Desert Cop 27d ago Fit
Dream For Gold 32d ago Fit
Great State 33d ago Fit
Dickieburd 36d ago Fit
Jer Batt 40d ago Fit
Omniqueen 103d ago Long break
Rock Girl 145d ago Long break
Match Play 158d ago Long break
Ravens Up 172d ago Long break
Lily In The Jungle 187d ago Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 4f214y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.