BetUK's Acca Club £5 Free Bet Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

20:10

BetUK's Acca Club £5 Free Bet Handicap

Date 2023-03-16

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,292

Winning Time 58.46s (slow by 1.56s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Dapper Man (IRE) Jason Hart · Roger Fell	8/1	Won
2nd	Freedom Flyer (IRE) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	9/1	2.25
3rd	The Tron (GB) Darragh Keenan · Derek Shaw	7/2F	0.3
4th	Nellie French (IRE) Phil Dennis · Katie Scott	5/1	0.3
5th	Ustath (GB) Jonny Peate · Roger Fell	4/1	1
6th	Tilsworth Ony Ta (GB) Clifford Lee · J R Jenkins	11/2	2
7th	Arzaak (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Charlie Wallis	14/1	.5
8th	Brandy Station (IRE) Zak Wheatley · Lisa Williamson	6/1	.5
9th	Pacopash (GB) Callum Rodriguez · Lisa Williamson	125/1	2.5
10th	De Rocker (GB) Luke Morris · Denis Quinn	40/1	9.5
11th	Bella's Pearl (GB) Callum Shepherd · Stuart Kittow	50/1	5

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (9)	Khulu Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:David Thompson	J:NON-RUNNER T:David Thompson	132	—	4144-2	52	68	-	41d	—	—	—	5.5	—	—
Dual C&D winner; the return here and drop from 6f look in his favour and he's shortlisted
NR (13)	Birdie Bowers Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:David Thompson	J:NON-RUNNER T:David Thompson	132	—	130-05	52	65	-	26d	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Front-runner who did better on his second run back from a break last time; has claims
1 (7)	Ustath Chestnut J:Jonny Peate(5) T:Roger Fell	J:Jonny Peate(5) T:Roger Fell	137	—	211481	57	70	61	16d	—	—	—	16.8	—	—
Does most racing now over 6f but has a decent record over C&D too and should go well again
2 (3)	Freedom Flyer Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	135	p	40376-	55	67	39	215d	—	—	—	2.8	—	—
Yard made a bright start but nothing to suggest he's best caught fresh or over this trip
3 (5)	Nellie French Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	135	t	217214	55	68	60	13d	—	—	—	12.8	—	—
Five wins have all come over 5f on Tapeta, including over C&D; holds each-way claims
4 (8)	Brandy Station Bay J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Lisa Williamson	J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Lisa Williamson	135	p	03-633	55	69	63	23d	—	—	—	1.3	—	—
Arrives in form/on his last successful mark; no obvious reason he won't go well again
5 (1)	Bellas Pearl Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Stuart Kittow	J:Callum Shepherd T:Stuart Kittow	134	—	10979/	54	66	-	489d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Not seen in well over a year; best to look elsewhere unless there's good support for her
7 (10)	The Tron Grey J:Darragh Keenan T:Derek Shaw	J:Darragh Keenan T:Derek Shaw	132	v	-52021	52	69	62	16d	—	—	—	15.5	—	—
Two wins, six seconds and two thirds from 13 starts over C&D; set to go well again
9 (12)	Dapper Man Bay J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell	J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell	131	b	559-93	51	68	61	44d	—	—	—	0.3	—	—
Prolific winner in the past, mainly on turf, but hard to catch right now; each-way shout
10 (2)	Tilsworth Ony Ta Bay J:Clifford Lee T:J R Jenkins	J:Clifford Lee T:J R Jenkins	130	—	207-74	50	67	63	6d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Resumed in good form; is 2lb lower than when going close over C&D last autumn; considered
11 (4)	Arzaak Brown J:Richard Kingscote T:Charlie Wallis	J:Richard Kingscote T:Charlie Wallis	127	p	8-7927	47	67	44	16d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Again looked to have no excuses behind The Tron over C&D last time
12 (6)	De Rocker Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Denis Quinn	J:Luke Morris T:Denis Quinn	126	—	0/899	46	61	37	15d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Perhaps the drop from 6f will help, but it's not hard to look elsewhere
13 (11)	Pacopash Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Lisa Williamson	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Lisa Williamson	126	h	0780-7	46	51	39	6d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Poor, regressive maiden for three previous yards; finished last on her comeback

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ustath

16.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 15 Odds: 0

—

2nd

The Tron

15.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 15 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Nellie French

12.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0

—

Khulu

5.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Bellas Pearl

OR: 1 Form: 2 Odds: 0

—

Freedom Flyer

2.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

Brandy Station

1.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Birdie Bowers

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Dapper Man

0.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Tilsworth Ony Ta

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Arzaak

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

De Rocker

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Pacopash

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ustath	57	70	61
Freedom Flyer	55	67	39
Nellie French	55	68	60
Brandy Station	55	69	63
Bellas Pearl	54	66	—
Khulu	52	68	—
Birdie Bowers	52	65	—
The Tron	52	69	62
Dapper Man	51	68	61
Tilsworth Ony Ta	50	67	63
Arzaak	47	67	44
De Rocker	46	61	37
Pacopash	46	51	39

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tilsworth Ony Ta	6d ago	Quick return
Pacopash	6d ago	Quick return
Nellie French	13d ago	Quick return
De Rocker	15d ago	Fit
Ustath	16d ago	Fit
The Tron	16d ago	Fit
Arzaak	16d ago	Fit
Brandy Station	23d ago	Fit
Birdie Bowers	26d ago	Fit
Khulu	41d ago	Fit
Dapper Man	44d ago	Fit
Freedom Flyer	215d ago	Long break
Bellas Pearl	489d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 4f214y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.