It's Time To Turn To talkSPORT Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

15:15

It's Time To Turn To talkSPORT Handicap

Date 2023-04-03

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 1m 38.59s (slow by 3.69s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Lady Marie (IRE) Saffie Osborne · David Simcock	11/2	Won
2nd	Butterfly Effect (IRE) Benoit De La Sayette · George Scott	16/5	.5
3rd	Hobson Point (GB) Marco Ghiani · Marco Botti	14/1	1
4th	Outrace (IRE) Tyrese Cameron · Richard Hannon	3/1J	1.25
5th	Mickey Mongoose (GB) Richard Kingscote · Charlie Johnston	3/1J	.5
6th	Kamanika (IRE) Cieren Fallon · Joseph Parr	11/1	1.25
7th	Margaret's Fuchsia (GB) Luke Morris · Gay Kelleway	9/1	1.25

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Outrace Chestnut J:Tyrese Cameron(7) T:Richard Hannon	J:Tyrese Cameron(7) T:Richard Hannon	135	—	-22133	69	79	60	32d	—	—	—	17.4	—	—
Won at Kempton (1m) in February and he could kick on again on this drop back in trip/grade
2 (5)	Mickey Mongoose Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Charlie Johnston	J:Richard Kingscote T:Charlie Johnston	134	—	04038-	68	78	47	154d	—	—	—	6.6	—	—
Handicap newcomer who has had wind/gelding operations; market should guide on return
3 (1)	Hobson Point Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	134	p	34-778	68	79	64	18d	—	—	—	4.5	—	—
Seven-race maiden who has been regressive in AW handicaps for current yard; lots to prove
4 (7)	Butterfly Effect Grey J:Benoit De La Sayette(3) T:George Scott	J:Benoit De La Sayette(3) T:George Scott	134	—	3447-	68	75	43	156d	—	—	—	5.4	—	—
Still very lightly raced but she needs improvement upped in trip on her return
5 (3)	Lady Marie Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:David Simcock	J:Saffie Osborne T:David Simcock	133	—	37-45	67	77	50	18d	—	—	—	4.3	—	—
Has not gone on from her promising debut effort and she needs to find some progress
6 (6)	Margarets Fuchsia Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Gay Kelleway	J:Luke Morris T:Gay Kelleway	133	b	3-422	67	76	41	20d	—	—	—	6.4	—	—
Good second in 1m handicap at Newcastle latest and she's open to more progress; respected
7 (2)	Kamanika Grey J:Cieren Fallon T:Joseph Parr	J:Cieren Fallon T:Joseph Parr	127	—	809-	61	76	-	156d	—	—	—	2.8	—	—
Goes back up in trip on her handicap debut but she needs a transformation on her return

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Outrace

17.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 12.6 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Mickey Mongoose

6.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Margarets Fuchsia

6.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Butterfly Effect

5.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0

—

Hobson Point

4.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Lady Marie

4.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Kamanika

2.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Outrace	69	79	60
Mickey Mongoose	68	78	47
Hobson Point	68	79	64
Butterfly Effect	68	75	43
Lady Marie	67	77	50
Margarets Fuchsia	67	76	41
Kamanika	61	76	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hobson Point	18d ago	Fit
Lady Marie	18d ago	Fit
Margarets Fuchsia	20d ago	Fit
Outrace	32d ago	Fit
Mickey Mongoose	154d ago	Long break
Butterfly Effect	156d ago	Long break
Kamanika	156d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.