At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

20:00

At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap

Date 2023-04-08

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,402

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (5)	Fristel Bay J:David Probert T:Mark Loughnane	J:David Probert T:Mark Loughnane	129	p	9-3743	54	73	67	8d	—	—	-12	6.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Not progressing but he's capable at this level and may find this setting up nicely for him
5 (3)	Apache Star Brown J:Ray Dawson T:Mark Loughnane	J:Ray Dawson T:Mark Loughnane	132	—	74-683	57	75	60	33d	—	—	-7	5.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
C&D winner; down in the weights and last 2 C&D runs have been good; handy draw; chance
3 (2)	Jungle Run Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Tom Clover	J:Jack Mitchell T:Tom Clover	134	—	6049-0	59	62	27	81d	—	—	-8	6.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Well handicapped now but headgear left off today and comes with risk attached
8 (1)	Catesby Bay J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	130	—	00-715	55	73	55	25d	—	—	-7	4.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Both wins have come over C&D, more recently last month; well drawn; one to consider
2 (8)	Mustaffiz Bay J:Luke Morris T:Charlie Wallis	J:Luke Morris T:Charlie Wallis	135	p	653522	60	74	66	10d	—	—	+5	14.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
More competitive since dropped to Class 6; one of a number that like to get on with it
6 (4)	Peachey Carnehan Chestnut J:Phil Dennis T:Michael Mullineaux	J:Phil Dennis T:Michael Mullineaux	131	v	3-2298	56	73	66	26d	—	—	-2	5.8	2.25/1	10 10%
C&D winner in December; form cooled the last twice; needs a full revival
1 (11)	Rebel Redemption Grey J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	135	b	9-4003	60	73	64	26d	—	—	-3	4.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Handicapped to win after a series of bad draws; stall 11 doesn't help this time either
4 (6)	Alfred Cove Bay J:William Cox T:Tony Carroll	J:William Cox T:Tony Carroll	132	—	64752-	57	72	61	102d	—	—	+2	8.5	2.75/1	12 8%
0-12; good 2nd over C&D when last seen but led there & has other pace to worry about today
11 (9)	Another Angel Bay J:Mark Winn(5) T:Antony Brittain	J:Mark Winn(5) T:Antony Brittain	124	v	146293	49	72	67	11d	—	—	+1	7.1	3.75/1	16 6%
This winter's best efforts have come in 0-50 company; 0-16 over 6f+
10 (7)	Starjik Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Stella Barclay	J:Callum Shepherd T:Stella Barclay	127	—	886836	52	72	58	14d	—	—	-2	4.2	3.75/1	16 6%
Down in the weights and some promising signs of late; can get it wrong at the start
NR (10)	Della Mare Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Tony Carroll	J:NON-RUNNER T:Tony Carroll	130	—	143-64	55	-	-	33d	—	—	—	1.3	—	—
Non-runner

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Fristel	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Apache Star	5	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Jungle Run	11/2	5	9/2	5	5
Catesby	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Mustaffiz	15/2	7	15/2	15/2	15/2
Peachey Carnehan	10	9	9	9	9
Rebel Redemption	12	11	12	12	11
Alfred Cove	12	12	11	12	12
Another Angel	16	14	12	14	14
Starjik	12	14	12	14	16

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mustaffiz

14.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 9.4 Odds: 2.7

15/2

2nd

Alfred Cove

8.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7

3rd

Another Angel

7.1

OR: 0 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.6

Jungle Run

6.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Fristel

6.2

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Peachey Carnehan

5.8

OR: 1.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.2

Apache Star

5.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Rebel Redemption

4.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Catesby

4.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Starjik

4.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

Della Mare

1.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mustaffiz	60	74	66
Rebel Redemption	60	73	64
Jungle Run	59	62	27
Apache Star	57	75	60
Alfred Cove	57	72	61
Peachey Carnehan	56	73	66
Catesby	55	73	55
Della Mare	55	—	—
Fristel	54	73	67
Starjik	52	72	58
Another Angel	49	72	67

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fristel	8d ago	Quick return
Mustaffiz	10d ago	Quick return
Another Angel	11d ago	Quick return
Starjik	14d ago	Fit
Catesby	25d ago	Fit
Peachey Carnehan	26d ago	Fit
Rebel Redemption	26d ago	Fit
Apache Star	33d ago	Fit
Della Mare	33d ago	Fit
Jungle Run	81d ago	Fresh
Alfred Cove	102d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.