Follow @attheraces On Twitter Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Wolverhampton (AW)

19:30

Date 2023-04-08

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,320

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (5)	Canadiansmokeshow Bay J:James Doyle T:S Woods	J:James Doyle T:S Woods	128	—	3352-	76	81	64	181d	—	—	-17	29.3	0.23/1	10/11 52%
Promise in four 2yo runs; returns with her yard going well; plenty to like in this field
9 (4)	Storymaker Bay J:Connor Planas(5) T:George Boughey	J:Connor Planas(5) T:George Boughey	128	—	3-	-	75	55	177d	—	—	-7	7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Clear promise at Chelmsford on debut but dropping in trip not sure to suit on paper
6 (7)	Fahari Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	128	—	56333-	71	75	36	243d	—	—	+3	15.5	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Consistent without progressing last season; might prove vulnerable to improvers
3 (8)	Centrefold Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	128	h	430-	71	72	44	197d	—	—	-1	10.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Didn't live up to market billing as a 2yo; needs hood to calm her down if she's to stay 7f
4 (3)	Deep In My Heart Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	128	—	9-	-	65	39	177d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.25/1	10 10%
No impact in a 7f maiden at Chelmsford in October; should leave that well behind this year
7 (1)	Labiqa Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charles Hills	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charles Hills	128	—	5-	-	60	15	143d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Bred to be smart and likely to leave her 2yo run well behind her this season; yard in form
1 (2)	Aim For The Moon Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:John Butler	J:Rossa Ryan T:John Butler	142	ht	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Dam a fair 1m winner but she has accessories on for her belated debut; best watched
5 (9)	Expert Witness Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Sir Mark Todd	J:Charles Bishop T:Sir Mark Todd	128	t	7	-	61	9	37d	—	—	-1	0.4	16.25/1	66 2%
Shaped with promise at Chelmsford last month (1m); yard in form; more to come
8 (6)	Stella Hogan Chestnut J:Gina Mangan(5) T:John Oshea	J:Gina Mangan(5) T:John Oshea	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.1	74.75/1	300 0%
Only minor appeal on pedigree and stable not renowned for winnng newcomers

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Canadiansmokeshow	10/11	5/6	5/6	5/6	4/5
Storymaker	6	11/2	6	6	6
Fahari	6	6	6	6	13/2
Centrefold	7	13/2	7	7	15/2
Deep In My Heart	10	9	9	9	10
Labiqa	10	12	11	12	14
Aim For The Moon	25	33	33	28	28
Expert Witness	66	66	66	66	66
Stella Hogan	300	200	200	200	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Canadiansmokeshow

29.3

OR: 6.5 Form: 7.4 Odds: 15.4

10/11

2nd

Fahari

15.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 6.6 Odds: 3.6

13/2

3rd

Centrefold

10.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Storymaker

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 4

11/2

Deep In My Heart

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Labiqa

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Aim For The Moon

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Expert Witness

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Stella Hogan

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Canadiansmokeshow	76	81	64
Fahari	71	75	36
Centrefold	71	72	44
Storymaker	—	75	55
Deep In My Heart	—	65	39
Labiqa	—	60	15
Aim For The Moon	—	—	—
Expert Witness	—	61	9
Stella Hogan	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Expert Witness	37d ago	Fit
Labiqa	143d ago	Long break
Storymaker	177d ago	Long break
Deep In My Heart	177d ago	Long break
Canadiansmokeshow	181d ago	Long break
Centrefold	197d ago	Long break
Fahari	243d ago	Long break
Aim For The Moon	—	—
Stella Hogan	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.