Don Long "Hello Gorgeous" Memorial Handicap Chase

Chepstow

14:35

Date 2023-04-10

Distance 2m7f131y

Class Class 3

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £6,337

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Ask Me Early Grey J:Sean Bowen T:Harry Fry	J:Sean Bowen T:Harry Fry	163	t	1U-3P6	135	144	119	23d	—	—	+8	27	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Flopped in Welsh National and over hurdles last time, but still has potential
8	Stormy Flight Grey J:Lorcan Williams T:Jeremy Scott	J:Lorcan Williams T:Jeremy Scott	154	p	094212	126	148	129	32d	—	—	+20	39.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won stylishly at Taunton in February and has run well in defeat since; in the mix again
9	Ballinsker Bay J:Isabel Williams(3) T:Evan Williams	J:Isabel Williams(3) T:Evan Williams	143	p	44UP32	115	147	99	66d	—	—	+14	25.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Second over 2m3f here in February but this race is stronger and stamina may be stretched
4	Nestor Park Bay J:Luca Morgan T:Ben Pauling	J:Luca Morgan T:Ben Pauling	162	p	313-3P	134	142	108	86d	—	—	+14	23.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Didn't fire in valuable marathon last time but has possibilities if back on song here
2	Sporting John b/br J:Aidan Coleman T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	J:Aidan Coleman T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	164	b	-4P05P	136	143	114	26d	—	—	+14	24.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Smart in his prime but hs become disappointing this season; needs to turn things around
1	Ramses De Teillee Grey J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	170	t	4-1234	142	148	121	22d	—	—	+16	25.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Ought to have been suited by the heavy ground when below form last month
5	Tallow For Coal Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Jamie Snowden	J:Harry Cobden T:Jamie Snowden	156	b	2-1PP3	128	143	100	34d	—	—	+18	25.1	2.50/1	11 9%
Didn't run badly in cheekpieces last time but still looks risky in blinkers here
7	Grand Mogul Bay J:Ben Ffrench Davis(7) T:Gail Haywood	J:Ben Ffrench Davis(7) T:Gail Haywood	154	—	1P3-3P	126	147	85	86d	—	—	+14	20.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Placed over C&D on seasonal/stable debut and subsequent defeat not viewed harshly
NR	Forgot To Ask Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Tom George	J:NON-RUNNER T:Tom George	155	tp	-1325P	127	145	104	131d	—	—	—	23.2	—	—
Not at best when last seen in the autumn but has often gone well when fresh before

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Ask Me Early	3	10/3	3	10/3	10/3
Stormy Flight	10/3	7/2	3	10/3	10/3
Ballinsker	11/2	6	11/2	11/2	11/2
Nestor Park	8	15/2	13/2	7	7
Sporting John	7	7	13/2	13/2	13/2
Ramses De Teillee	7	7	13/2	13/2	13/2
Tallow For Coal	10	11	9	10	10
Grand Mogul	14	12	11	12	12

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Stormy Flight

39.2

OR: 19 Form: 14.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Ask Me Early

OR: 21.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

3rd

Ramses De Teillee

25.9

OR: 23 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Ballinsker

25.5

OR: 16.3 Form: 5.9 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Tallow For Coal

25.1

OR: 19.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.1

Sporting John

24.6

OR: 21.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Nestor Park

23.9

OR: 21 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Forgot To Ask

23.2

OR: 19.3 Form: 3.9 Odds: 0

—

Grand Mogul

20.7

OR: 19 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ramses De Teillee	142	148	121
Sporting John	136	143	114
Ask Me Early	135	144	119
Nestor Park	134	142	108
Tallow For Coal	128	143	100
Forgot To Ask	127	145	104
Stormy Flight	126	148	129
Grand Mogul	126	147	85
Ballinsker	115	147	99

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ramses De Teillee	22d ago	Fit
Ask Me Early	23d ago	Fit
Sporting John	26d ago	Fit
Stormy Flight	32d ago	Fit
Tallow For Coal	34d ago	Fit
Ballinsker	66d ago	Fresh
Nestor Park	86d ago	Fresh
Grand Mogul	86d ago	Fresh
Forgot To Ask	131d ago	Long break