racingtv.com Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier) – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

17:15

racingtv.com Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier)

Date 2023-04-10

Distance 1m

Class Class 2

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £12,885

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (3)	Naval Commander b/br J:Kieran O'Neill T:Robyn Brisland	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Robyn Brisland	124	—	44-624	92	114	86	9d	—	—	-6	17.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Conditions to suit and comes here on the back of two good C&D runs; should be involved
4 (1)	Imperial Sands Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	128	b	2-1940	96	115	103	30d	—	—	+3	20	1.00/1	4/1 20%
C&D winner off this mark in Jan; easy lead unlikely in this field; may prove vulnerable
6 (2)	Al Marmar Brown J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	119	p	527-00	87	116	77	9d	—	—	-2	13.7	0.75/1	4 25%
Had tack issues last time; still has time to do better and he's interesting in this field
3 (4)	Austrian Theory Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	128	—	13007-	96	113	70	164d	—	—	+3	18.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Smart 2yo; retained ability; gelded since last seen; revival not out of the question
1 (6)	Excel Power Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	135	—	1712-6	103	113	75	87d	—	—	+6	16.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Conditions should suit but he ran no sort of race when last seen in January; yard run two
2 (5)	Sir Dancealot Bay J:David Egan T:John Butler	J:David Egan T:John Butler	131	—	9095-6	99	113	42	12d	—	—	+5	14.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Not the force of old but still useful; sharper for return; worth another crack at 1m

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Naval Commander	5/2	9/4	9/4	5/2	5/2
Imperial Sands	4	7/2	7/2	7/2	4/1
Al Marmar	4	4	4	4	4
Austrian Theory	9/2	5	9/2	9/2	9/2
Excel Power	8	17/2	8	8	8
Sir Dancealot	8	8	15/2	15/2	8/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Imperial Sands

OR: 11.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Austrian Theory

18.8

OR: 11.5 Form: 2.9 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Naval Commander

17.8

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Excel Power

16.1

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Sir Dancealot

14.9

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Al Marmar

13.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Excel Power	103	113	75
Sir Dancealot	99	113	42
Imperial Sands	96	115	103
Austrian Theory	96	113	70
Naval Commander	92	114	86
Al Marmar	87	116	77

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Naval Commander	9d ago	Quick return
Al Marmar	9d ago	Quick return
Sir Dancealot	12d ago	Quick return
Imperial Sands	30d ago	Fit
Excel Power	87d ago	Fresh
Austrian Theory	164d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.