Nottingham

16:55

Watch On Racing TV Handicap

Date 2023-04-12
Distance 1m75y
Class Class 6
Going Soft
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 4yo+
Prize £3,664

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
2 (11)
Mabre
Grey
J:Rossa Ryan
T:David Evans
J:Rossa Ryan
T:David Evans
 137 b 807123
67
80
60
 16d — — 0
22.4
0.69/1
11/4
27%
Unlucky on the AW last time; effective on turf and handles this sort of ground.
6 (8)
Big Bear Hug
Bay
J:Robert Havlin
T:Adam West
J:Robert Havlin
T:Adam West
 132 — 83650-
62
78
53
 162d — — -8
8.9
0.75/1
4
25%
Trip/ground fine but wasn't exactly in flying form when last seen.
5 (7)
More Diamonds
Bay
J:Hollie Doyle
T:James Ferguson
J:Hollie Doyle
T:James Ferguson
 132 — 5/479-
62
75
65
 281d — — -5
6.3
1.63/1
13/2
13%
Best run came on soft ground in 2021 and not had those conditions since.
8 (9)
Nine Elms
Chestnut
J:Lewis Edmunds
T:Roy Bowring
J:Lewis Edmunds
T:Roy Bowring
 129 b 735-83
59
78
67
 29d — — -5
4.9
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Pressed the pace throughout when third on the AW last time; soft ground a worry.
4 (4)
Antagonize
Bay
J:Harrison Shaw
T:Bryan Smart
J:Harrison Shaw
T:Bryan Smart
 134 — 0420-8
64
79
73
 36d — — -3
5.9
2.00/1
9
11%
Two poor runs since going close at Carlisle in September; thoroughly exposed.
3 (3)
Eleven Eleven
Bay
J:Luke Catton(5)
T:Jessica Macey
J:Luke Catton(5)
T:Jessica Macey
 135 h 0-0412
65
76
-
 34d — — -2
6
2.50/1
11
9%
Dual AW winner who went down narrowly over 1m at Newcastle a month ago; turf debut.
10 (6)
Distinction
Bay
J:Cam Hardie
T:John Mackie
J:Cam Hardie
T:John Mackie
 121 p 46075-
51
77
64
 162d — — -4
2
2.75/1
12
8%
Decent form for this grade over 1m on softish ground but signed off last year below par.
1 (2)
Riffa Fort
Bay
J:David Egan
T:Martin Smith
J:David Egan
T:Martin Smith
 137 — 55-59
67
76
67
 68d — — -1
6.4
2.75/1
12
8%
Beat only one home on his handicap debut over 1m2f on the AW.
9 (5)
Recorwoman
Chestnut
J:Elle-May Croot(7)
T:Ivan Furtado
J:Elle-May Croot(7)
T:Ivan Furtado
 129 ht 04-587
59
74
72
 36d — — -1
3.6
4.25/1
18
6%
One decent run on the AW this winter (1m) and might be happier back on turf.
11 (10)
Buachaill
Bay
J:Shane Gray
T:Stella Barclay
J:Shane Gray
T:Stella Barclay
 118 h 0-0130
48
74
59
 13d — — -3
1
6.75/1
28
4%
Opposable on handicap form and the AW is perhaps more his scene.
7 (1)
Confils
Bay
J:Pat Cosgrave
T:George Baker
J:Pat Cosgrave
T:George Baker
 130 — 60/4-7
60
73
-
 41d — — 0
3.3
8.00/1
33
3%
Seen only once last year and didn't run that well on her reappearance.
Horse bet365 Coral
Mabre
 3 11/4
Big Bear Hug
 4 4
More Diamonds
 13/2 6
Nine Elms
 7 15/2
Antagonize
 9 9
Eleven Eleven
 11 10
Distinction
 11 12
Riffa Fort
 10 12
Recorwoman
 18 18
Buachaill
 28 25
Confils
 33 28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Mabre
22.4
OR: 4.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 6.7
11/4
2nd Big Bear Hug
8.9
OR: 3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 5
4
3rd Riffa Fort
6.4
OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1
12
4 More Diamonds
6.3
OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3
13/2
5 Eleven Eleven
6
OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2
11
6 Antagonize
5.9
OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4
9
7 Nine Elms
4.9
OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7
15/2
8 Recorwoman
3.6
OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
18
9 Confils
3.3
OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8
33
10 Distinction
2
OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7
12
11 Buachaill
1
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1
28

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Mabre
67
80
60
Riffa Fort
67
76
67
Eleven Eleven
65
76
 —
Antagonize
64
79
73
Big Bear Hug
62
78
53
More Diamonds
62
75
65
Confils
60
73
 —
Nine Elms
59
78
67
Recorwoman
59
74
72
Distinction
51
77
64
Buachaill
48
74
59

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Buachaill 13d ago Quick return
Mabre 16d ago Fit
Nine Elms 29d ago Fit
Eleven Eleven 34d ago Fit
Antagonize 36d ago Fit
Recorwoman 36d ago Fit
Confils 41d ago Fit
Riffa Fort 68d ago Fresh
Big Bear Hug 162d ago Long break
Distinction 162d ago Long break
More Diamonds 281d ago Long break