Invest Southwest Handicap Hurdle – Taunton

Taunton

16:55

Invest Southwest Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-04-13

Distance 2m104y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,225

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Phoenix Risen Chestnut J:David Prichard(5) T:Jeremy Scott	J:David Prichard(5) T:Jeremy Scott	157	p	66-0P3	89	106	98	42d	—	—	-2	14.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Ran well in first-time cheekpieces here six weeks ago; possibilities in retained headgear
14	Gorcombe Moonshine Bay J:Angus Cheleda(5) T:Robert Walford	J:Angus Cheleda(5) T:Robert Walford	143	p	652663	75	103	79	34d	—	—	-3	16.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Holds each-way hopes having been placed in two of his last four runs
NR	Sassified Chestnut J:TBC T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	J: T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	154	p	6488	86	102	79	65d	—	—	-2	13.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Interesting with cheekpieces reapplied (Irish Flat win came in this headgear)
NR	Man Of The Sea Chestnut J:TBC T:Neil Mulholland	J: T:Neil Mulholland	168	tp	1-1215	100	101	86	160d	—	—	+3	26.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Productive sort but absent since November and may need this first run back
3	Robinsville Bay J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	164	—	7-059	96	98	72	102d	—	—	+4	14.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Nicely bred 6yo who looks open to improvement now qualified for handicaps; shortlisted
11	Syr Maffos Bay J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	154	b	3-3085	86	99	62	103d	—	—	+4	14	1.88/1	15/2 12%
May improve back on better ground; blinkers replace visor worn last time
13	Tuscan Rose Bay J:Bryan Carver T:Neil Mulholland	J:Bryan Carver T:Neil Mulholland	146	—	0065	78	99	51	21d	—	—	+2	8.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Bred to do better still; possible improver on handicap debut
15	Presgrave Bay J:Bryony Frost T:Jimmy Frost	J:Bryony Frost T:Jimmy Frost	142	t	P64307	74	100	80	34d	—	—	+2	9.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Ran well here in November; place claims if back to that form
7	Faerie Cutlass Bay J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	158	—	7657	90	97	81	24d	—	—	+5	11.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Out of a winning hurdler for her connections; likely improver on h'cap debut; interesting
4	Noble Savage Bay J:Jordan Nailor T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Jordan Nailor T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	164	—	57-627	96	100	61	17d	—	—	+5	13.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
First past the post at Wincanton last month; poor effort subsequently
5	Gavin Bay J:Charlie Hammond T:Joe Ponting	J:Charlie Hammond T:Joe Ponting	162	ht	6-F550	94	96	77	170d	—	—	+7	12.4	4.75/1	20 5%
On a workable mark but absent since a poor effort in October
12	Nordy Lordy Bay J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	147	—	1-0780	79	100	83	80d	—	—	+11	15.6	5.25/1	22 5%
Point bumper winner; poor results under rules but may do better now handicapping
9	Secret Potion Bay J:James Davies T:Chris Down	J:James Davies T:Chris Down	155	p	5P20-5	87	95	-	31d	—	—	+5	10.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Drop back to 2m looks ideal; on a handy mark; not without a chance
NR	Ghyll Manor Bay J:TBC T:D J Jeffreys	J: T:D J Jeffreys	142	t	30P	82	89	-	104d	—	—	+5	9	9.75/1	40 3%
Handicap debutant who has very weak claims on form
2	Forever Des Long Bay J:David Noonan T:Claire Dyson	J:David Noonan T:Claire Dyson	166	t	2-5400	98	95	51	52d	—	—	+14	16.1	8.00/1	33 3%
Poor form for current yard; first-time tongue-tie needs to prompt a revival
6	Ho Que Oui Chestnut J:Mr Gearoid Harney(7) T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Mr Gearoid Harney(7) T:Alexandra Dunn	159	p	613557	91	95	-	113d	—	—	+12	13.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Something to prove back down in trip and returned to hurdles
17	La Referi Chestnut J:Tom Buckley(3) T:Nigel Hawke	J:Tom Buckley(3) T:Nigel Hawke	142	h	P06	82	83	-	14d	—	—	+7	8.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Has nothing to recommend her; 17lb out of weights on handicap debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Phoenix Risen	4	9/2	4	4	4
Gorcombe Moonshine	7/2	10/3	10/3	3	10/3
Sassified	13/2	6	13/2	13/2	SP
Man Of The Sea	SP	15/2	15/2	8	7
Robinsville	7	15/2	13/2	7	7
Syr Maffos	13/2	15/2	7	15/2	7/1
Tuscan Rose	12	11	10	10	11
Presgrave	12	10	9	11	11
Faerie Cutlass	10	11	10	10	10
Noble Savage	10	11	10	8	11/1
Gavin	14	18	14	20	20
Nordy Lordy	22	20	14	22	22
Secret Potion	14	16	14	14	16
Ghyll Manor	SP	40	25	40	40
Forever Des Long	33	33	33	33	33
Ho Que Oui	33	40	33	40	40
La Referi	66	40	40	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Man Of The Sea

26.4

OR: 12.5 Form: 7 Odds: 6.9

15/2

2nd

Gorcombe Moonshine

16.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Forever Des Long

16.1

OR: 12 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.6

Nordy Lordy

15.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4

Phoenix Risen

14.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Robinsville

14.4

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Syr Maffos

OR: 9 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Noble Savage

13.9

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Ho Que Oui

13.7

OR: 10.3 Form: 2.9 Odds: 0.6

Sassified

13.3

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 4.3

13/2

Gavin

12.4

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Faerie Cutlass

11.9

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Secret Potion

10.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Presgrave

9.6

OR: 6 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.1

Ghyll Manor

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Tuscan Rose

8.9

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

La Referi

8.5

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Man Of The Sea	100	101	86
Forever Des Long	98	95	51
Robinsville	96	98	72
Noble Savage	96	100	61
Gavin	94	96	77
Ho Que Oui	91	95	—
Faerie Cutlass	90	97	81
Phoenix Risen	89	106	98
Secret Potion	87	95	—
Sassified	86	102	79
Syr Maffos	86	99	62
Ghyll Manor	82	89	—
La Referi	82	83	—
Nordy Lordy	79	100	83
Tuscan Rose	78	99	51
Gorcombe Moonshine	75	103	79
Presgrave	74	100	80

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
La Referi	14d ago	Fit
Noble Savage	17d ago	Fit
Tuscan Rose	21d ago	Fit
Faerie Cutlass	24d ago	Fit
Secret Potion	31d ago	Fit
Gorcombe Moonshine	34d ago	Fit
Presgrave	34d ago	Fit
Phoenix Risen	42d ago	Fit
Forever Des Long	52d ago	Fresh
Sassified	65d ago	Fresh
Nordy Lordy	80d ago	Fresh
Robinsville	102d ago	Long break
Syr Maffos	103d ago	Long break
Ghyll Manor	104d ago	Long break
Ho Que Oui	113d ago	Long break
Man Of The Sea	160d ago	Long break
Gavin	170d ago	Long break