Close Brothers Red Rum Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)

Aintree

16:40

Date 2023-04-13

Distance 1m7f176y

Class Class 1

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £56,270

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
13	Douglas Talking Bay J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Lucinda Russell	J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Lucinda Russell	154	t	1-5711	134	155	138	37d	—	—	+15	33.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Exciting front-runner; impressive at Sandown in March (good to soft); up further 10lb
1	Third Time Lucki Brown J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	168	t	-46314	148	157	135	29d	—	—	+21	38	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Hampered 4th at Cheltenham; can improve further back on less testing finish; solid chance
5	Grey Diamond Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Sam Thomas	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Sam Thomas	162	t	47-3F1	142	154	134	22d	—	—	+15	26.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Fifth in 2021 running; improving and impressed at Haydock; up 7lb in better race
4	Pay The Piper Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:Ann Hamilton	J:Danny McMenamin T:Ann Hamilton	163	—	834312	143	152	141	40d	—	—	+30	40.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Running well but not the easiest to place in handicaps; current mark will take overcoming
2	Dancing On My Own Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	164	t	F02-09	144	153	99	89d	—	—	+16	26.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Very good 2nd here in 2022; 3lb higher now; may well revive after 2 poor runs in midwinter
NR	Global Citizen Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Ben Pauling	J:NON-RUNNER T:Ben Pauling	159	—	1-P743	139	152	-	29d	—	—	+21	32.3	1.75/1	8 13%
Won/3rd in last two runnings of Grand Annual; form chance but others may have more to come
14	Hatcher Bay J:Tristan Durrell(5) T:Dan Skelton	J:Tristan Durrell(5) T:Dan Skelton	150	—	F-PPF3	130	154	90	11d	—	—	+14	22.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Well treated on form last April; back from poor spell/wind surgery to be good 3rd at Ascot
10	The Last Day Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	155	—	/F1-5P	135	155	120	29d	—	—	+16	23.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Modest in two starts this winter but 2-2 over C&D, winning this off 2lb lower last year
6	Before Midnight Chestnut J:Charlie Deutsch T:Sam Thomas	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Sam Thomas	160	—	6-334P	140	155	141	29d	—	—	+19	23.9	4.25/1	18 6%
Smart at 2m last winter but a weak finisher of late; aids no help latest; plenty to prove
11	Hasankey Grey J:Lewis Dobb(7) T:L J Morgan	J:Lewis Dobb(7) T:L J Morgan	155	v	-26732	135	153	141	14d	—	—	+25	31	3.25/1	14 7%
Hat-trick at about this trip last midwinter; all too often looked weighted to best since
3	Dads Lad Chestnut J:Brian Hayes T:W P Mullins	J:Brian Hayes T:W P Mullins	163	t	115190	143	147	120	29d	—	—	+27	31.5	4.75/1	20 5%
Three chase wins in 2022; jumping let him down when finishing remote at Cheltenham
7	Mackenberg Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Donald Mccain	J:Brian Hughes T:Donald Mccain	160	—	-11533	140	155	140	40d	—	—	+29	33.8	4.75/1	20 5%
Won first 5 chases; no further progress of late; this test likely to be on the sharp side
12	Defan Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	154	—	9F-166	134	144	103	18d	—	—	+19	21.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Won 2 of 5 completions in handicap chases; better for comeback run; others achieved more
8	Vado Forte Bay J:Robert Dunne T:Ross Osullivan	J:Robert Dunne T:Ross Osullivan	160	—	13588U	140	148	97	49d	—	—	+21	22.9	31.00/1	125 1%
Best recent form when winning 2m2f chase at Galway in July; looks to have share of weight

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Douglas Talking	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2	7/2
Third Time Lucki	5	5	4	9/2	9/2
Grey Diamond	13/2	13/2	6	6	13/2
Pay The Piper	17/2	17/2	7	7	7
Dancing On My Own	8	8	8	13/2	15/2
Global Citizen	8	13/2	13/2	13/2	6
Hatcher	12	8	8	11	12
The Last Day	12	12	10	10	12
Before Midnight	18	14	16	14	14
Hasankey	14	12	12	12	12
Dads Lad	20	18	18	20	20
Mackenberg	20	20	16	16	16
Defan	33	22	22	28	22
Vado Forte	125	50	100	125	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pay The Piper

40.2

OR: 23.3 Form: 14.1 Odds: 2.9

17/2

2nd

Third Time Lucki

OR: 24.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Mackenberg

33.8

OR: 22.5 Form: 10.1 Odds: 1.2

Douglas Talking

33.2

OR: 21 Form: 7 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Global Citizen

32.3

OR: 22.3 Form: 7 Odds: 3.1

Dads Lad

31.5

OR: 23.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

Hasankey

OR: 21.3 Form: 8.1 Odds: 1.6

Dancing On My Own

26.4

OR: 23.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Grey Diamond

26.3

OR: 23 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Before Midnight

23.9

OR: 22.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

The Last Day

23.2

OR: 21.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Vado Forte

22.9

OR: 22.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125

Hatcher

22.4

OR: 20 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Defan

21.9

OR: 21 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Third Time Lucki	148	157	135
Dancing On My Own	144	153	99
Pay The Piper	143	152	141
Dads Lad	143	147	120
Grey Diamond	142	154	134
Before Midnight	140	155	141
Mackenberg	140	155	140
Vado Forte	140	148	97
Global Citizen	139	152	—
The Last Day	135	155	120
Hasankey	135	153	141
Douglas Talking	134	155	138
Defan	134	144	103
Hatcher	130	154	90

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hatcher	11d ago	Quick return
Hasankey	14d ago	Fit
Defan	18d ago	Fit
Grey Diamond	22d ago	Fit
Third Time Lucki	29d ago	Fit
Global Citizen	29d ago	Fit
The Last Day	29d ago	Fit
Before Midnight	29d ago	Fit
Dads Lad	29d ago	Fit
Douglas Talking	37d ago	Fit
Pay The Piper	40d ago	Fit
Mackenberg	40d ago	Fit
Vado Forte	49d ago	Fresh
Dancing On My Own	89d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Douglas Talking	Front Runner
Dancing On My Own	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 14 runners classified.