At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:05

At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap

Date 2023-04-13

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,402

Winning Time 1m 27.45s (slow by 3.65s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Profitar Rules (IRE) Joe Fanning · Tom Dascombe	11/1	Won
2nd	Aihawawi (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	3/1	1
3rd	Bella Kopella (IRE) Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler	5/6F	1
4th	Hidden Code (IRE) Graham Lee · Ollie Pears	15/2	0.05
5th	The King's Men (GB) Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	8/1	12

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (2)	Bella Kopella Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	135	t	7212-1	60	74	64	30d	—	—	-16	26.7	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Progressing well and latest C&D win well franked since; big player despite a 4lb rise
2 (5)	Aihawawi Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	137	—	86066-	62	66	17	162d	—	—	-13	9.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Not beaten far in Kempton nursery when last seen in Nov (7f); still has time to do better
1 (4)	The Kings Men Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	137	—	280-6	62	69	10	101d	—	—	-5	6.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Hasn't built on his debut promise but the switch to handicaps could spark something extra
3 (1)	Hidden Code Bay J:Graham Lee T:Ollie Pears	J:Graham Lee T:Ollie Pears	136	—	775-8	61	68	47	60d	—	—	-6	6.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Slowly away in all starts; likely improver now handicapping but such progress is required
5 (3)	Profitar Rules Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Tom Dascombe	J:Joe Fanning T:Tom Dascombe	121	tv	0068-5	46	63	36	101d	—	—	-5	1.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Low-level form in five starts and a change of headgear isn't enough to tempt today

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Bella Kopella	11/10	1	1	1	1
Aihawawi	3	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
The Kings Men	7	13/2	7	6	6
Hidden Code	13/2	7	7	13/2	13/2
Profitar Rules	11	10	11	11	11

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bella Kopella

26.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 10 Odds: 14.2

11/10

2nd

Aihawawi

9.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

The Kings Men

6.3

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Hidden Code

6.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Profitar Rules

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Aihawawi	62	66	17
The Kings Men	62	69	10
Hidden Code	61	68	47
Bella Kopella	60	74	64
Profitar Rules	46	63	36

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bella Kopella	30d ago	Fit
Hidden Code	60d ago	Fresh
The Kings Men	101d ago	Long break
Profitar Rules	101d ago	Long break
Aihawawi	162d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.