At The Races App Expert Tips Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II)

Southwell (AW)

20:00

Date 2023-04-14

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,320

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (4)	Mojeyrr Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	130	—	3	-	79	60	16d	—	—	-37	23	0.10/1	2/5 71%
Promising 3rd at Kempton on recent debut (6f); the one to beat on racecourse evidence
9 (6)	Stormy Denise Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:James Ferguson	J:Hector Crouch T:James Ferguson	125	—	5	-	61	7	29d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Green but late headway into 5th on March debut (7f); not sure to appreciate drop to 6f
8 (9)	Poppaea Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Charles Hills	J:Marco Ghiani T:Charles Hills	125	—	0-	-	9	-	245d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.25/1	10 10%
Didn't offer a great deal in a 6f maiden at Nottingham last summer; bred to do much better
7 (8)	Harriets Angel Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Ed Dunlop	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Ed Dunlop	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	2.75/1	12 8%
75,000gns half-sister to 3 winners (inc Group 3); dam a 7f winner (93); market to guide
1 (3)	Profit Given Chestnut J:Luke Catton(5) T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Luke Catton(5) T:Ismail Mohammed	137	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
100,000gns half-sister to 4 winners; apprentice-ridden on belated debut; best watched
5 (2)	Victors Dream Bay J:Stefano Cherchi T:Marco Botti	J:Stefano Cherchi T:Marco Botti	130	—	8	-	45	-	9d	—	—	-3	1.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Slowly away and never in the hunt on last week's Nottingham debut; bred to do better
2 (5)	Brother Dave Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Brother to Bobby Joe Leg (debut winner; RPR 77) and two other winners; yard in form
6 (1)	Haaf A Diamond Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(7) T:Kevin Frost	J:Alec Voikhansky(7) T:Kevin Frost	125	—	6	-	46	-	12d	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Not without promise on recent Doncaster debut but she's not bred to sprint
3 (7)	Jills Jungle Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Mark Walford	J:Jack Garritty T:Mark Walford	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Half-brother to a minor winner out of a 7f winner; likely a longer-term prospect

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Mojeyrr	4/11	2/5	2/5	2/5	2/5
Stormy Denise	15/2	7	7	7	15/2
Poppaea	10	9	10	10	9
Harriets Angel	12	12	12	12	12
Profit Given	16	18	16	16	18/1
Victors Dream	20	16	16	16	18
Brother Dave	33	25	25	28	25/1
Haaf A Diamond	40	33	33	33	33
Jills Jungle	40	33	33	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mojeyrr

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 20

2/5

2nd

Stormy Denise

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

3rd

Poppaea

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Harriets Angel

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Profit Given

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Victors Dream

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Brother Dave

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Haaf A Diamond

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Jills Jungle

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mojeyrr	—	79	60
Stormy Denise	—	61	7
Poppaea	—	9	—
Harriets Angel	—	—	—
Profit Given	—	—	—
Victors Dream	—	45	—
Brother Dave	—	—	—
Haaf A Diamond	—	46	—
Jills Jungle	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Victors Dream	9d ago	Quick return
Haaf A Diamond	12d ago	Quick return
Mojeyrr	16d ago	Fit
Stormy Denise	29d ago	Fit
Poppaea	245d ago	Long break
Harriets Angel	—	—
Profit Given	—	—
Brother Dave	—	—
Jills Jungle	—	—